Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

An equity research analyst with over 7 years of experience in multiple sectors. Previously worked for one of the world's largest asset managers with about USD2.5trn in AUM, covering small and micro-cap companies in the consumer sphere across Europe and developed Asia. Also experienced in covering multiple industries including banking, insurance and asset management, retail, tech, telco and REIT.

Equity Analyst

Sea Ltd – No Bringing Back to Life For Free Fire, Shopee’s Top Line Growth Could Disappear

Sea Ltd: Free Fire Is Losing Active Players And Shopee’s Growth Momentum Is Broken

Sea Ltd: Reduced Consensus Is Still Optimistic

Sea Ltd: Mass Layoffs at Shopee, Tinkering Here and There Won't Make Shopee A World-Class Business

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Sea's share price dropped 14% yesterday following its 2Q22 results as $2.9bn revenue ($3.0bn for consensus) and $659.4m operating loss excluding goodwill impairment ($594m for consensus) were weaker than expected.</li>
<li>After lowering the e-commerce revenue guidance by $400m in 1Q22, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)'</a>s decision to suspend 2022 e-commerce revenue guidance in 2Q22 is an early indication of difficulties ahead.</li>
<li>Digital Entertainment's gross bookings are down another 10% QoQ in 2Q22, which indicates that Free Fire’s revenue and profitability could continue to go down during the second half of 2022.</li>
</ul>


Sea's share price dropped 14% yesterday following its 2Q22 results as $2.9bn revenue ($3.0bn for consensus) and $659.4m operating loss excluding goodwill impairment ($594m for consensus) were weaker than expected.
After lowering the e-commerce revenue guidance by $400m in 1Q22, Sea Ltd (SE US)'s decision to suspend 2022 e-commerce revenue guidance in 2Q22 is an early indication of difficulties ahead.
Digital Entertainment's gross bookings are down another 10% QoQ in 2Q22, which indicates that Free Fire’s revenue and profitability could continue to go down during the second half of 2022.


Sea

Sea Ltd: Tough Times Ahead