Last Week in Event SPACE ...
Caesars Entertainment (CZR US) and Eldorado Resorts (ERI US) roll the dice and announce their highly anticipated merger.
(This insight covers specific insights & comments involving Stubs, Pairs, Arbitrage, share Classification and Events - or SPACE - in the past week)
Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) (Mkt Cap: $16.4bn; Liquidity: $68mn)
Toshiba's buyback started last November with three instances of ToSTNeT-3 buybacks, followed by seven-plus months of on-market buybacks. Since the start of on-market buybacks, the company has bought back 20.8% of market volume. Notably, when the share price was weak in January and June, the company bought back ~32% of volume during those months. That leaves the company with ¥195.6bn (8-11% of remaining shares) left to spend on its buyback program. The buyback goes until November 8th 2019. At last month's strong pace, it would take the full four months to complete.
(link to Travis' insight: Toshiba Buyback: Down To The Last ¥195.6bn)
Meituan Dianping (3690 HK) (Mkt Cap: $51bn; Liquidity: $188mn)
Meituan and Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK), two of the largest IPOs in Hong Kong last year, were included in Hang Seng Composite Index shortly after their listing (Xiaomi on July 23th and Meituan on October 8th). But neither was included in the southbound Hong Kong Connect scheme due to their dual-class structures. This may change.
(link to Ke Yan, CFA, FRMs' insight: Meituan/Xiaomi: Thoughts On Trading the Likely Hong Kong Connect Inclusion This Month)
Harbin Electric Co Ltd H (1133 HK) (Mkt Cap: $844mn; Liquidity: $3mn)
Shareholders who had tendered in Harbin Electric's Offer have been entitled to withdraw those shares since 11 June - 21 days after the Closing Date on the 20 May. 112.7mn shares or 16.7% of shares have now been withdrawn. Netting off shares that have tendered (~12.5mn) since the 20 May, the total acceptance level is estimated at 71% compared to 85.84% at the time of the unprecedented extension. Harbin's price of $3.85/share now offers an extraordinary one-up (~18.5%) to the Offer price of $4.56/share, to two-down (~35%) to the undisturbed price of $2.50.
(link to my insight: Time For Unprecedented Action In Harbin Deal)
Asia Satellite Telecom Holdings Ltd (1135 HK) (Mkt Cap: $461mn; Liquidity: $0.4mn)
Asia Sat announced a Scheme Implementation Agreement at HK$10.22/share, a 23.4% premium to last close - the undisturbed is likely not HK$8.28 from the day before it was halted; the shares mysteriously moved beforehand - and a 10% premium to the 31 December 2018 NAV. The Offer Price is final. The Offeror, holding 74.73% is split 50:50 between CITIC and Carlyle, the latter acquiring its stake from GEC in 2014 via a Sale and Purchase Agreement at HK$26.00/share, in which the Independent Financial Advisor found the deal to be not fair and not reasonable.
(link to Travis' insight: Asia Satellite (1135 HK) Scheme Announced; Trading Wide)
Gbst Holdings (GBT AU) (Mkt Cap: $171mn; Liquidity: $1mn)
GBST announced a non-binding indicative Offer of $3.25/share (cash) from Ss&C Technologies (SSNC US) by way of a Scheme at a 64.6% premium to the closing price on the 11 April, when GBST was first approached by Bravura Solutions (BVS AU). Two days later SSNCV bumped its Offer to $3.60/share. GBST had mentioned in an announcement the previous Friday when talks broke down with Bravura, it "has now received other non-binding confidential competing proposals to acquire 100% of the ordinary shares of GBST via cash offers at a price higher than $3.00 per share". On cue, the updated SSNC announcement mentions an Offer of $3.50 from FNZ Group.
(link to my insight: AOF Should Support Abacus/Charter's Revised Offer)
Australian Unity Office Fund (AOF AU) (Mkt Cap: $341m; Liquidity: $0.2mn)
Abacus Property (ABP AU) and Charter Hall (CHC AU) have now announced an A$3.04/unit Offer versus its initial $2.95/unit all-cash non-binding proposal. This will be reduced by any further distribution. The proposal is also "best and final". All other prior conditions remain - such as completion of due diligence - but this time on a non-exclusive basis.
(link to my insight: AOF Should Support Abacus/Charter's Revised Offer)
Coffee Day Enterprises (CCD IN) (Mkt Cap: $697mn; Liquidity: $0.1mn)
Reportedly Coca Cola Co (KO US) is in talks to buy a stake in CCD's core coffee business which owns 'Cafe Coffee Day', India's largest coffee chain. Coke has stated plans to expand beyond sugary drinks into healthier drinks and acquired Costa Coffee for USD5.1bn last year.
(link to Devi's insight: Coffee Day Enterprises (CCD IN): Time to Rise and Shine. Likely Stake Sale Can Unlock Value, Finally)
Caesars Entertainment (CZR US) (Mkt Cap: $7.6bn; Liquidity: $250mn)
Caesars and Eldorado Resorts (ERI US) have announced their highly anticipated merger, encouraged by 17.75% CZR shareholder Carl Icahn, which combines Reno NV-based Eldorado with Las Vegas, NV-based Caesars into the largest U.S. gaming company. Deal terms call for each CZR share to receive $8.40 cash and 0.0899 shares of ERI common stock. There will be a provision for shareholders to elect, subject to proration, the form of consideration. Upon completion of the deal, the combined company shareholder split will be approximately 51% ERI shareholders and 49% CZR shareholders. The merged entity will take the Caesars name.
(link to John's insight: Caesars Entertainment Bets on Merger with Eldorado Resorts)
Jardine Matheson Hldgs (JM SP) /Jardine Strategic Hldgs (JS SP)
JM has bought a further 4.85mn shares in JS since my previous insight (StubWorld: Matheson's Strategic Buying of Strategic) in March - or ~0.44% of shares out, taking its 2019 total to 6.6mn or 0.6% of shares outstanding. The simple ratio (JM/JS) is now at 1.62x against an 8-year average of 1.7x and the long-term average (20 years) of 1.79.
(link to my insight: StubWorld: Matheson Nudges Strategic Headroom)
The Taiwan and Indian M&A Guides issued this past week are the seventh and eight installments in a series of M&A guides that our Quiddity team (Travis, Janaghan Jeyakumar, and myself) are publishing to aid investors in understanding the rules, parameters, possibilities, and processes when companies conduct mergers and acquisitions. These insights are designed to be used as a reference. Any questions are welcome.
For a list of Quiddity M&A Guides, click here.
"City failed to value us, says Merlin Entertainments (MERL LN) theme park boss Sir John Sunderland". It may be true, but it is not a good look. It is management's job to do the right thing with regard to investor relations. And if the stock is not cheap enough to buy rather than grow by investing in new assets, then it isn't "too cheap" for management.
Brookfield has now been confirmed as the preferred party in negotiations with Aveo Group (AOG AU).
Villa World Ltd (VLW AU) announced AVID's DD on an exclusive basis has concluded but continues on a non-exclusive basis.
My ongoing series flags large moves (~10%) in CCASS holdings over the past week or so, moves which are often outside normal market transactions. These may be indicative of share pledges. Or potential takeovers. Or simply help understand volume swings.
Often these moves can easily be explained - the placement of new shares, rights issue, movements subsequent to a takeover, amongst others. For those mentioned below, I could not find an obvious reason for the CCASS move.
Interestingly, on the 2 July, 229 companies with shareholdings in SHK, were moved into China Everbright. This is probably just cleaning house.
Name | % chg | Into | Out of |
Everbright Securities (H) (6178 HK) | 21.08% | SHK | China Ever |
Jiu Rong Holdings (2358 HK) | 15.20% | SHK | China Ever |
Cybernaut (1020 HK) | 13.94% | SHK | China Ever |
Flyke International Holdings (1998 HK) | 11.15% | SHK | China Ever |
Avic International Hldgs Hk (232 HK) | 11.09% | SHK | China Ever |
Mainland Headwear Hldgs (1100 HK) | 10.11% | SHK | China Ever |
Kee Holdings (2011 HK) | 66.80% | Lego | China Int'l |
Feishang Anthracite Resources (1738 HK) | 26.22% | UBS | HSBC |
Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK) | 16.67% | CCB | HSBC |
Macau Legend Development (1680 HK) | 15.01% | UBS | HSBC |
Winshine Entertainmt & Media Hldg (209 HK) | 17.80% | CS Wealth | GT Capital |
Join 55,000+ investors, including top global asset managers overseeing $13+ trillion.
Upgrade later to our paid plans for full-access.