Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

I investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Doosan Stub: An Entry Point in This Extreme Diversion

Doosan Heavy, Korea's Latest Meme Stock Without Substance?

Doosan Heavy/Infracore Corporate Actions Walkthrough & KOSPI 200 Index Treatments

Korea Stubs Status Check: 15 in Total Incl. 3 New Ones

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

I added 3 more single subsidiary holding companies: Doosan Corp, Hwaseung Industries, and Hanil Holdings. I now track a total of 18 local holding companies for a single subsidiary stub trade.Out of these 18 names, 6 holding companies are currently below -0.5σ on a 20-day moving average. Hanil Holdings, one of the three newbies, is in the harshest diversion at -1.44σ relative to its subsidiary, Hanil Cement. Younghone Holdings and Green Cross Holdings follow at -0.99σ and -0.86σ, respectively.







Holdco
Subsidiary
Sigma (σ) on a 20-day moving average


Amorepacific Group
Amorepacific Corp
-0.69


BGF Co Ltd
BGF Retail Co Ltd
-0.84


Halla Holdings Corp
Mando Corp
1.35


Hanjin Kal
Korean Air Lines Co Ltd
1.18


Hankook &amp; Company Co Ltd
Hankook Tire &amp; Technology Co Ltd
1.46


HANSAE YES24 HOLDINGS CO., LTD.
Hansae Co., Ltd.
-0.23


HDC Holdings Co Ltd
HDC Hyundai Development Co
0.92


Nexen Corporation
Nexen Tire Corp
2.33


Nongshim Holdings Co Ltd
Nongshim Co Ltd
0.44


ORION Holdings Corp
Orion Corp
-0.49


Poongsan Holdings Corporation
POONGSAN CORPORATION
0.18


Youngone Holdings Co Ltd
Youngone Corporation
-0.99


Green Cross Holdings
Green Cross Corp
-0.86


Hitejinro Holdings Co Ltd
HiteJinro Co Ltd
0.29


Seah Holdings Corp
Seah Besteel Corporation
-1.45


* Doosan Corp
* Doosan Heavy Industries Constrctn Co Ltd
0.63


* HWASEUNG Industries Co Ltd
* Hwaseung Enterprise Co Ltd
-0.81


* Hanil Holdings Co Ltd
* Hanil Cement Co Ltd
-1.44

Source: KRX

Starting with this insight, I made some changes in my calculation of NAV. I estimated each holding company's operating operation based on their latest de-consolidated operating profit. It is mostly brand royalty and office rental income. I used operating profit to exclude dividend income.So, here is the revised NAV discount of each holding company in my monitoring list. Seah Holdings and Halla Holdings have the highest discount to the NAV at 76.65% and 73.29%, respectively. In contrast, Hanjin Kal continues to trade at a premium (11.75%) to the NAV. Amorepacific Group and Hankook &amp; Co are also trading at a relatively low discount to the NAV. 








Discount &amp; weight
NAV discount
Single subsidiary weight in NAV
Single subsidiary weight in GAV


Amorepacific Group
20.18%
88.64%
88.53%


BGF Co Ltd
65.06%
59.17%
67.74%


Halla Holdings Corp
73.29%
53.98%
41.33%


Hanjin Kal
-11.75%
79.03%
79.81%


Hankook &amp; Company Co Ltd
26.04%
75.52%
81.38%


HANSAE YES24 HOLDINGS CO., LTD.
49.69%
58.92%
53.06%


HDC Holdings Co Ltd
50.47%
49.76%
44.85%


Nexen Corporation
62.60%
48.57%
48.66%


Nongshim Holdings Co Ltd
65.63%
60.30%
60.68%


ORION Holdings Corp
50.42%
89.56%
81.83%


Poongsan Holdings Corporation
53.62%
77.10%
81.20%


Youngone Holdings Co Ltd
60.75%
70.04%
74.12%


Green Cross Holdings
65.62%
121.52%
74.74%


Hitejinro Holdings Co Ltd
32.92%
86.35%
71.58%


Seah Holdings Corp
76.65%
40.07%
37.64%


* Doosan Corp
71.00%
70.92%
50.32%


* HWASEUNG Industries Co Ltd
59.62%
78.05%
72.68%


* Hanil Holdings Co Ltd
53.40%
77.85%
67.20%

Source: KRX



Korea Single Subsidiary Stub Trade: 18 in Total with 3 New Ones

H.S. Industries

Korea Single Subsidiary Stub Trade: 18 in Total with 3 New Ones