'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

Former Japan Equity PM with over 30 of experience now providing database-driven analysis of the market, sectors, peer groups and stocks for LightStream Research.

Leveraging data and graphic analysis provided by Japan Analytics, and the related Japan Analytics iPad App, we provide insights on companies are often ignored by the sell-side as well as challenging conventional wisdom on the market overall.

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Revisions & Results 21st April - Catching Up : Revising Down

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Revisions & Results 22nd April - Timelines + JAL/ZOZO/Mizuno/CyberAgent

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Revisions & Results 23rd April - "Getting Worse Rapidly" + OBICs, TGas, Canon, Omron

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Revisions & Results 15th April - Flattening

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Revisions & Results 16th April - Roadmaps

🇯🇵 JAPAN MARKET (& COVID-19) UPDATE 19th April - Overshoot

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Japan Consumer discretionary / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div class="content-caption">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/128/848/original/2020-04-21_07-03-22.png?1587420235" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="128848"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/128/851/original/2020-04-21_07-07-10.png?1587420481" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="128851"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div>
</div><p><strong>LATE ORDERS</strong> - All three of yesterday's results announcements were from <strong>Restaurants</strong> with February year-ends. These 'tail-enders' all swung into losses for the fourth quarter and did not make forecasts for the current year, which is becoming more the norm. The Sector as a whole still has a positive Results &amp; Revision Score supported by the <strong>Chinese</strong> and<strong> Take Out &amp; Delivery</strong> Peer Groups.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/128/853/original/2020-04-21_07-18-49.png?1587421152" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="128853"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source • Japan Analytics</div><p>In the <strong>DETAIL </strong>below, we shall briefly review Monday's ten revisions announcements.  The positive/neutral/negative balance was 3:1:6. Coating Machinery specialist <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hirano-tecseed-co-kinzoku" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11356:1" rel="noopener">Hirano Tecseed (6245 JP)</a> raised its dividend and now yields 4.2% while sporting a negative Enterprise Value (EV) of ¥-2.2b. </p>


Source • Japan Analytics
LATE ORDERS - All three of yesterday's results announcements were from Restaurants with February year-ends. These 'tail-enders' all swung into losses for the fourth quarter and did not make forecasts for the current year, which is becoming more the norm. The Sector as a whole still has a positive Results &amp; Revision Score supported by the Chinese and Take Out &amp; Delivery Peer Groups.Source • Japan AnalyticsIn the DETAIL below, we shall briefly review Monday's ten revisions announcements.  The positive/neutral/negative balance was 3:1:6. Coating Machinery specialist Hirano Tecseed (6245 JP) raised its dividend and now yields 4.2% while sporting a negative Enterprise Value (EV) of ¥-2.2b. 

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Revisions & Results 20th April - Take Aways and LI(Not)FULL