Economist, Centennial Asia Advisors

Nicholas Chia

Centennial Asia Advisors deliver timely and accurate economic and political analysis to investors, focused on anticipating key turning points that affect the client’s interests in the Asia-Pacific region. Clients include public agencies and central banks, as well as fund managers and investment banks. The company draws strength from its flexibility to tailor products to fit client’s specific interests. It provides detailed macro-economic forecasts, scenario analysis and timely assessments of how specific major economic and political developments may affect a client’s areas of interest. At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way.

Economist

China: Brace For Upside Surprises To Growth in 2021

China: Latest Activity Data Suggest Modest Upside Risks to Our Base-Line Growth Forecasts

China 14th National People's Congress: Short-Term Growth De-Emphasised; Reforms to Take Center-Stage

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul style="list-style-type: square;">
<li>Much is happening in Chinese politics in the run-up to the 20<sup>th</sup> party congress in November 2022. Former Premier Wen’s essay indirectly criticizing President Xi Jinping is just the most prominent example of potential disaffection with Xi.</li>
<li>While Xi has crushed these recent expressions of dissent and is likely to continue firming his grip on power in the near term, his position is not so indomitable as it might seem.</li>
<li>Xi has built a power base but there are questions over how loyal his acolytes really are. He has made many enemies as well and has reversed the reforms which had helped China’s political system offset some of the downsides of authoritarianism. Any serious misjudgement in either the domestic sphere or in foreign policy would crystallise these weaknesses in Xi’s position.</li>
</ul>


Much is happening in Chinese politics in the run-up to the 20th party congress in November 2022. Former Premier Wen’s essay indirectly criticizing President Xi Jinping is just the most prominent example of potential disaffection with Xi.
While Xi has crushed these recent expressions of dissent and is likely to continue firming his grip on power in the near term, his position is not so indomitable as it might seem.
Xi has built a power base but there are questions over how loyal his acolytes really are. He has made many enemies as well and has reversed the reforms which had helped China’s political system offset some of the downsides of authoritarianism. Any serious misjudgement in either the domestic sphere or in foreign policy would crystallise these weaknesses in Xi’s position.


Is Trouble Brewing for Xi Jinping Under the Calm Surface of Chinese Politics?