TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

I have over 20 years’ experience investing in the TMT and Consumer sectors, almost entirely on the buyside. Started at Bernstein covering software in 2001, moved to the buyside at Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC) in 2003, covering hardware, software, and media. 

After getting an MBA at NYU in 2008 and a CFA, I spent 8 years at Coburn Ventures (a market neutral TMT/Consumer hedge fund). In 2015, I joined Deimos Asset Management, a low net multi-strat, where I managed a  TMT/Consumer portfolio.

I've spent the past few years at Obex Capital Management providing independent investment research to TMT and Consumer investors.

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

Long Intel/Short AMD; Analysis of Technical Publications Suggests TSMC Will Play a Critical Role

Tactical TMT 2Q Earnings Trading Idea: Short NFLX

Intel Analyst Day: Still a Top (Funding) Short

Intel 4Q21: Our Capex Is More Valuable than TSMC’s

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Inline quarter, though margins continue to decline on market share loss and ramping new nodes. </li>
<li>Intel is overly optimistic about PCs rebounding in the 2H; 2021's 15% growth is not sustainable.</li>
<li>Intel maintained its full year revenue guidance and increased its EPS despite lowering 2Q’s guidance. This implies an acceleration in the back half. We find that overly optimistic</li>
</ul>


Inline quarter, though margins continue to decline on market share loss and ramping new nodes. 
Intel is overly optimistic about PCs rebounding in the 2H; 2021's 15% growth is not sustainable.
Intel maintained its full year revenue guidance and increased its EPS despite lowering 2Q’s guidance. This implies an acceleration in the back half. We find that overly optimistic


Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

Intel Corp

Intel 1Q22: Unexplained Optimism