Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Shyam Devani provides key market commentary encompassing analysis of Foreign Exchange, Fixed Income, Commodities, and Equities globally – both in G10 and Local Markets. He takes a multi asset class approach incorporating fundamental, behavioural, and historical trends as well as technical signals.

Shyam has delivered strategic market insights to a number of trading desks and institutional clients internationally (funds/corporates/banks) through written publications, presentations, face to face meetings and conferences. He has had numerous appearances on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Singapore Radio providing his short and medium term views on markets while being the front office media commentator during his time at Citi.

He has been commentating on financial markets since 2004. Since 2006, he was running one of Citi’s top market products, CitiFXTechnicals, initially in London followed by Singapore where he took a lead role in enhancing the coverage of markets in Asia.

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

India’s Nifty Target Met - Time for a Consolidation

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Technical Analysis

Over the past few months India has been horribly torn apart from the Delta variant of Covid-19. Back in May I thought there was a serious risk of a notable correction down in the equity market, but it never came. Since then we have seen<ul type="disc">
<li>A higher Oil price, </li>
<li>The IMF significantly downgrading India’s GDP forecast and</li>
<li>Renewed concerns of Covid spreading.</li>
</ul>Despite all that, India’s Nifty has not only failed to correct down (it simply went sideways for 7 weeks) but has now posted what looks like a clear bullish break to new highs, not only in INR terms but also in USD terms.With USDINR beginning to turn from the top of the ‘range’ - as it probably needs to given a barrel of Oil costs some 5,300 Rupees – the recent breaks look very good. Further gains in the stock market and Rupee seem very likely not only over the coming days but perhaps weeks. Charts and further details below…

Over the past few months India has been horribly torn apart from the Delta variant of Covid-19. Back in May I thought there was a serious risk of a notable correction down in the equity market, but it never came. Since then we have seen
A higher Oil price, 
The IMF significantly downgrading India’s GDP forecast and
Renewed concerns of Covid spreading.
Despite all that, India’s Nifty has not only failed to correct down (it simply went sideways for 7 weeks) but has now posted what looks like a clear bullish break to new highs, not only in INR terms but also in USD terms.With USDINR beginning to turn from the top of the ‘range’ - as it probably needs to given a barrel of Oil costs some 5,300 Rupees – the recent breaks look very good. Further gains in the stock market and Rupee seem very likely not only over the coming days but perhaps weeks. Charts and further details below…

NIFTY Index

India: Breaks and Targets