Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Over 15 years analysing Japanese and Asian stocks from a long/short perspective

I focus on cyclically driven sectors such as Gaming, Factory Automation and Autos

An eclectic background as a long-short analyst, upper management at a financial data startup through its listing, and as the founder of a team analysing big/alternative data, all of which supports independent and differentiated views... we hope

An appreciation for Mathematics drives the development of a "Micro-Quantamental" process which can provide a data-driven, historically-informed and semi-automated foundation upon which to layer more qualitative and judgemental analysis, thus improving investment decision-making speed and accuracy

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Nabtesco and Harmonic Drive - The Second Half of Splitsville So Pressure to Continue

Toyota To Sell Harmonic Drive (6324 JP) Shares in Overseas Offering

Harmonic Drive Systems (6324 JP): Consider the Competition

Harmonic Drive – Good 3Q But No Guidance Revision

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Harmonic Drive Systems / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Harmonic Drive posted revenue that was a touch above guidance but just below consensus and rather weak OP of just ¥2.23bn. </li>
<li>While that was just below consensus it represented a deviation from typical gross margin and SG&amp;A trends that is concerning. </li>
<li>More troubling however is the drop in orders and particularly the composition thereof.</li>
</ul>


Harmonic Drive posted revenue that was a touch above guidance but just below consensus and rather weak OP of just ¥2.23bn. 
While that was just below consensus it represented a deviation from typical gross margin and SG&amp;A trends that is concerning. 
More troubling however is the drop in orders and particularly the composition thereof.


Harmonic Drive Systems

Harmonic Drive – Orders Rolling Over