Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

I have been working for +17 years as a quantitative researcher, offering my investment research insights to investors through two private companies I have founded (Retracement Levels Ltd. and QUANTRADING AG); more recently I worked as a Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My research work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I have created an original proprietary process (called the "Market Reversal Matrix" or "MRM") that makes extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built and supervised by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

EQD | NIFTY's Uncertainty: The Rally Could Pause for 1 More Week

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> has been rising for 5 days in a row, this is the second week up (CC=+2), there is a good chance it will pullback soon.</li>
<li>The index is going towards the Q3 resistance level at 22354, that would be a good area from where to start to prepare for a pullback.</li>
<li>Going SHORT may not be worth it, the right trade is to wait for the pullback and go LONG again at better prices.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index has been rising for 5 days in a row, this is the second week up (CC=+2), there is a good chance it will pullback soon.
The index is going towards the Q3 resistance level at 22354, that would be a good area from where to start to prepare for a pullback.
Going SHORT may not be worth it, the right trade is to wait for the pullback and go LONG again at better prices.


EQD | NIFTY's Rally Resistance Targets Approaching: Reversal?