Brazilian Real Set to Outperform Other EM Currencies in the Near Term

Implications of Higher Dollar Volatility for EM Currencies

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>DXY long at 94.50 targets of 97.50/98 is on track but the impulsive nature of the rise does increase odds of an overshoot if the 10yr yield clear 1.95%.</li>
<li>Bias/Focus: Euro breakdown targeting 1.10 turn support. AUD and NZD plunge. USD bid in EM gearing up.</li>
<li>Conviction: Stick with AUD and NZD shorts, Buy USD on dips in EM and parts of Asia (SGD potential triple low, THB bull wedge and INR flirting with 75).</li>
</ul>


DXY long at 94.50 targets of 97.50/98 is on track but the impulsive nature of the rise does increase odds of an overshoot if the 10yr yield clear 1.95%.
Bias/Focus: Euro breakdown targeting 1.10 turn support. AUD and NZD plunge. USD bid in EM gearing up.
Conviction: Stick with AUD and NZD shorts, Buy USD on dips in EM and parts of Asia (SGD potential triple low, THB bull wedge and INR flirting with 75).


Dollar Momentum/Risk Pressure - Greenback Top Will Front Run a Yield Peak

BRL

Dollar Momentum/Risk Pressure - Greenback Top Will Front Run a Yield Peak