Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

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CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>US dollar is resuming its long-term downtrend</li>
<li>Net supply of international safe assets increasing. US Treasury adding more supply when needs of  ‘liquid’ private sector dropping</li>
<li>Already foreigners selling US bonds and switching into cyclical US risk assets</li>
<li>Liquidity factors are negative on the US dollar and warn of a 10-15% drop</li>
<li>Adding capital outflows, US dollar fall could exceed 20%</li>
</ul>


US dollar is resuming its long-term downtrend
Net supply of international safe assets increasing. US Treasury adding more supply when needs of  ‘liquid’ private sector dropping
Already foreigners selling US bonds and switching into cyclical US risk assets
Liquidity factors are negative on the US dollar and warn of a 10-15% drop
Adding capital outflows, US dollar fall could exceed 20%


High Odds Of A US Dollar Bear Market?