Economist, Centennial Asia Advisors

Nigel Chiang

Centennial Asia Advisors deliver timely and accurate economic and political analysis to investors, focused on anticipating key turning points that affect the client’s interests in the Asia-Pacific region. Clients include public agencies and central banks, as well as fund managers and investment banks. The company draws strength from its flexibility to tailor products to fit client’s specific interests. It provides detailed macro-economic forecasts, scenario analysis and timely assessments of how specific major economic and political developments may affect a client’s areas of interest. At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way.

Economist

Our China Views in a Nutshell: Near-Term Bullish; Longer-Term Cautious

China: Headwinds from Policy Normalisation Will Be Manageable

China: Brace For Upside Surprises To Growth in 2021

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

Higher commodity prices will persist for some time, despite policymakers' attempts to cool speculation. Given weak private consumption fundamentals, the ability of firms to pass on increased input costs is limited. In turn, rising input prices are depressing margins and the resulting output cuts in some sectors pose a modest risk to growth.We continue to hold our 2021 GDP growth forecast at +8.2%, but view the balance of risks around this forecast as having worsened.

Higher commodity prices will persist for some time, despite policymakers' attempts to cool speculation. Given weak private consumption fundamentals, the ability of firms to pass on increased input costs is limited. In turn, rising input prices are depressing margins and the resulting output cuts in some sectors pose a modest risk to growth.We continue to hold our 2021 GDP growth forecast at +8.2%, but view the balance of risks around this forecast as having worsened. 

China: Could Commodity Prices Disrupt the Recovery?