Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

Bilibili: (BILI): 3Q21, Revenue and Users Growing Fast, Loss Problem Larger than It Looks

Bilibili (BILI): Upgrade to Buy for First Time Before 4Q21 Result

Bilibili (BILI): 1Q21, Weak Game, Strong Video, and Endless Loss

Bilibili (BILI): Plunged Before 2Q21 Result, But Still a Short Selling Target

Tencent (700 HK): 2Q21, Generally Healthy Quarter and Overly Impacted Price

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Revenue and paying users grew strongly in 2Q21.</li>
<li>Game revenue was worse than our expectation, but video revenues were higher than our expectation.</li>
<li>Operating loss reached its record high since IPO.</li>
<li>We do not believe BILI will be “next Tencent”, but believe the stock has significant downside.</li>
</ul>


Revenue and paying users grew strongly in 2Q21.
Game revenue was worse than our expectation, but video revenues were higher than our expectation.
Operating loss reached its record high since IPO.
We do not believe BILI will be “next Tencent”, but believe the stock has significant downside.


Bilibili (BILI): 2Q21, Rapid Growth and Record Loss, Significantly Overvalued