Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

An equity research analyst with over 7 years of experience in multiple sectors. Previously worked for one of the world's largest asset managers with about USD2.5trn in AUM, covering small and micro-cap companies in the consumer sphere across Europe and developed Asia. Also experienced in covering multiple industries including banking, insurance and asset management, retail, tech, telco and REIT.

Equity Analyst

ASICS Withholds Guidance: Possibility of Full-Term Loss

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Japanese sporting goods company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16287:1" rel="noopener">ASICS Corp (7936 JP)</a>’s share price and consensus FY+2 EV/OP has declined by 2.8% and 8.4% respectively, since our previous insight on 12th June 2020: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/asics-at-a-20-year-forward-ev-op-peak" target="_blank" rel="noopener">ASICS: At a 20-Year Forward EV/​OP Peak</a>. However, the company is still trading at <a target="_blank">23.9x </a>FY+2 EV/OP, 28% higher than the 52-week average.The company posts sales trends for its direct retail outlets in chart format every two weeks and according to the latest charts, sales trends in Japan, Europe, and the U.S have materially weakened over the last 3-4 weeks. However, the consensus FY+2 OP estimate was increased 6% during that time, possibly due to the positive news flows about the progress of the COVID-19 vaccine trials and the postponement of the Tokyo Olympics till July 2021.The economic impact of COVID-19 is expected to outlast the health impact, and we believe the recent upward revision of the consensus FY+2 OP is untimely, especially given the weakening own store retail sales trend.

Japanese sporting goods company ASICS Corp (7936 JP)’s share price and consensus FY+2 EV/OP has declined by 2.8% and 8.4% respectively, since our previous insight on 12th June 2020: ASICS: At a 20-Year Forward EV/​OP Peak. However, the company is still trading at 23.9x FY+2 EV/OP, 28% higher than the 52-week average.The company posts sales trends for its direct retail outlets in chart format every two weeks and according to the latest charts, sales trends in Japan, Europe, and the U.S have materially weakened over the last 3-4 weeks. However, the consensus FY+2 OP estimate was increased 6% during that time, possibly due to the positive news flows about the progress of the COVID-19 vaccine trials and the postponement of the Tokyo Olympics till July 2021.The economic impact of COVID-19 is expected to outlast the health impact, and we believe the recent upward revision of the consensus FY+2 OP is untimely, especially given the weakening own store retail sales trend.

ASICS: Near 20-Year Forward EV/​OP Peak

ASICS Corp

ASICS: Near 20-Year Forward EV/​OP Peak

ASICS: Near 20-Year Forward EV/OP Peak