Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

An equity research analyst with over 7 years of experience in multiple sectors. Previously worked for one of the world's largest asset managers with about USD2.5trn in AUM, covering small and micro-cap companies in the consumer sphere across Europe and developed Asia. Also experienced in covering multiple industries including banking, insurance and asset management, retail, tech, telco and REIT.

Equity Analyst

ASICS: Near 20-Year Forward EV/​OP Peak

ASICS Withholds Guidance: Possibility of Full-Term Loss

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Japanese sporting goods company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16287:1" rel="noopener">ASICS Corp (7936 JP) </a>has started posting sales trends for its direct retail outlets in chart format every two weeks and will continue to do so for the rest of the year. No sales data is provided, however, sales trends in Japan, Europe and the US remained weak until the end of May. Asics China, however, recorded positive year-on-year sales growth over the last four weeks.</p>
<p>Asics is currently trading at a twenty-year peak FY+2 EV/OP multiple of 26.1x. Our target price of ¥783, based on the 5-year average for this ratio, implies a 41.9% downside from the current price.</p>
<h3>EV/EBIT- FY+2</h3>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/139/405/original/image_11376073521591862142863.png?1591862144" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="139405"></figure>
<div class="content-caption">Source: Cap IQ</div>

Japanese sporting goods company ASICS Corp (7936 JP) has started posting sales trends for its direct retail outlets in chart format every two weeks and will continue to do so for the rest of the year. No sales data is provided, however, sales trends in Japan, Europe and the US remained weak until the end of May. Asics China, however, recorded positive year-on-year sales growth over the last four weeks.
Asics is currently trading at a twenty-year peak FY+2 EV/OP multiple of 26.1x. Our target price of ¥783, based on the 5-year average for this ratio, implies a 41.9% downside from the current price.
EV/EBIT- FY+2

Source: Cap IQ

ASICS Corp

ASICS: At a 20-Year Forward EV/OP Peak