Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Macro News Update: Weak Household Loan Data in September Highlights Urgency for Consumption Stimulus</li>
<li>Macro News Update : Scholars within China's government system indicates more incremental stimulus policies are on the way.</li>
<li>Macro News Update : Positive read thru on the Ministry of Finance press release(+)</li>
</ul>


Macro News Update: Weak Household Loan Data in September Highlights Urgency for Consumption Stimulus
Macro News Update : Scholars within China's government system indicates more incremental stimulus policies are on the way.
Macro News Update : Positive read thru on the Ministry of Finance press release(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/1211HK/LI US/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/ATAT US/002352 CH/2618HK/ZTO US/Macro

<ul>
<li>300750 CH/1211 HK:A fire broke out at CATL's Fujian factory, negatively affecting its safety image (-)</li>
<li>1211 HK:BYD recalls close to 100,000 vehicles, mainly produced in 2022-23 (/)</li>
<li>1519 HK/ZTO US: Parcel volume collection +40% yoy in prior week (+)</li>
</ul>


300750 CH/1211 HK:A fire broke out at CATL's Fujian factory, negatively affecting its safety image (-)
1211 HK:BYD recalls close to 100,000 vehicles, mainly produced in 2022-23 (/)
1519 HK/ZTO US: Parcel volume collection +40% yoy in prior week (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 CH/1211 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/600690 CH/000333 CH/000651 CH

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Although the tech sector in Hong Kong has surged over the last couple of weeks there appears to be minimal short covering in US-listed China tech names.</li>
<li>The performance of the "Magnificent 5" China tech names has led the rally as we outlined in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hong-kong-the-glass-is-half-full-time-to-buy-beta" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:134396" rel="noopener">Hong Kong: The Glass Is Half Full, Time to BUY Beta</a> .</li>
<li>The combination of of large outstanding short positions and a significant underweight of HK/China in international funds will lead to further upside in the tech sector.</li>
</ul>


Although the tech sector in Hong Kong has surged over the last couple of weeks there appears to be minimal short covering in US-listed China tech names.
The performance of the "Magnificent 5" China tech names has led the rally as we outlined in Hong Kong: The Glass Is Half Full, Time to BUY Beta .
The combination of of large outstanding short positions and a significant underweight of HK/China in international funds will lead to further upside in the tech sector.


Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>JD US/1810 HK/BABA US:NRDC announces positive results for “old-for-new” trade-in during September (+)</li>
<li>BILI US:Bilibili's &lt;Three Kingdoms: MDTX&gt; Shows Robust Gross Billings Performance After Season 3 Update (+)</li>
<li>PDD US/BABA US/JD US: PDD reduces the minimum withdrawal threshold for funds (/)</li>
</ul>


JD US/1810 HK/BABA US:NRDC announces positive results for “old-for-new” trade-in during September (+)
BILI US:Bilibili's &lt;Three Kingdoms: MDTX&gt; Shows Robust Gross Billings Performance After Season 3 Update (+)
PDD US/BABA US/JD US: PDD reduces the minimum withdrawal threshold for funds (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA/BILI/PDD/1519HK/ZTO /SE/700HK/BIDU/20HK/3690HK

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>August parcel volume growth moderated, but easing price pressure matters more</li>
<li>In July &amp; August, Chinese X-border parcel volume growth re-accelerated</li>
<li>We believe easing price pressure should lead to express margin expansion</li>
</ul>


August parcel volume growth moderated, but easing price pressure matters more
In July &amp; August, Chinese X-border parcel volume growth re-accelerated
We believe easing price pressure should lead to express margin expansion


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Price Pressures Ease | X-Border Re-Accelerates | (September 2024)

China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/1211HK/LI US/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/ATAT US/002352 CH/2618HK/ZTO US/Macro

Household loan data in China highlights need for consumption stimulus; more incremental policies expected. Positive outlook on Ministry of Finance...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 CH/1211 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/600690 CH/000333 CH/000651 CH

CATL's safety image takes a hit after fire at Fujian factory, BYD recalls 100,000 vehicles, ZTO sees 40% increase in parcel volume collection.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK/China: THE BIG SHORT (SQUEEZE)

Even though HK/China tech names have surged, short positions have not covered. The large underweight position in HK/China by international funds...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA/BILI/PDD/1519HK/ZTO /SE/700HK/BIDU/20HK/3690HK

NRDC reports successful "old-for-new" trade-in results, Bilibili's sees strong gross billings post update, PDD lowers minimum withdrawal...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Price Pressures Ease | X-Border Re-Accelerates | (September 2024)

Heavy price pressure from 2023 and the first half of 2024 has eased, which is positive for margins at all of the listed Chinese express companies....

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/1211HK/LI US/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/ATAT US/002352 CH/2618HK/ZTO US/Macro

​Household loan data in China highlights need for consumption stimulus; more incremental policies expected. Positive outlook on Ministry of Finance...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 CH/1211 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/600690 CH/000333 CH/000651 CH

​CATL's safety image takes a hit after fire at Fujian factory, BYD recalls 100,000 vehicles, ZTO sees 40% increase in parcel volume collection.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK/China: THE BIG SHORT (SQUEEZE)

Even though HK/China tech names have surged, short positions have not covered. The large underweight position in HK/China by international funds...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/1810 HK/BABA/BILI/PDD/1519HK/ZTO /SE/700HK/BIDU/20HK/3690HK

​NRDC reports successful "old-for-new" trade-in results, Bilibili's sees strong gross billings post update, PDD lowers minimum withdrawal...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Price Pressures Ease | X-Border Re-Accelerates | (September 2024)

Heavy price pressure from 2023 and the first half of 2024 has eased, which is positive for margins at all of the listed Chinese express companies....

Tracking Traffic

Household loan data in China highlights need for consumption stimulus; more incremental policies expected. Positive outlook on Ministry of Finance...

CATL's safety image takes a hit after fire at Fujian factory, BYD recalls 100,000 vehicles, ZTO sees 40% increase in parcel volume collection.

NRDC reports successful "old-for-new" trade-in results, Bilibili's sees strong gross billings post update, PDD lowers minimum withdrawal...