Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Since the inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect 7 trading days ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (6979 HK)</a>’s stock price is up 16%, suggesting strong interest from the southbound investors.</li>
<li>ZJLD has one of the best channel inventory and distributor perception among all the sauce aroma baijiu brands currently.</li>
<li>Expect further share price upside mainly from southbound buy, as the baijiu sector is one of the most followed sectors in A-share.     </li>
</ul>


Since the inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect 7 trading days ago, ZJLD Group (6979 HK)’s stock price is up 16%, suggesting strong interest from the southbound investors.
ZJLD has one of the best channel inventory and distributor perception among all the sauce aroma baijiu brands currently.
Expect further share price upside mainly from southbound buy, as the baijiu sector is one of the most followed sectors in A-share.     


ZJLD Group (6979 HK):  More Near-Term Upside Expected

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 22 adds and 27 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents down to 518.</li>
<li>We expect all 22 inclusions to the HSCI will be added to Stock Connect, while 24 of the 27 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Since the end of June, shares held though Southbound Connect have increased on 20 of the 27 HSCI deletions and there could be some unwinding in the next two weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 22 adds and 27 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents down to 518.
We expect all 22 inclusions to the HSCI will be added to Stock Connect, while 24 of the 27 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
Since the end of June, shares held though Southbound Connect have increased on 20 of the 27 HSCI deletions and there could be some unwinding in the next two weeks.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 22 Adds, 27 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2023 marked our eighth year covering Equity Capital Markets in Asia Pacific. In 2023, IPOs didn’t pick up much from the low base of 2022  while placements showed upward momentum.</li>
<li>We ended 2023 with an accuracy rate of 73.7% across 57 IPOs that we covered and 79.3% across 115 placements.</li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2023 marked our eighth year covering Equity Capital Markets in Asia Pacific. In 2023, IPOs didn’t pick up much from the low base of 2022  while placements showed upward momentum.
We ended 2023 with an accuracy rate of 73.7% across 57 IPOs that we covered and 79.3% across 115 placements.
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2023 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - IPOs Forming a Low Base, Placements Pick Up

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>, one of the world’s largest home appliance producers, aims to raise up to  US$5bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Midea Group is one of the world’s largest home appliance manufacturing companies with a presence in over 200 countries. Its A-shares have been listed since 2013.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH), one of the world’s largest home appliance producers, aims to raise up to  US$5bn in its H-share listing.
Midea Group is one of the world’s largest home appliance manufacturing companies with a presence in over 200 countries. Its A-shares have been listed since 2013.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Midea A/H Listing - Early Look - Probably Raising Acquisition Currency

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 21st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BOC, CNOOC, CCB, BYD, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 21st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for BOC, CNOOC, CCB, BYD, Zijin Mining.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 21st): BOC, CNOOC, CCB, BYD, Zijin Mining

China

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co., Ltd. operates in the brewery industry.  The Company's products include beer, spring water, beer raw materials, feeds, yeast, and other related products.

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co, Ltd. (000729 CH)

Shede Spirits Co., Ltd. manufactures liquor products. The Company produces high end liquor, low end liquor, mid end liquor, and other products. Shede Spirits markets its products throughout China.

Chongqing Brewery Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets beer products.  The Company also produces medical preparations and capsules.

Anhui Kouzi Distillery Co., Ltd. produces wine. The Company also manufactures, produces and sells liquor and glassware. Anhui Kouzi Distillery operates in China.

Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co., Ltd. produces white spirits, breeds and raises pigs, as well as manufactures feeds.

Sichuan Swellfun Co., Ltd. produces and markets spirits.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures antibiotics and operates in printing and packaging business.

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Company Ltd. brews and sells beers, hops, bottle lid and beverages. The Company's products include various type of Zhujiang beer.

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co (002461 CH)

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited distills, produces, and distributes wine, brandy, sparkling wine, and healthy liquor.  The Company's main products include dry red wines, dry white wines, sweet wine, XO brandy, VSOP brandy, tank-fermented sparkling wine, sparkling cider, and other spirits.

Jiugui Liquor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets Xiangquan and Jiugui series of white spirits.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures pharmaceutical products.

Anhui Golden Seed Winery Company, Ltd. produces and sells beer and spirit products. The Company also feeds cattle and produces leather products, animal feeds, packing materials, and biomedicals.

ITO EN, LTD. produces various types of Japanese tea and canned beverages.

The Boston Beer Company, Inc. produces a variety of craft-brewed beers and cider products at various contract breweries and Company-owned breweries.  The Company sells its products under brand names such as Boston Beer Company, Oregon Beer and Brewing Company, Samuel Adams, and HardCore.  Boston Beer sells its products to a network of wholesale distributors.

Sapporo Holdings Ltd produces and sells alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages.  The Company's products include beer, wine, brandy, whiskey, imported beer, soft drinks, juice, coffee, and tea.  SAPPORO HOLDINGS also operates real estate businesses.

Radico Khaitan Ltd. produces and distributes branded liquor.   The Company operates molasses and grain distilleries and produces whiskey, rum, brandy, and vodka.  Radico also produces country liquor and extra neutral alcohol.

Remy Cointreau SA manufactures and distributes premium wines and spirits worldwide.  The Company produces Remy Martin cognac, Cointreau, Passoa, Mount Gay rum, Metaxa. Through its wholly-owned sales company, Remy sells throughout the world.

Britvic Plc supplies a wide range of soft drinks. The Company manufactures and markets its own brand of soft drinks as well as supplies drinks manufactured by other companies.

Royal Unibrew A/S  produces beer, ale, and soft drinks. The Company produces beer, soft drinks, orange juice, and mineral water. Unibrew distributes its products throughout Europe.

Saigon Beer - Alcohol - Beverage Corporation produces and distributes alcoholic beverages. The Company offers beer, spirits, soda, and other products. Saigon Beer - Alcohol - Beverage serves clients in Vietnam.

Embotelladora Andina S.A. produces, markets, and distributes Coca-Cola products throughout Chile, Brazil, and Argentina.  The Company distributes soda, juices, mineral water, and other non-alcoholic beverages.  Andina also produces PET plastic bottles.

Fraser & Neave Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company which provides management services.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells glass containers, soft drinks, and dairy products.  Fraser & Neave also operates in property development and investment.

ZJLD Group Inc offers premium baijiu products featuring sauce aroma profile. The Company operates four major baijiu brands including flagship brand Zhen Jiu, thriving brand Li Du, as well as two regional leading brands Xiang Jiao and Kai Kou Xiao. ZJLD Group markets its products in China.

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ZJLD Group (6979 HK)