Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BYD’s sales volume increased by 35% YoY in June and by 39% YoY in 2Q24.</li>
<li>Tesla’s Model Y is on the state-owned corporation procurement catalogs.</li>
<li>Microsoft plans to close its franchised store chain in China due to the weak demand for Surface.</li>
</ul>


BYD’s sales volume increased by 35% YoY in June and by 39% YoY in 2Q24.
Tesla’s Model Y is on the state-owned corporation procurement catalogs.
Microsoft plans to close its franchised store chain in China due to the weak demand for Surface.


China Consumption Weekly (8 Jul 2024): BYD, Seres, Tesla, Microsoft, XHS, Mixue

<ul>
<li>European Commission will impose provisional tariffs on imported Chinese battery electric vehicles.</li>
<li>Zeekr’s deliveries increased by 117% YoY in 1Q24 and by 112% YoY in the first five months of 2024.</li>
<li>Ant Group will pay RMB1 billion to sponsor content creators on AliPay.</li>
</ul>


European Commission will impose provisional tariffs on imported Chinese battery electric vehicles.
Zeekr’s deliveries increased by 117% YoY in 1Q24 and by 112% YoY in the first five months of 2024.
Ant Group will pay RMB1 billion to sponsor content creators on AliPay.


China Consumption Weekly (17 Jun 2024): BYD, Geely, Zeekr, Zhihu, China Literature, Tencent

<ul>
<li>PDD’s market cap has exceeded Alibaba’s due to PDD’s overseas performance and price sensitive consumers.</li>
<li>Great Wall Motor plans to enter eight countries in Europe to bypass the investigation on Chinese export subsidies.</li>
<li>ByteDance plans to close its game subsidy and, 2,000 employees may lose their jobs.</li>
</ul>


PDD’s market cap has exceeded Alibaba’s due to PDD’s overseas performance and price sensitive consumers.
Great Wall Motor plans to enter eight countries in Europe to bypass the investigation on Chinese export subsidies.
ByteDance plans to close its game subsidy and, 2,000 employees may lose their jobs.


China Consumption Weekly (4 Dec 2023): PDD, Alibaba, AliHealth, Great Wall Motor, ByteDance

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>As 2022 comes to an end, we revisit our IPO calls over the last 12-months and how these stocks have performed to assess the effectiveness of our calls.</li>
<li>We made explicit buy/sell calls on 12 IPOs during this period with a hit-rate of 83.3% with Grab, GoTo, Cloud Music, SenseTime and Leapmotor IPOs making the highest returns.</li>
<li>We also wrote on several other IPOs during this period, however, those IPOs have not received approval yet.</li>
</ul>


As 2022 comes to an end, we revisit our IPO calls over the last 12-months and how these stocks have performed to assess the effectiveness of our calls.
We made explicit buy/sell calls on 12 IPOs during this period with a hit-rate of 83.3% with Grab, GoTo, Cloud Music, SenseTime and Leapmotor IPOs making the highest returns.
We also wrote on several other IPOs during this period, however, those IPOs have not received approval yet.


Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chinese online game market size decreased by 19.1% YoY and 12.6% QoQ in 3Q22.</li>
<li>Tmall, Alibaba’s direct sales app, started a mini-program in Tencent’s WeChat.</li>
<li>State Post Bureau announced that it would revise the express delivery rules, especially for green packaging.</li>
</ul>


Chinese online game market size decreased by 19.1% YoY and 12.6% QoQ in 3Q22.
Tmall, Alibaba’s direct sales app, started a mini-program in Tencent’s WeChat.
State Post Bureau announced that it would revise the express delivery rules, especially for green packaging.


China Internet Weekly (24Oct2022): Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, JD.com, NetEase, Zhihu

China

Zhihu Inc. operates as an online share knowledge community. The Company provides a socialized website for questions and answers which enables users to obtain information through questions that provoke the opinions and views from answerers as individuals. Zhihu conducts businesses in China.

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Zhihu Technology (ZH US)

China Consumption Weekly (8 Jul 2024): BYD, Seres, Tesla, Microsoft, XHS, Mixue

BYD’s sales volume increased by 35% YoY in June and by 39% YoY in 2Q24. Tesla’s Model Y is on the state-owned corporation procurement catalogues....

Ming Lu

China Consumption Weekly (17 Jun 2024): BYD, Geely, Zeekr, Zhihu, China Literature, Tencent

European Commission will impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. Zeekr’s deliveries increased by 112% YoY from Jan to May. Ant Group will pay...

Ming Lu

China Consumption Weekly (4 Dec 2023): PDD, Alibaba, AliHealth, Great Wall Motor, ByteDance

PDD’s market cap has exceeded Alibaba’s. Great Wall Motor plans to enter eight countries in Europe. ByteDance plans to close its game subsidy.

Ming Lu

Our IPO Calls for 2022

As 2022 comes to an end, we revisit our IPO calls for 2022 and assess the performance of these calls which had a hit rate of 83.3%. Some of the...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

China Internet Weekly (24Oct2022): Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, JD.com, NetEase, Zhihu

Chinese online game market size decreased by 19.1% YoY and 12.6% QoQ in 3Q22. Tmall started a mini-program in WeChat. State Post Bureau revised...

Ming Lu

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