IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhihu-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32185:1" rel="noopener">Zhihu Technology (ZH US)</a> has launched a conditional share buyback offer to acquire a maximum of 46.9m Class A ordinary shares (15.93% of outstanding shares) at HK$9.11 (US$3.50 per ADS).</li>
<li>The offer is conditional on shareholder approval by a majority of votes cast at the EGM. There is no minimum acceptance condition. The EGM vote is done due to irrevocables. </li>
<li>Zhihu’s share buyback returns 19% of cash not subject to government controls, below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/douyu-international-hold-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28045:1" rel="noopener">Douyu International Holdings (DOYU US)</a>’s comparable 34%. The minimum pro-ration is expected to be around 34%. </li>
</ul>



Zhihu Technology (ZH US) has launched a conditional share buyback offer to acquire a maximum of 46.9m Class A ordinary shares (15.93% of outstanding shares) at HK$9.11 (US$3.50 per ADS).
The offer is conditional on shareholder approval by a majority of votes cast at the EGM. There is no minimum acceptance condition. The EGM vote is done due to irrevocables. 
Zhihu’s share buyback returns 19% of cash not subject to government controls, below Douyu International Holdings (DOYU US)’s comparable 34%. The minimum pro-ration is expected to be around 34%. 


Zhihu (ZH US/2390 HK): Negative EV Play Launches a Share Buyback at HK$9.11/US$3.50

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BYD’s sales volume increased by 35% YoY in June and by 39% YoY in 2Q24.</li>
<li>Tesla’s Model Y is on the state-owned corporation procurement catalogs.</li>
<li>Microsoft plans to close its franchised store chain in China due to the weak demand for Surface.</li>
</ul>


BYD’s sales volume increased by 35% YoY in June and by 39% YoY in 2Q24.
Tesla’s Model Y is on the state-owned corporation procurement catalogs.
Microsoft plans to close its franchised store chain in China due to the weak demand for Surface.


China Consumption Weekly (8 Jul 2024): BYD, Seres, Tesla, Microsoft, XHS, Mixue

<ul>
<li>European Commission will impose provisional tariffs on imported Chinese battery electric vehicles.</li>
<li>Zeekr’s deliveries increased by 117% YoY in 1Q24 and by 112% YoY in the first five months of 2024.</li>
<li>Ant Group will pay RMB1 billion to sponsor content creators on AliPay.</li>
</ul>


European Commission will impose provisional tariffs on imported Chinese battery electric vehicles.
Zeekr’s deliveries increased by 117% YoY in 1Q24 and by 112% YoY in the first five months of 2024.
Ant Group will pay RMB1 billion to sponsor content creators on AliPay.


China Consumption Weekly (17 Jun 2024): BYD, Geely, Zeekr, Zhihu, China Literature, Tencent

<ul>
<li>Chinese Apps’ time on site decreased to 26.7 hours in 2022 from 28.5 hours in 2021.</li>
<li>The Press and Publication Administration approved 27 imported games in March.</li>
<li>Douyin launched a medium-duration video app, which can be Bilibili's competitor.</li>
</ul>


Chinese Apps’ time on site decreased to 26.7 hours in 2022 from 28.5 hours in 2021.
The Press and Publication Administration approved 27 imported games in March.
Douyin launched a medium-duration video app, which can be Bilibili's competitor.


China Internet Weekly (27Mar2023): Douyin, Bilibili, Tencent, NetEase, JD Health, Zhihu

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 35 adds and 28 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the March rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 527.</li>
<li>We expect 29 of the 35 inclusions to the HSCI will be added to Stock Connect, while 20 of the 28 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>19 stocks could be deleted from Stock Connect only since their average market cap has dropped below HK$5bn- unless the new threshold of HK$4bn is approved in the next week.</li>
</ul>


There are 35 adds and 28 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the March rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 527.
We expect 29 of the 35 inclusions to the HSCI will be added to Stock Connect, while 20 of the 28 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
19 stocks could be deleted from Stock Connect only since their average market cap has dropped below HK$5bn- unless the new threshold of HK$4bn is approved in the next week.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 35 Adds, 28 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

China

Zhihu Inc. operates as an online share knowledge community. The Company provides a socialized website for questions and answers which enables users to obtain information through questions that provoke the opinions and views from answerers as individuals. Zhihu conducts businesses in China.

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Zhihu (2390 HK)

China Consumption Weekly (8 Jul 2024): BYD, Seres, Tesla, Microsoft, XHS, Mixue

BYD’s sales volume increased by 35% YoY in June and by 39% YoY in 2Q24. Tesla’s Model Y is on the state-owned corporation procurement catalogues....

Ming Lu

China Consumption Weekly (17 Jun 2024): BYD, Geely, Zeekr, Zhihu, China Literature, Tencent

European Commission will impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. Zeekr’s deliveries increased by 112% YoY from Jan to May. Ant Group will pay...

Ming Lu

China Internet Weekly (27Mar2023): Douyin, Bilibili, Tencent, NetEase, JD Health, Zhihu

Apps’ time on site decreased in 2022 in China. The authorities approved 27 imported games in March. Douyin launched a Bilibili-like app, Green Peach.

Ming Lu

HSCI Index Rebalance: 35 Adds, 28 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

There are 35 adds & 28 deletes for the HSCI in March leading to 29 adds & 20 deletes for Stock Connect. 19 index constituents could be dropped from...

Brian Freitas

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Zhihu (ZH US/2390 HK): Negative EV Play Launches a Share Buyback at HK$9.11/US$3.50

Zhihu aims to return 19% of cash not subject to PRC government control, below Douyu’s comparable return of 34%. Expect more cash-rich US-China...

Arun George

China Consumption Weekly (8 Jul 2024): BYD, Seres, Tesla, Microsoft, XHS, Mixue

BYD’s sales volume increased by 35% YoY in June and by 39% YoY in 2Q24. Tesla’s Model Y is on the state-owned corporation procurement catalogues....

Ming Lu

China Consumption Weekly (17 Jun 2024): BYD, Geely, Zeekr, Zhihu, China Literature, Tencent

European Commission will impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. Zeekr’s deliveries increased by 112% YoY from Jan to May. Ant Group will pay...

Ming Lu

China Internet Weekly (27Mar2023): Douyin, Bilibili, Tencent, NetEase, JD Health, Zhihu

Apps’ time on site decreased in 2022 in China. The authorities approved 27 imported games in March. Douyin launched a Bilibili-like app, Green Peach.

Ming Lu

HSCI Index Rebalance: 35 Adds, 28 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

There are 35 adds & 28 deletes for the HSCI in March leading to 29 adds & 20 deletes for Stock Connect. 19 index constituents could be dropped from...

Brian Freitas