IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (3931 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$38.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$9.9 billion (US$1.3 billion). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>Grey market prices across various platforms show the shares last traded at HK$37.30-38.00 per share i.e., -2% down to unchanged compared to the IPO price.</li>
<li>Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. CALB should be, at least, valued in line with peer multiples.</li>
</ul>



CALB (3931 HK) priced its H Share at HK$38.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$9.9 billion (US$1.3 billion). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.
Grey market prices across various platforms show the shares last traded at HK$37.30-38.00 per share i.e., -2% down to unchanged compared to the IPO price.
Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 EV/EBITDA multiple. CALB should be, at least, valued in line with peer multiples.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>CALB raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its offering at the low-end.</li>
<li>CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


CALB raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its offering at the low-end.
CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products.
In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


CALB IPO Trading - Last of the Lot with the Least Demand of the Lot

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.</li>
<li>Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.</li>
</ul>


We see three new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in December. One is already in Stock Connect, one will be added to Stock Connect while one will not.
Given the large market moves, there will be many changes to the HSCI in March 2023. Quite a few stocks could remain in the HSCI but drop out of Connect.
Some of the potential deletions/ Stock Connect drops have large Southbound holdings and some of these positions could be pared back over the next few months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-space-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onetwo (2602 HK)</a> poor debuts. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (3931 HK)</a> prices at the low-end.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sats-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19962:1" rel="noopener">SATS (SATS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evoc-intelligent-technology-company-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2015:1" rel="noopener">EVOC Intelligent Technology Company Limited H (2308 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nearmap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5142:1" rel="noopener">Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Leapmotor (9863 HK) and Onetwo (2602 HK) poor debuts. CALB (3931 HK) prices at the low-end.
Event-Driven developments - SATS (SATS SP), Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK), EVOC Intelligent Technology Company Limited H (2308 HK), Tassal (TGR AU), MACA Ltd (MLD AU), Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (02 Oct) - SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Growatt, CALB

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, all listing this week failed to impress which means that the HK and Korean markets are probably in for a slow end of the year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-cement" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19736:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Cement (1101 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/embassy-office-parks-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27925:1" rel="noopener">Embassy Office Parks REIT (EMBASSY IN)</a> were the two large placements this week. We also looked at possible <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> linked blocks.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, all listing this week failed to impress which means that the HK and Korean markets are probably in for a slow end of the year.

Taiwan Cement (1101 TT) and Embassy Office Parks REIT (EMBASSY IN) were the two large placements this week. We also looked at possible Tencent (700 HK) linked blocks.


ECM Weekly (2nd Oct 2022) - Onewo, Leapmotor, CALB, Socionext, WCP, Oyo, Ixigo, Tencent, Taiwan Cemt

China

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologies Ltd. operates as an electric vehicles manufacturer. The Company develops and sells electric vehicles and other products. Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologies markets its products throughout China.

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Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK)

CALB IPO: Trading Debut

Grey market prices are down -2% to flat to the IPO price. Despite peer multiple derating, the IPO price implies a discount to the median peer EV...

Arun George

CALB IPO Trading - Last of the Lot with the Least Demand of the Lot

CALB raised around US$1.2bn in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its offering at the low-end. In this note, we talk about the demand for the deal...

Sumeet Singh

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in December & March (There's a Lot!)

There could be 3 adds in December while there will be MANY more changes in March. The adds should outnumber the deletes, but there will be many...

Brian Freitas

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Oct) - SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Growatt, CALB

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Nearmap, Ramsay, Infomedia) and ECM...

Arun George

ECM Weekly (2nd Oct 2022) - Onewo, Leapmotor, CALB, Socionext, WCP, Oyo, Ixigo, Tencent, Taiwan Cemt

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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