Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>400+ days ago, the TCC Group bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)</a> at just over 1.05x NAV failed on a combination of vocal minority opposition and minority apathy.</li>
<li>FHT has dramatically outperformed plummeting peers over the last few months on hope TCC might re-up that bid, but weaker peers and CRE markets suggest financing could be tougher.</li>
<li>Nothing is impossible, but it might make more sense for TCC to up its stake by stealth here rather than brute force. Earnings are 7 November.</li>
</ul>


400+ days ago, the TCC Group bid for Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP) at just over 1.05x NAV failed on a combination of vocal minority opposition and minority apathy.
FHT has dramatically outperformed plummeting peers over the last few months on hope TCC might re-up that bid, but weaker peers and CRE markets suggest financing could be tougher.
Nothing is impossible, but it might make more sense for TCC to up its stake by stealth here rather than brute force. Earnings are 7 November.


Frasers Hospitality - Will TCC Renew Its Takeover Offer? Market Prices Bet Yes Ahead of Earnings

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8954'>Greentown China</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-28325'>HPCL-Mittal Energy Ltd</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-3121'>Lippo Karawaci</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-40676'>Citicore Renewable Energy</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Greentown ChinaHPCL-Mittal Energy LtdLippo KarawaciCiticore Renewable Energy

Morning Views Asia: Greentown China, HPCL-Mittal Energy Ltd, Lippo Karawaci, Citicore Renewable Energy

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a> is on a trading halt. Press reports suggest a consortium featuring Starwood Capital Group and SSW Partners is considering a buyout.</li>
<li>Starwood and SSW are approaching other shareholders to join the consortium. The other members are likely Warburg Pincus, OMERS, Jinchu Shen, and Hwee Chiang Lim.</li>
<li>The offer is likely to be structured as a Cayman privatisation scheme. Our best guess is that an offer of at least HK$14.00 per share would be needed. </li>
</ul>



ESR Group (1821 HK) is on a trading halt. Press reports suggest a consortium featuring Starwood Capital Group and SSW Partners is considering a buyout.
Starwood and SSW are approaching other shareholders to join the consortium. The other members are likely Warburg Pincus, OMERS, Jinchu Shen, and Hwee Chiang Lim.
The offer is likely to be structured as a Cayman privatisation scheme. Our best guess is that an offer of at least HK$14.00 per share would be needed. 


ESR Group (1821 HK): Starwood Capital and SSW Partners Gauging a Privatisation Bid

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://skr.ma/mqr7w" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> discussed the forthcoming inclusion of RMB dual counters in the Hong Kong Southbound Connect programs.</li>
<li>This is but one of the five capital market cooperation measures <a href="http://www.csrc.gov.cn/csrc/c100028/c7474875/content.shtml" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> by the CSRC last Friday. </li>
<li>The other four measures include ETFs, improving mutual recognition of funds, increasing China IPOs in Hong Kong, and the inclusion of REITs. This insight discusses the latter.</li>
</ul>


In RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships, Travis Lundy discussed the forthcoming inclusion of RMB dual counters in the Hong Kong Southbound Connect programs.
This is but one of the five capital market cooperation measures announced by the CSRC last Friday. 
The other four measures include ETFs, improving mutual recognition of funds, increasing China IPOs in Hong Kong, and the inclusion of REITs. This insight discusses the latter.


Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-13022'>Anton Oilfield</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8954'>Greentown China</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Anton OilfieldGreentown China

Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Greentown China

Hong Kong

Hui Xian Real Estate Investment Trust is a real estate investment trust. The trust's sole real estate investment interest at the time of its listing is its investment interest in the Oriental Plaza in Beijing.

Sunlight Real Estate Investment Trust is a real estate investment trust that invests in a portfolio of office and retail properties throughout Hong Kong.

Spring Real Estate Investment Trust is a real estate investment trust formed primarily to own and invest in high quality income-producing real estate in Asia.

Prosperity REIT is a real estate investment trust formed primarily to own and invest in commercial properties, with exposure to the office and industrial office sectors in Hong Kong.

Regal Real Estate Investment Trust is a real estate investment trust that invests in hotel properties.

Regal Real Estate Investment Trust (1881 HK)

China Merchants Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust operates as a Hong Kong collective investment scheme. The Company invests primarilyin income-generating properties and uses the income to provide stable returns to itsunitholders. China Merchants Commercial Real Estate Investment Trust provides services in Hong Kong.

China Merchants Commercial REIT (1503 HK)

C C Land Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties in Western China. The company also manufactures and trades packaging products and luggage, and invests in treasuries as well.

Poly Property Group Co., Ltd. develops, invests in, and manages properties in China.  The Company develops mid- to high-end residential and commercial projects in first-tier and second-tier provincial capitals in Central and Southwestern China.

Tian An China Investments Co Ltd, through its subsidiaries, develops and manages properties, and provides agency services.  The Company also sells construction materials.

K Wah International Holdings Limited is principally involved in property development and investment in Hong Kong, Mainland China and Singapore. The Company also holds an interest in Galaxy Entertainment Group.

Frasers Hospitality Trust operates as a real estate investment trust. The Trust owns, operates and invests in hotels and serviced residences.

Universal Health Realty Income Trust is a real estate investment trust that invests in healthcare and human service related facilities, including acute care hospitals, behavioral healthcare facilities, rehabilitation hospitals, sub-acute care facilities, surgery centers, childcare centers and medical office buildings.

Universal Health Realty Income Trust (UHT US)

Charter Hall Social Infrastructure REIT operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company invests in social infrastructure properties, as well as provides assets and capital management services. Charter Hall Social Infrastructure serves clients in Australia and New Zealand.

Charter Hall Social Infrastructure REIT (CQE AU)

Summit Hotel Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust.  The trust invests in hotels in the United States that do not serve food and beverages and serve the middle and upscale markets.  Most of the hotels are franchised from brand name hotel companies.

Whitestone REIT is a real estate investment trust.  The Trust invests in and operates retail, industrial and office properties.

Global One Real Estate Investment Corp., Ltd. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in income producing properties.  The Company mainly invests in office buildings in metropolitan, Chubu, and Kinki areas.

Global One Real Estate Investment Corp (8958 JP)

Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company invests in real estate properties such as commercial and office buildings.

Axis Real Estate Investment Trust is a real estate investment trust that owns and invests in a portfolio of commercial, office and office/retail real estate located in Malaysia. The portfolio includes Axis Business Park, Menara Axis, Crystal Plaza, Infinite Centre and Axis Plaza.

Gladstone Commercial Corporation was created to invest in and own net leased industrial and commercial real estate property and making long-term industrial and commercial mortgage loans.  The company is actively seeking and evaluating properties for potential acquisition or mortgage financing.

Property for Industry Limited is a property company that invests in New Zealand industrial properties. The Company's property portfolio includes sites in Auckland, Hamilton, Tauranga, Wellington and Christchurch.

Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust invests in a diverse portfolio of income producing properties which are used primarily for office, retail, and other commercial purposes in China.

Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust (405 HK)

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Yuexiu Real Estate Investment Trust (405 HK)

Frasers Hospitality - Will TCC Renew Its Takeover Offer? Market Prices Bet Yes Ahead of Earnings

Frasers Hospitality Trust is trading as if TCC might make another offer. But peers in Singapore/Asia are getting crushed, and globally CRE is in...

Travis Lundy

Morning Views Asia: Greentown China, HPCL-Mittal Energy Ltd, Lippo Karawaci, Citicore Renewable Energy

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

ESR Group (1821 HK): Starwood Capital and SSW Partners Gauging a Privatisation Bid

The offer is likely to be structured as a Cayman privatisation scheme. Our best guess is that an offer of at least HK$14.00 per share would be needed.

Arun George

HK REITs Re-Rate On Southbound Inclusion

Stick to a basket of Hong Kong-focused REITs. I'd tilt to those HK-REITs which are not 100% exposed to the office-space, such as Link REIT (823...

David Blennerhassett

Morning Views Asia: Anton Oilfield, Greentown China

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

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