Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Dongwon Industries’ float rate is less than 10% (1 - 63.15% - 27.65% = 9.20%), which makes it ineligible for KOSPI 200. KRX will reflect this in the June review.</li>
<li>The passive outflow size due to K200 deletion is expected to be about 50 billion won, which will cause an impact of about 28x ADTV.</li>
<li>Considering this deletion has not been sufficiently exposed in the market, the actual price impact may be even more significant and preemptive.</li>
</ul>


Dongwon Industries’ float rate is less than 10% (1 - 63.15% - 27.65% = 9.20%), which makes it ineligible for KOSPI 200. KRX will reflect this in the June review.
The passive outflow size due to K200 deletion is expected to be about 50 billion won, which will cause an impact of about 28x ADTV.
Considering this deletion has not been sufficiently exposed in the market, the actual price impact may be even more significant and preemptive.


Aggressive Shorting on Dongwon Industries, Which Has Not Been Noticed as a K200 Deletion

<ul>
<li>Through the regular rebalancing, Kum Yang and Cosmo Chemical will be included in KOSPI 200, and Youlchon Chemical will be included as an ad-hoc change due to Dongkuk Steel's deletion.</li>
<li>We should prepare for an aggressive long position on Youlchon Chemical from a day trading perspective, targeting May 15th, the day after Dongkuk Steel's general meeting.</li>
<li>If the meeting is scheduled for the morning, we should consider entering the position in the afternoon of the 12th.</li>
</ul>


Through the regular rebalancing, Kum Yang and Cosmo Chemical will be included in KOSPI 200, and Youlchon Chemical will be included as an ad-hoc change due to Dongkuk Steel's deletion.
We should prepare for an aggressive long position on Youlchon Chemical from a day trading perspective, targeting May 15th, the day after Dongkuk Steel's general meeting.
If the meeting is scheduled for the morning, we should consider entering the position in the afternoon of the 12th.


Target May 15th for LONG Youlchon Chemical with Dongkuk Steel's Split Approval

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the potential new inclusions in KOSPI 200 rebalance in May 2023.</li>
<li>The five stocks that are potential inclusions in KOSPI 200 rebalance in May 2023 include Kumyang, Cosmo Chemical, Dentium, Jeju Air, and Youlchon Chemical. </li>
<li>Kumyang and Cosmo Chemical are up on average 177% YTD. We would not chase these two stocks as their share prices have already risen considerably. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the potential new inclusions in KOSPI 200 rebalance in May 2023.
The five stocks that are potential inclusions in KOSPI 200 rebalance in May 2023 include Kumyang, Cosmo Chemical, Dentium, Jeju Air, and Youlchon Chemical. 
Kumyang and Cosmo Chemical are up on average 177% YTD. We would not chase these two stocks as their share prices have already risen considerably. 


Additional Potential Inclusions in KOSPI 200 Rebalance in May 2023

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samyang-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9100:1" rel="noopener">Samyang Foods (003230 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-greenfood-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19560:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Greenfood (005440 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the close on 12 April.</li>
<li>We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dgb-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6138:1" rel="noopener">DGB Financial Group (139130 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meritz-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19692:1" rel="noopener">Meritz Securities (008560 KS)</a> in early April.</li>
<li>Then we expect another 3 changes at the regular rebalance in June. The potential adds have moved sharply higher recently and there are flows from other index trackers too.</li>
</ul>



Samyang Foods (003230 KS) will replace Hyundai Greenfood (005440 KS) in the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the close on 12 April.
We expect DGB Financial Group (139130 KS) will replace Meritz Securities (008560 KS) in early April.
Then we expect another 3 changes at the regular rebalance in June. The potential adds have moved sharply higher recently and there are flows from other index trackers too.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes in April & June

<ul>
<li>NPS said it would add 50 KOSPI stocks to KOSPI 200 for direct management. However, the key was when this would be implemented and which ones would be included.</li>
<li>SBS, one of Korea's major networks, exclusively reported that NPS finalized the constituent stocks of the NPS-KR250 and started rebalancing trading on the 50 additional KOSPI stocks from January.</li>
<li>Hence, tracing and identifying who these additional 50 KOSPI stocks are is becoming the hottest topic in Korea's local market at this point.</li>
</ul>


NPS said it would add 50 KOSPI stocks to KOSPI 200 for direct management. However, the key was when this would be implemented and which ones would be included.
SBS, one of Korea's major networks, exclusively reported that NPS finalized the constituent stocks of the NPS-KR250 and started rebalancing trading on the 50 additional KOSPI stocks from January.
Hence, tracing and identifying who these additional 50 KOSPI stocks are is becoming the hottest topic in Korea's local market at this point.


Korea NPS Reportedly Finalized Additional 50 KOSPI Stocks in Its BM for Direct Management

South Korea

Youlchon Chemical Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures packaging materials such as single and multilayer oriented polypropylene films and corrugated cardboards for use in consumer product labeling and packaging applications.  The Company also produces laminated tubes to pack toothpaste, cosmetics, and adhesives.  In addition, Youlchon manufactures carrier tapes which carry electronic parts.

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Youlchon Chemical (008730 KS)

Aggressive Shorting on Dongwon Industries, Which Has Not Been Noticed as a K200 Deletion

This post presents the shorting opportunity on Dongwon Industries, which will likely be deleted in the KOSPI 200 June review, as its free-float...

Sanghyun Park

Target May 15th for LONG Youlchon Chemical with Dongkuk Steel's Split Approval

This post investigates the potential ad-hoc change in KOSPI 200 due to Dongkuk Steel's split and examines the Long position entry timing for the...

Sanghyun Park

Additional Potential Inclusions in KOSPI 200 Rebalance in May 2023

The five stocks that are potential inclusions in KOSPI 200 rebalance in May 2023 include Kumyang, Cosmo Chemical, Dentium, Jeju Air, and Youlchon...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes in April & June

There will be 2 changes to the index in April and then another 3 in June. Flows are significant on some stocks. The adds have all moved higher in...

Brian Freitas

Korea NPS Reportedly Finalized Additional 50 KOSPI Stocks in Its BM for Direct Management

This post investigates the 50 additional KOSPI stocks that Korea NPS has reportedly chosen for its benchmark index for direct management, called...

Sanghyun Park

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