Materials Analyst/Strategist, Janus Analysis

Gaius King

Materials Analyst/Strategist

Janus Analysis

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Initiate on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20374" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20374:1">Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)</a> as a BUY</li>
<li>Six Chinese SOEs control ~78% of global primary REE supply</li>
<li>Est. China processes &gt;90% of global REE concentrate</li>
<li>LYC is the only LREE producer outside China of any note</li>
<li>Current focus on environmental problems and future capex secondary concerns</li>
<li>Potential mine expansion at Mt Weld</li>
<li>MOU regarding strategic processing in the US</li>
<li>Future margin expansion following recent REE price rises (~33% in a week)</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/2106" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2106:1">Pensana Metals (PM8 AU)</a> as a Speculative BUY</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4111" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4111:1">Peel Mining Ltd (PEX AU)</a> focus on Mallee Bull a possible distraction</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/6698" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27844" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27844:1">Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN)</a>, Black Cat Syndicate (ASX: BC8), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20488" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/2971" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2971:1">Hawkstone Mining (HWK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28006" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/14062" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14062:1">Troy Resources (TRY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15518" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15518:1">Australian Vanadium (AVL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15374" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15374:1">Predictive Discovery (PDI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19897" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19897:1">Vango Mining (VAN AU)</a>, Carawine Resources (ASX: CWX)</li>
</ul>


Initiate on Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU) as a BUY
Six Chinese SOEs control ~78% of global primary REE supply
Est. China processes &gt;90% of global REE concentrate
LYC is the only LREE producer outside China of any note
Current focus on environmental problems and future capex secondary concerns
Potential mine expansion at Mt Weld
MOU regarding strategic processing in the US
Future margin expansion following recent REE price rises (~33% in a week)
Pensana Metals (PM8 AU) as a Speculative BUY

Peel Mining Ltd (PEX AU) focus on Mallee Bull a possible distraction

Gold Road Resources (GOR AU), Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN), Black Cat Syndicate (ASX: BC8), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Hawkstone Mining (HWK AU), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Troy Resources (TRY AU), Australian Vanadium (AVL AU), Predictive Discovery (PDI AU), Vango Mining (VAN AU), Carawine Resources (ASX: CWX)


New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 31/05/19)

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<ul>
<li>Uranium Price has fallen 7% over the past two months</li>
<li>Actively looking for uranium short positions</li>
<li>Provide summarised watch list</li>
<li>Wisdom from Samuel Longhorne Clemens</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27844" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27844:1">Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/17078" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17078:1">Berkeley Energy (BKY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/25364" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25364:1">Cameco Corp (CCO CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27734" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27734:1">Kazatomprom Natsionalnaya At (KZAP KZ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28004" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28004:1">Jangada Mines PLC (JAN LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28005" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28005:1">Europa Metals Ltd (EUZ LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/10708" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10708:1">Buxton Resources (BUX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/2564" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2564:1">Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/18292" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18292:1">Myanmar Metals (MYL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/13112" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13112:1">Archer Exploration (AXE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15927" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15927:1">Canyon Resources (CAY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4293" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4293:1">Catalyst Metals (CYL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/14712" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14712:1">Core Exploration (CXO AU)</a>, Exore Resources (ASX: ERX), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20213" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20213:1">Stavely Minerals (SVY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28006" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28007" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28007:1">Horizonte Minerals PLC (HZM LN)</a>, Bellevue Gold (ASX: BGL), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/14443" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14443:1">Allegiance Coal (AHQ AU)</a>, First Au (ASX: FAU), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3189" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3189:1">Base Resources (BSE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19210" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19210:1">Breaker Resources Nl (BRB AU)</a>  </li>
</ul>


Uranium Price has fallen 7% over the past two months
Actively looking for uranium short positions
Provide summarised watch list
Wisdom from Samuel Longhorne Clemens

Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN), Berkeley Energy (BKY AU), Cameco Corp (CCO CN), Kazatomprom Natsionalnaya At (KZAP KZ), Jangada Mines PLC (JAN LN), Europa Metals Ltd (EUZ LN), Buxton Resources (BUX AU), Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU), Myanmar Metals (MYL AU), Archer Exploration (AXE AU), Canyon Resources (CAY AU), Catalyst Metals (CYL AU), Core Exploration (CXO AU), Exore Resources (ASX: ERX), Stavely Minerals (SVY AU), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Horizonte Minerals PLC (HZM LN), Bellevue Gold (ASX: BGL), Allegiance Coal (AHQ AU), First Au (ASX: FAU), Base Resources (BSE AU), Breaker Resources Nl (BRB AU)  


New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 22/03/19)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27844" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27844:1">Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN)</a> is a pure play on the uranium price</li>
<li>Spot Price $28.90/lb U3O8 &amp; L.T. Price remains $32/lb U3O8
</li>
<li>Share price trading at ~2% discount to NPV</li>
<li>Despite recent production cuts, primary &amp; secondary supplies cover world demand</li>
<li>Est. surplus ~500ktU, representing six years of global primary production</li>
<li>Global nuclear generation peaked in 2006</li>
<li>Forecast world uranium demand to decline between 25% and 40% by 2050</li>
<li>
1-year Target Price £1.98-2.02 ps NPV4% assuming $24/lb U3O8
</li>
<li>
3-year Target Price £1.57-1.77 ps NPV4% assuming $21/lb U3O</li>
</ul>



Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN) is a pure play on the uranium price
Spot Price $28.90/lb U3O8 &amp; L.T. Price remains $32/lb U3O8

Share price trading at ~2% discount to NPV
Despite recent production cuts, primary &amp; secondary supplies cover world demand
Est. surplus ~500ktU, representing six years of global primary production
Global nuclear generation peaked in 2006
Forecast world uranium demand to decline between 25% and 40% by 2050

1-year Target Price £1.98-2.02 ps NPV4% assuming $24/lb U3O8


3-year Target Price £1.57-1.77 ps NPV4% assuming $21/lb U3O


Yellow Cake (YCA) - Great Idea, Wrong Time!

United Kingdom

Yellow Cake PLC operates as an uranium investment company. The Company specializes in purchase and storage of uranium oxide. Yellow Cake serves uranium sector in Jersey.

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Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN)

New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 31/05/19)

Initiate on Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU) as a BUY Six Chinese SOEs control ~78% of global primary REE supply Est. China processes >90% of global REE...

Gaius King

New J Hutton – Exploration Report (Weeks Ending 22/03/19)

Uranium Price has fallen 7% over the past two months Actively looking for uranium short positions Provide summarised watch list Wisdom from Samuel...

Boost Research

Yellow Cake (YCA) - Great Idea, Wrong Time!

Yellow Cake PLC (YCA LN) is a pure play on the uranium price Spot Price $28.90/lb U3O8 & L.T. Price remains $32/lb U3O8 Share price trading...

Boost Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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