CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, and 11 stocks added into portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 259% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 44%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, and 11 stocks added into portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 259% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 44%


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dyna-mac-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16153:1" rel="noopener">Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP)</a> disclosed a revised conditional offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-aerospace-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:504:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a> at S$0.67, an 11.7% premium to the initial S$0.60 offer.</li>
<li>The Estate (largest shareholder) stated that the previous S$0.60 offer was not compelling. The final offer addresses most of the Estate’s valuation concerns.</li>
<li>The Estate’s view and IFA opinion in the circular (despatched by 23 October) will be crucial to the acceptance rate. They are likely to support the final offer. </li>
</ul>



Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP) disclosed a revised conditional offer from Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS) and Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) at S$0.67, an 11.7% premium to the initial S$0.60 offer.
The Estate (largest shareholder) stated that the previous S$0.60 offer was not compelling. The final offer addresses most of the Estate’s valuation concerns.
The Estate’s view and IFA opinion in the circular (despatched by 23 October) will be crucial to the acceptance rate. They are likely to support the final offer. 


Dyna-Mac (DMHL SP): Hanwha’s Final Offer Could Get the Deal Done

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dyna-mac-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16153:1" rel="noopener">Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP)</a> disclosed a voluntary conditional offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-aerospace-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:504:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-ocean-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12531:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS)</a> at S$0.60, a 21.2% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The offer is conditional on regulatory approval (Competition and Consumer Commission of Singapore) and a 50% minimum acceptance condition. </li>
<li>The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples. However, it may face resistance as it is below the recent high of S$0.615 and Dyna-Mac's improving outlook (S$681 million order book). </li>
</ul>



Dyna Mac Holdings (DMHL SP) disclosed a voluntary conditional offer from Hanwha Aerospace (012450 KS) and Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) at S$0.60, a 21.2% premium to the undisturbed price.
The offer is conditional on regulatory approval (Competition and Consumer Commission of Singapore) and a 50% minimum acceptance condition. 
The offer is reasonable compared to peer multiples. However, it may face resistance as it is below the recent high of S$0.615 and Dyna-Mac's improving outlook (S$681 million order book). 


Dyna-Mac (DMHL SP): Hanwha’s Voluntary Conditional Offer

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, 10 stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 249% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 39%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, 10 stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, the portfolio has generated a before-fee total return of 249% versus MSCI ASEAN’s 39%


Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Container ships are standardized, and fleets can be "market to market" values</li>
<li>This approach suggests TS Lines' equity could be worth &gt; US$2.0 bn</li>
<li>However, there are some caveats that come with this valuation approach</li>
</ul>


Container ships are standardized, and fleets can be "market to market" values
This approach suggests TS Lines' equity could be worth &gt; US$2.0 bn
However, there are some caveats that come with this valuation approach


TS Lines Pre-IPO: Adjusted Book Value Approach Yields Estimated Equity Valuation of US$1.96-2.06 Bn

Singapore

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) Limited builds a wide range of ships. The Company produces a wide range of commercial vessels, mini bulk carriers, multi-purpose cargo vessels, containerships, chemical tankers, offshore supply vessels, rescue and salvage vessels, and lifting vessels.

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Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP)

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 49

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Three stocks remain, 11 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

Dyna-Mac (DMHL SP): Hanwha’s Final Offer Could Get the Deal Done

The Estate’s view and IFA opinion in the circular (despatched by 23 October) will be crucial to the acceptance rate. They are likely to support the...

Arun George

Dyna-Mac (DMHL SP): Hanwha’s Voluntary Conditional Offer

The Lim Estate’s statement notes that Dyna-Mac “is definitely worth more than SGD 0.60 per share. The Estate is not opposed to proposed offers for...

Arun George

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 48

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine stocks added...

A. Stotz Investment Research

TS Lines Pre-IPO: Adjusted Book Value Approach Yields Estimated Equity Valuation of US$1.96-2.06 Bn

Adjusting the book value of TS Lines' fleet based on recent newbuilding prices implies an equity valuation for the regional container carrier of as...

Tracking Traffic

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