HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With a massive 125% rally YTD, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-goldwind-science-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10112:1" rel="noopener">Xinjiang Goldwind Science &amp; Technology (2208 HK)</a> is no longer cheap. Its yield of 3.5% for FY25 cannot stand out as attractive.</li>
<li>Good 9M24 earnings growth is partly due to an extremely low base last year. However, the average bidding price of WTG suppliers is still 50% below that in early 2022. </li>
<li>Net operating cash outflow surged 37.8% YoY, adding pressure to its balance sheet. Its gearing has increased by 7pp over the last nine months.</li>
</ul>


With a massive 125% rally YTD, Xinjiang Goldwind Science &amp; Technology (2208 HK) is no longer cheap. Its yield of 3.5% for FY25 cannot stand out as attractive.
Good 9M24 earnings growth is partly due to an extremely low base last year. However, the average bidding price of WTG suppliers is still 50% below that in early 2022. 
Net operating cash outflow surged 37.8% YoY, adding pressure to its balance sheet. Its gearing has increased by 7pp over the last nine months.


Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK): We Should Be More Prudent

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the Brand Spanking New and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see the relationships easily. We used to do it. </li>
<li>We decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. </li>
<li>We hope this new version serves readers even better. Feedback is actively solicited to see if we can improve it from here. </li>
</ul>


This is the Brand Spanking New and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see the relationships easily. We used to do it. 
We decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. 
We hope this new version serves readers even better. Feedback is actively solicited to see if we can improve it from here. 


The Brand Spanking New Extra Spiffy 🦄H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly (As of 11 Aug 2023)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power Group Corp (916 HK)</a> is expected to see an exciting year on the back of faster capacity growth, increase in utilisation hours and higher average tariff.</li>
<li>Potential asset injection from its parent CHN Energy remains a wild card. It may grow its capacity by an average of 30% over the next three years if materialises.</li>
<li>Lower funding costs and the return to A-share are positive to Longyuan's expansion. We think consensus forecasts for next 2 years are too low and represent potential upside surprises.</li>
</ul>



China Longyuan Power Group Corp (916 HK) is expected to see an exciting year on the back of faster capacity growth, increase in utilisation hours and higher average tariff.
Potential asset injection from its parent CHN Energy remains a wild card. It may grow its capacity by an average of 30% over the next three years if materialises.
Lower funding costs and the return to A-share are positive to Longyuan's expansion. We think consensus forecasts for next 2 years are too low and represent potential upside surprises.


China Longyuan (916 HK): It Deserves the Premium

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's renewed buy streak continued this past week; every day net positive. Strong net buying. NORTHBOUND saw net selling. Gross volumes on both were light.</li>
<li>AH Premia rebounded off multi-year lows, on average, this past week as Hang Seng/other HK indices fell and A-shares did not do much. Liquid Hs underperformed As by 2%.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's renewed buy streak continued this past week; every day net positive. Strong net buying. NORTHBOUND saw net selling. Gross volumes on both were light.
AH Premia rebounded off multi-year lows, on average, this past week as Hang Seng/other HK indices fell and A-shares did not do much. Liquid Hs underperformed As by 2%.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 31 May 2024):  HK Stocks Have an Ugly Week; AH Premium in Liquid Pairs Rises

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Li Auto, China Mobile and outflows from Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Li Auto, China Mobile and outflows from Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (February): $6bn Inflows into Alibaba

China

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures wind generator sets, provides consulting service in building and operating wind generating plants, builds and operates middle-sized wind generating plants.

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK)

Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK): We Should Be More Prudent

Goldwind's impressive YTD rally may not be sustainable as its yield is no longer attractive, with a surge in net operating cash outflow and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Longyuan (916 HK): It Deserves the Premium

FY22 will be an exciting year - higher utilisation, improvement in tariff, faster capacity growth and potential asset injection. All these factors...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A/H Premium Tracker (To 31 May 2024): HK Stocks Have an Ugly Week; AH Premium in Liquid Pairs Rises

The Quiddity HA Monitor Portfolio fell 0.82% this past week on no changes as liquid Hs underperformed their As by 1.99%, offering 0.76% alpha. AH...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (February): $6bn Inflows into Alibaba

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for February and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Li Auto, China Mobile and outflows from Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK): We Should Be More Prudent

Goldwind's impressive YTD rally may not be sustainable as its yield is no longer attractive, with a surge in net operating cash outflow and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

The Brand Spanking New Extra Spiffy 🦄H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly (As of 11 Aug 2023)

Quiddity's New & Improved And Really Quite Spiffy H/A Discount Monitor. All the H/A Pairs, universe & sector metrics, with interactive tables and...

Travis Lundy

China Longyuan (916 HK): It Deserves the Premium

FY22 will be an exciting year - higher utilisation, improvement in tariff, faster capacity growth and potential asset injection. All these factors...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A/H Premium Tracker (To 31 May 2024): HK Stocks Have an Ugly Week; AH Premium in Liquid Pairs Rises

The Quiddity HA Monitor Portfolio fell 0.82% this past week on no changes as liquid Hs underperformed their As by 1.99%, offering 0.76% alpha. AH...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (February): $6bn Inflows into Alibaba

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for February and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Li Auto, China Mobile and outflows from Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM