Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Total revenue growth rate climbed up 27% YoY in 1Q24 with all businesses growing strongly.</li>
<li>Smartphone shipments grew by 34% YoY and achieved global No. 3.</li>
<li>In 1Q24, the gross margins of all major businesses obviously improved.</li>
</ul>


Total revenue growth rate climbed up 27% YoY in 1Q24 with all businesses growing strongly.
Smartphone shipments grew by 34% YoY and achieved global No. 3.
In 1Q24, the gross margins of all major businesses obviously improved.


XM / Xiaomi (1810 HK): 1Q24, Revenue Up by 27%, Smartphone Shipments Ranked Global No. 3

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Performance of SU7 so far, margin of EV biz and globalization potential prompted us to take another look at Xiaomi and we like what we saw;</li>
<li>Xiaomi surprised during the Investor Day by guiding SU7 gross margin of 5-10%. Delivery guidance also surprised to ship 100k units in 2024. </li>
<li>We raise EV profitability estimates on margin guidance and expect market share to expand as it expands to SUVs.</li>
</ul>


Performance of SU7 so far, margin of EV biz and globalization potential prompted us to take another look at Xiaomi and we like what we saw;
Xiaomi surprised during the Investor Day by guiding SU7 gross margin of 5-10%. Delivery guidance also surprised to ship 100k units in 2024. 
We raise EV profitability estimates on margin guidance and expect market share to expand as it expands to SUVs.


[Xiaomi (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$20) Rating Change]: Xiaomi EV Came at the Right Time of Consolidation

<ul>
<li>In 1Q24, Xiaomi and Transsion shipments grew rapidly, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> shrank.</li>
<li>Tims China’s revenue expanded with new openings, which is encouraging in the competitive market.</li>
<li>In China, Tesla fired salespeople who had served the company for less than six months.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q24, Xiaomi and Transsion shipments grew rapidly, while Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) and Apple (AAPL US) shrank.
Tims China’s revenue expanded with new openings, which is encouraging in the competitive market.
In China, Tesla fired salespeople who had served the company for less than six months.


China Consumption Weekly (22 Apr 2024): Xiaomi, Transsion, Tims China, Xpeng, Tesla

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Sunny Optical Technology Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.</li>
<li>Analysts are raising forecasts for<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> had a positive profit alert and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/minth-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9232:1" rel="noopener">Minth Group Ltd (425 HK)</a> is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong market trades about 30% below analysts' estimated 12 month target price.
Analysts are raising forecasts forXiaomi Corp (1810 HK) as it meets success with new phone rollouts and its EV business.  

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) had a positive profit alert and Minth Group Ltd (425 HK) is showing growth in its international business. Both are rated BUY from analysts.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$19.2bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Tencent and ETFs stood out as large net buys.</li>
<li>I've thought national team was buying banks for months. This week, no banks showed in the top five net buys, and only 1 in the top ten.</li>
<li>It is somewhat perplexing that the flows just stopped. But that may be a sign of things to come. Confirmation may require a week or two.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$19.2bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Tencent and ETFs stood out as large net buys.
I've thought national team was buying banks for months. This week, no banks showed in the top five net buys, and only 1 in the top ten.
It is somewhat perplexing that the flows just stopped. But that may be a sign of things to come. Confirmation may require a week or two.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Jul 2024); Tencent the Big Buy, but Few Banks and a Long Tail

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)

XM / Xiaomi (1810 HK): 1Q24, Revenue Up by 27%, Smartphone Shipments Ranked Global No. 3

Total revenue growth rate climbed up 27% YoY in 1Q24. Smartphone shipments grew by 34% YoY and achieved global No. 3. In 1Q24, the gross margins of...

Ming Lu

[Xiaomi (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$20) Rating Change]: Xiaomi EV Came at the Right Time of Consolidation

Xiaomi surprised during the Investor Day by guiding SU7 gross margin of 5-10%. Delivery guidance also surprised to ship 100k units in 2024.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Consumption Weekly (22 Apr 2024): Xiaomi, Transsion, Tims China, Xpeng, Tesla

In 1Q24, Xiaomi and Transsion shipments grew rapidly. Tims China’s revenue expanded with new openings. In China, Tesla fired salespeople.

Ming Lu

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 22)

Xiaomi launches its new AI enabled phone and has success in EVs. Sunny Optical has seen its auto lens business grow and Minth is successfully...

David Mudd

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Jul 2024); Tencent the Big Buy, but Few Banks and a Long Tail

SOUTHBOUND saw significant net buying this past week but to no avail. HK stocks got crushed across the board. A-shares were up on the week, so it...

Travis Lundy

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