IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Total Access Communication / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>This week, the highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>. </li>
<li>The lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/excelpoint-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1774:1" rel="noopener">Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
This week, the highest gross spreads are Sezzle Inc (SZL AU), 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK), Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU). 
The lowest gross spreads are Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP), Virtus Health (VRT AU), Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP), Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP).


Merger Arb Mondays (23 May) - True Corp, DTAC, Ramsay, VNET, Link Admin, Alliance Aviation, Yashili

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The downside to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a> remains, but the reasoned downside is smaller than it was before.</li>
<li>CVC walks, but it doesn't stop <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brambles-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:693:1" rel="noopener">Brambles Ltd (BXB AU)</a> privatisation speculation. </li>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tabcorp-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6837:1" rel="noopener">Tabcorp</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-lottery-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35970:1" rel="noopener">The Lottery Corp</a> are seen as low volatility growth properties, then the stability of cashflow puts it into rarified air among "growth bias" which has gotten trashed. </li>
</ul>


The downside to Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU) remains, but the reasoned downside is smaller than it was before.
CVC walks, but it doesn't stop Brambles Ltd (BXB AU) privatisation speculation. 
If Tabcorp and The Lottery Corp are seen as low volatility growth properties, then the stability of cashflow puts it into rarified air among "growth bias" which has gotten trashed. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Woodside Petroleum, Brambles, Tabcorp, HKBN, Japan

<ul>
<li>There are 41 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three news deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kintetsu-world-express-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11710:1" rel="noopener">Kintetsu World Express (9375 JP)</a>'s Tender Offer, Woolies tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mydeal-com-au-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30939:1" rel="noopener">MyDeal.com (MYD AU)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mydeal-com-au-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30939:1" rel="noopener"></a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong (HWAH SP)</a>'s MBO, &amp; KKR's bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kito-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19512:1" rel="noopener">Kito (6409 JP)</a>
</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a> &amp;<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a> 
</li>
</ul>


There are 41 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three news deals this week: Kintetsu World Express (9375 JP)'s Tender Offer, Woolies tilt for MyDeal.com (MYD AU), Hwa Hong (HWAH SP)'s MBO, &amp; KKR's bid for Kito (6409 JP)

Key updates took place for: Virtus Health (VRT AU) &amp;Irongate Group (IAP AU) 



Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Kinetsu World, Hwa Hong, MyDeal, Kito, Virtus Health, Irongate, HKBN

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mydeal-com-au-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30939:1" rel="noopener">MyDeal.com.au Ltd (MYD AU)</a> entered a SID with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woolworths-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:500:1" rel="noopener">Woolworths Ltd (WOW AU)</a> to acquire an 80.2% interest. Shareholders will receive A$1.05 per share, a 62.8% premium to the unaffected price. </li>
<li>The three largest shareholders, representing 76.0% of outstanding shares, will vote in favour of the deal. The scheme meeting is set for 3Q. </li>
<li>This is a done deal. At the last close price, the gross and annualised spread for an October implementation date is 4.5% and 10.1% respectively.  </li>
</ul>



MyDeal.com.au Ltd (MYD AU) entered a SID with Woolworths Ltd (WOW AU) to acquire an 80.2% interest. Shareholders will receive A$1.05 per share, a 62.8% premium to the unaffected price. 
The three largest shareholders, representing 76.0% of outstanding shares, will vote in favour of the deal. The scheme meeting is set for 3Q. 
This is a done deal. At the last close price, the gross and annualised spread for an October implementation date is 4.5% and 10.1% respectively.  


MyDeal.com.au Gets a A$1.05 Offer from Woolworths

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woolworths-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:500:1" rel="noopener">Woolworths Ltd (WOW AU)</a> proposes to acquire all shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mydeal-com-au-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30939:1" rel="noopener">MyDeal.com.au Ltd (MYD AU)</a> other than those held by Sean Senvirtne and other key management personnel.</li>
<li>MyDeal shareholders will receive $1.05/share in cash, a punchy 62.8% premium to last close, but just 5% above its 2020 IPO price.</li>
<li>This proposal is being done by way of a Scheme with expected completion in Q3/Q4 2022.</li>
</ul>



Woolworths Ltd (WOW AU) proposes to acquire all shares in MyDeal.com.au Ltd (MYD AU) other than those held by Sean Senvirtne and other key management personnel.
MyDeal shareholders will receive $1.05/share in cash, a punchy 62.8% premium to last close, but just 5% above its 2020 IPO price.
This proposal is being done by way of a Scheme with expected completion in Q3/Q4 2022.


Australia

Coles Group Limited owns and operates a chain of supermarkets and department stores. The Company offers apparels, liquor, office supplies, groceries, and household products. Coles Group serves customers throughout Australia and New Zealand.

Wesfarmers Ltd. owns retail chains, operates mines, writes insurance, manufactures and distributes industrial products, manufactures fertilizers and chemicals, and distributes liquefied petroleum gas and medical and industrial gases.

Metcash Limited is a marketing and distribution company operating in the food and other consumer goods sectors.  The Company operates distribution centers serving grocery products for independent retail grocery stores, liquor distribution centers and cash and carry warehouses which serve retailers and businesses in the grocery, liquor, food services and convenience stores.

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Southbank, Victoria, Australia. The Company's line of business includes vineyard operations and international marketing and distribution of wine.

Blackmores Limited manufactures and markets vitamin, herbal, mineral supplements and natural skin and hair treatment products in Australia and New Zealand. These products are supplied to the over the counter retail market and to health care professionals. The Company also has a line of natural beauty and aromatherapy products and its products are distributed in South East Asia.

GrainCorp Limited operates as a food ingredients and agribusiness company. The Company processes and distributes wheat, barley, and canola, as well as offers a range of malt products and service to brewers and distillers. GrainCorp also supplies and refines edible oils. GrainCorp serves customers worldwide.*Dummy ticker for index membership mapping

Bega Cheese Ltd. provides dairy food products. The Company offers a variety of cheese products including can, stringers, fingers, slice, whey powder, processed, natural, and reduced fat cheddar cheeses. Bega Cheese's exports its whey powder to Asian countries. Bega Cheese's also distributes its cheese products to international commodity markets.

Elders Limited owns and operates rural services businesses. The Company brokers and processes wool, buys and sells grain, and retails seed, fertilizer, and animal health and other farm products. Elders operates in Australia.

Costa Group Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, grows and markets fruits and vegetables. Costa Group Holdings supplies its products to supermarket chains and independent grocers worldwide.

Bubs Australia Limited produces packaged food products. The Company supplies organic baby food, milk formulas, cereals, and other nutritional products for children. Bubs Australia serves customers in Australia.

AEON CO., LTD. operates general merchandise stores, supermarkets, and convenience stores throughout Japan. The Company is also engaged in women's and casual clothing store business, development business of commercial property, and financing service through the subsidiaries.

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Ito-Yokado Co., Seven Eleven Japan Co., and Denny's Japan. The Company plans, manages, and operates mainly convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores.

CP ALL PCL operates convenience store chains in Thailand and China.  The Company also owns and operates the a department store chain located primarily in Shanghai city and Chonqing city of China.

Sysco Corporation distributes food and related products primarily to the foodservice industry.  The Company also distributes personal care guest amenities, housekeeping supplies, room accessories, and textiles to the lodging industry.

The Kroger Co. operates supermarkets and convenience stores in the United States.  The Company also manufactures and processes some of the foods that its supermarkets sell.

George Weston Limited operates as a super market. The Company processes and distributes food and pharmacy products to grocer wholesalers, warehouses, and independent accounts, as well as provides real estate services. George Weston serves customers in Canada.

Loblaw Companies Limited is a retail and wholesale food distributor with operations across Canada.  The Company's operations include both company and franchisee operated stores, warehouses, and cash and carry outlets.

Tesco PLC, through its subsidiaries, operates as a food retailer. The Company offers online retailing, brick and mortar supermarkets, and a private-label brand of products. Tesco provides its services primarily throughout Europe, with additional activities in Asia.

Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc., operates retail drugstores that offer a wide variety of prescription and non-prescription drugs as well as general goods. Walgreens' also offers health services, including primary and acute care, wellness, pharmacy and disease management services and health and fitness.

CP Axtra Public Company Limited operates a retail discount store chain. The Company sells food and consumer products to its registered customers including wholesalers, retailers, small businesses, caterers, and private individuals who hold its member cards. CP Axtra serves customers in Thailand.

Woolworths Limited operates supermarkets, specialty and discount department stores, liquor and electronics stores throughout Australia.  Woolworths also manufactures processed foods, exports and wholesales food and offers petrol retailing.  The Company also operates hotels which includes pubs, food, accommodation, and gaming operations.

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Woolworths Ltd (WOW AU)

Merger Arb Mondays (23 May) - True Corp, DTAC, Ramsay, VNET, Link Admin, Alliance Aviation, Yashili

This week, the highest gross spreads are Sezzle (53.2%), VNET (40.6%), Dongzheng AFC (30.7%), Link (22.5%), Alliance Aviation (19.3%), True Corp...

Arun George

Last Week In Event SPACE: Woodside Petroleum, Brambles, Tabcorp, HKBN, Japan

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Kinetsu World, Hwa Hong, MyDeal, Kito, Virtus Health, Irongate, HKBN

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

MyDeal.com.au Gets a A$1.05 Offer from Woolworths

Woolworths will acquire an 80.2% interest at A$1.05 per share. This is a done deal. At the last close price, the annualised spread for an October...

Arun George

Woolies Moves On MyDeal (MYD AU)

Trading around 4.8%/13.7% gross/annualised, assuming late September completion. That's pretty decent. However, this is not a liquid arb situation.

David Blennerhassett

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