ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insight on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indosat-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5737:1" rel="noopener">Indosat (ISAT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT (BELI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-post-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:150:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Post (SPOST SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ihh-healthcare-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:876:1" rel="noopener">IHH Healthcare (IHH MK)</a>. </li>
<li>There was also a macro insight on Vietnam as well as an index rebalancing piece from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> on the Vietnamese market. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insight on Indosat (ISAT IJ), Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT (BELI IJ), Singapore Post (SPOST SP), and IHH Healthcare (IHH MK). 
There was also a macro insight on Vietnam as well as an index rebalancing piece from Brian Freitas on the Vietnamese market. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Indosat's AI, MAPI's Expansion, and BliBli's Omnichannel

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Excise tax simplification for cigarettes is only likely to take place after 2024, good news for the below tier-1 cigarette producers.</li>
<li>The upcoming elections in early 2024 also reduce the possibility of the addition of new excise tax objects in the next 2 years given the focus on recovering household consumption post the Covid-19 pandemic.</li>
<li>Excise tax simplification: unlikely in 2023-24.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Excise tax simplification for cigarettes is only likely to take place after 2024, good news for the below tier-1 cigarette producers.
The upcoming elections in early 2024 also reduce the possibility of the addition of new excise tax objects in the next 2 years given the focus on recovering household consumption post the Covid-19 pandemic.
Excise tax simplification: unlikely in 2023-24.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At the January review, there are 2 changes to the IDX30 Index, 5 changes to the LQ45 Index, and 9 changes to the IDX30 Index.</li>
<li>Largest buying impact will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elang-mahkota-teknologi-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7752:1" rel="noopener">Emtek (EMTK IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waskita-karya-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15739:1" rel="noopener">Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>Largest selling impact will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jasa-marga-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12747:1" rel="noopener">Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pakuwon-jati-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8550:1" rel="noopener">Pakuwon Jati (PWON IJ)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-serpong-damai-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15498:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hm-sampoerna-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:617:1" rel="noopener">HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ)</a>.</li>
</ul>


At the January review, there are 2 changes to the IDX30 Index, 5 changes to the LQ45 Index, and 9 changes to the IDX30 Index.
Largest buying impact will be on Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt, Emtek (EMTK IJ), Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) and XL Axiata (EXCL IJ). 
Largest selling impact will be on Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ), Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ), Pakuwon Jati (PWON IJ) , Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ) and HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ).


IDX30/LQ45 Index Rebalance: BIG Impact Changes in Limited Time

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

Equity Bottom-Up

The unsatisfactory 1H 2020 operating numbers that stemmed from lower revenue growth and higher excise taxes reduce operating cash flow, prompting the company to increase the amount of debt in the balance sheet that will further reduce the net income margin by 1.7 to 4% if the next six months' operating numbers will not improve. With the shift in the consumers' taste that reduces Dji-Sam-Soe's (HMSP's flagship product) sales, HMSP is not in the best position to outperform the potential weak consumption trend in the second half of 2020. If HMSP were to cut or forego dividends next year, it will accelerate the switch from HMSP to GGRM. 
HMSP's operating numbers are also very volatile compared to the steady GGRM's, yet the former seems to trade at a higher valuation in the Indonesian equity market compared to the latter albeit losing market share. Maintain underweight HMSP and overweight GGRM.

The unsatisfactory 1H 2020 operating numbers that stemmed from lower revenue growth and higher excise taxes reduce operating cash flow, prompting the company to increase the amount of debt in the balance sheet that will further reduce the net income margin by 1.7 to 4% if the next six months' operating numbers will not improve. With the shift in the consumers' taste that reduces Dji-Sam-Soe's (HMSP's flagship product) sales, HMSP is not in the best position to outperform the potential weak consumption trend in the second half of 2020. If HMSP were to cut or forego dividends next year, it will accelerate the switch from HMSP to GGRM. 
HMSP's operating numbers are also very volatile compared to the steady GGRM's, yet the former seems to trade at a higher valuation in the Indonesian equity market compared to the latter albeit losing market share. Maintain underweight HMSP and overweight GGRM. 

Sampoerna (HMSP): Losing From Higher Excise Tax

Jessica Irene

INDO Snippets brings together substantive and significant on the ground chatter that may potentially have a meaningful impact on the Indonesian Equity Market. 
Today on INDO Snippets:
<ul class="">
<li>The government is to directly allocate some of the tobacco excise tax to cover for Health and Social Security (BPJS) deficit. We'll discuss what it means for the hospitals, pharmaceuticals, and tobacco manufacturers.</li>
<li>An earthquake in Palu, Central Sulawesi has had a devastating impact on the region, with the death toll already exceeding 1,300 people.</li>
<li>Other corporate news: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/5230" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1">Pt Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)</a> share buyback and FMCG manufacturer Garudafood IPO.</li>
</ul>

INDO Snippets brings together substantive and significant on the ground chatter that may potentially have a meaningful impact on the Indonesian Equity Market. 
Today on INDO Snippets:

The government is to directly allocate some of the tobacco excise tax to cover for Health and Social Security (BPJS) deficit. We'll discuss what it means for the hospitals, pharmaceuticals, and tobacco manufacturers.
An earthquake in Palu, Central Sulawesi has had a devastating impact on the region, with the death toll already exceeding 1,300 people.
Other corporate news: Pt Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ) share buyback and FMCG manufacturer Garudafood IPO.


Indo Snippets: Tobacco Tax for BPJS Deficit, Earthquake in Palu, LPPF Share Buyback, Garudafood IPO

Indonesia

PT Wismilak Inti Makmur Tbk is a manufacturer of of premium brand cigarettes.

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Wismilak Inti Makmur (WIIM IJ)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Indosat's AI, MAPI's Expansion, and BliBli's Omnichannel

The past week saw insight on Indosat (ISAT IJ), Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT (BELI IJ), Singapore Post (SPOST SP), and...

Angus Mackintosh

Cigarette: Waiting for Change

Excise tax simplification for cigarettes is only likely to take place after 2024, good news for the below tier-1 cigarette producers.

BRI Danareksa Research

IDX30/LQ45 Index Rebalance: BIG Impact Changes in Limited Time

There are 2 changes to the IDX30, 5 to the LQ45, and 9 to the IDX80. There are a few large impact/flow names on the IDX30/LQ45 indices. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Sampoerna (HMSP): Losing From Higher Excise Tax

The unsatisfactory 1H 2020 operating numbers that stemmed from lower revenue growth and higher excise taxes reduce operating cash flow, prompting...

Henry Soediarko

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Indosat's AI, MAPI's Expansion, and BliBli's Omnichannel

The past week saw insight on Indosat (ISAT IJ), Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT (BELI IJ), Singapore Post (SPOST SP), and...

Angus Mackintosh

Cigarette: Waiting for Change

Excise tax simplification for cigarettes is only likely to take place after 2024, good news for the below tier-1 cigarette producers.

BRI Danareksa Research

IDX30/LQ45 Index Rebalance: BIG Impact Changes in Limited Time

There are 2 changes to the IDX30, 5 to the LQ45, and 9 to the IDX80. There are a few large impact/flow names on the IDX30/LQ45 indices. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Sampoerna (HMSP): Losing From Higher Excise Tax

The unsatisfactory 1H 2020 operating numbers that stemmed from lower revenue growth and higher excise taxes reduce operating cash flow, prompting...

Henry Soediarko

Indo Snippets: Tobacco Tax for BPJS Deficit, Earthquake in Palu, LPPF Share Buyback, Garudafood IPO

INDO Snippets brings together substantive and significant on the ground chatter that may potentially have a meaningful impact on the Indonesian...

Jessica Irene