Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>Potential adds are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-minerals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35927:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-resources-minerals-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9136:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/panin-financial-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19472:1" rel="noopener">Panin Financial (PNLF IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/energi-mega-persada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17534:1" rel="noopener">Energi Mega Persada (ENRG IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transcoal-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28449:1" rel="noopener">Transcoal Pacific (TCPI IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pertamina-geothermal-energy-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36725:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO)</a>.</li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-comfeed-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8258:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indocement-tunggal-prakarsa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4040:1" rel="noopener">Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa (INTP IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timah-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11174:1" rel="noopener">Timah Persero (TINS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-tabungan-negara-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:731:1" rel="noopener">Bank Tabungan Negara Persero (BBTN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chandra-asri-petrochemical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2556:1" rel="noopener">Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
Potential adds are Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ), Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ), Panin Financial (PNLF IJ), Energi Mega Persada (ENRG IJ), Transcoal Pacific (TCPI IJ) and Pertamina Geothermal Energy (PGEO).
Potential deletions are Japfa Comfeed Indonesia (JPFA IJ), Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa (INTP IJ), Timah Persero (TINS IJ), Bank Tabungan Negara Persero (BBTN IJ) and Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ). 


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Changes

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri Persero (BMRI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>, and H2G Green in Singapore.</li>
<li>There were also sector pieces on Indonesian infrastructure and Indonesian tobacco. </li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia
The past week saw insights on Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ), Bank Mandiri Persero (BMRI IJ), Astra International (ASII IJ), and H2G Green in Singapore.
There were also sector pieces on Indonesian infrastructure and Indonesian tobacco. 


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Matahari Dept Store Has Style, Bank Mandiri, and Astra Intl.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Following the release of the FY22 results, we revise our earnings estimates for SOE contractors under our coverage</li><li>All in all, we expect the SOE contractors to book lower gross margins this year, with modest revenues growth.</li><li>As such, we downgrade the target prices of all SOE contractors, with HOLDs on WIKA and WSKT and BUYs on PTPP and ADHI.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Following the release of the FY22 results, we revise our earnings estimates for SOE contractors under our coverageAll in all, we expect the SOE contractors to book lower gross margins this year, with modest revenues growth.As such, we downgrade the target prices of all SOE contractors, with HOLDs on WIKA and WSKT and BUYs on PTPP and ADHI.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Infrastructure: Earnings Revision for SOE Contractors

<ul>
<li>Following the release of the FY22 results, we revise our earnings estimates for SOE contractors under our coverage</li>
<li>State Budget Recorded Surplus of IDR 128.5 tn as of March 2023</li>
<li>BSDE (1Q23 Marketing Sales) – Resilient sales from residential and commercial</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Following the release of the FY22 results, we revise our earnings estimates for SOE contractors under our coverage
State Budget Recorded Surplus of IDR 128.5 tn as of March 2023
BSDE (1Q23 Marketing Sales) – Resilient sales from residential and commercial

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Pertamina Geothermal Energy PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pertamina-geothermal-energy-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36725:1" rel="noopener">Pertamina Geothermal (0125738D IJ)</a>/PGE, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-pertamina-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35862:1" rel="noopener">PT Pertamina (Persero) (PERT IJ)</a>, is seeking to raise up to US$657 million at a price range of IDR820-945 per share.</li>
<li>PGE is the largest geothermal concession holder in Indonesia, in terms of capacity installed, according to Wood Mackenzie.</li>
<li>The investment case rest on steady growth, high margins, strong cash generation, manageable leverage, ambitious growth plans and attractive dividend payout.</li>
</ul>



Pertamina Geothermal (0125738D IJ)/PGE, a subsidiary of PT Pertamina (Persero) (PERT IJ), is seeking to raise up to US$657 million at a price range of IDR820-945 per share.
PGE is the largest geothermal concession holder in Indonesia, in terms of capacity installed, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The investment case rest on steady growth, high margins, strong cash generation, manageable leverage, ambitious growth plans and attractive dividend payout.


Pertamina Geothermal IPO: The Investment Case

Indonesia

PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk. (WIKA:IJ) one of the largest listed state-owned engineering, procurement and construction (“EPC”) companies in Indonesia with diversified construction projects was established In 1960 under the name Perusahaan Negara Bangunan Widjaja Karja.

WIKA have four business segments: Industry, Infrastructure & Building, Energy & Industrial Plant, and Realty & Property, Through these segments, we have successfully undertaken key national infrastructure projects including Balikpapan-Samarinda Toll Road, Semanggi Interchange, Jatigede Dam, Soekarno-Hatta Airport Terminal 3, Ngurah Rai Airport and the Suramadu Bridge, Serang-Panimbang Toll Road and Jakarta-Bandung High Speed Railway.

As of December 2021, WIKA is owned by the Government as to 65,05% and by public shareholders as to 34,95%, with market capitalization IDR9,91 Trillion and total order book IDR88,12 trillion

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PT Wijaya Karya (Persero) Tbk (WIKA IJ)

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Changes

There could be 5 changes to the LQ45 in July. Given emphasis on liquidity, the impact on the deletes is higher than on the adds. Historically, the...

Brian Freitas

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Matahari Dept Store Has Style, Bank Mandiri, and Astra Intl.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Infrastructure: Earnings Revision for SOE Contractors

Following the release of the FY22 results, we revise our earnings estimates for SOE contractors under our coverage. All in all, we expect the SOE...

BRI Danareksa Research

Equity Snapshot: April 18, 2023

Following the release of the FY22 results, we revise our earnings estimates for SOE contractors under our coverage. State Budget Recorded Surplus...

BRI Danareksa Research

Pertamina Geothermal IPO: The Investment Case

The investment case rest on steady growth, high margins, strong cash generation, manageable leverage, ambitious growth plans and attractive...

Arun George

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