Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

National Australia Bank / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-australia-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15:1" rel="noopener">National Australia Bank (NAB AU)</a> is set to announce its First Quarter Trading Update on Wednesday 19 February 2025.</li>
<li>Traders can trade the event through 20 February 2025 listed options (monthly expiration). Strategies discussed reflect different expectations of market reactions, with risk implications.</li>
<li>Historically, NAB has experienced an average price move of 2.2% following profit announcements. Option markets anticipate a slightly larger move.</li>
</ul>



National Australia Bank (NAB AU) is set to announce its First Quarter Trading Update on Wednesday 19 February 2025.
Traders can trade the event through 20 February 2025 listed options (monthly expiration). Strategies discussed reflect different expectations of market reactions, with risk implications.
Historically, NAB has experienced an average price move of 2.2% following profit announcements. Option markets anticipate a slightly larger move.


EQD | National Australia Bank (NAB AU): Anticipated Price Swings on Q1 Trading Update on 19 Feb 2025

<ul>
<li>The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to announce its Monetary Policy on 18 February. The current RBA rate stands at 4.35% with no change since 2024. </li>
<li>The market is expecting a 0.25% rate cut. Options expiring on 20 February provide an instrument to trade this event. </li>
<li>Option pricing is in-line with historical <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> moves on days after expected rate changes. Contrarians expecting no change might find value in put options.</li>
</ul>


The Reserve Bank of Australia is set to announce its Monetary Policy on 18 February. The current RBA rate stands at 4.35% with no change since 2024. 
The market is expecting a 0.25% rate cut. Options expiring on 20 February provide an instrument to trade this event. 
Option pricing is in-line with historical S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) moves on days after expected rate changes. Contrarians expecting no change might find value in put options.


Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

<ul>
<li>Today, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> reached a new all-time high while implied volatility is near record low levels. The combination makes for a good opportunity to hedge.</li>
<li>Volatility assessment trough conventional volatility metrics and one new chart not seen anywhere else.</li>
<li>An actionable example of a put option hedge is presented, striking a balance between protection and cost.</li>
</ul>


Today, the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) reached a new all-time high while implied volatility is near record low levels. The combination makes for a good opportunity to hedge.
Volatility assessment trough conventional volatility metrics and one new chart not seen anywhere else.
An actionable example of a put option hedge is presented, striking a balance between protection and cost.


EQD | S&P/ASX 200 Option Strategy -  Today's All-Time-High Calls for Proactive Hedging

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cuscal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40209:1" rel="noopener">Cuscal (1229Z AU)</a> is looking to raise A$337m (US$218m) in its Australia IPO.</li>
<li>Cuscal is an authorized deposit-taking institution (ADI) in Australia that primarily provides financial infrastructure and payment services in Australia.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the updates since our last look-through and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Cuscal (1229Z AU) is looking to raise A$337m (US$218m) in its Australia IPO.
Cuscal is an authorized deposit-taking institution (ADI) in Australia that primarily provides financial infrastructure and payment services in Australia.
In this note, we look at the updates since our last look-through and share our thoughts on valuation.


Cuscal IPO - Peers Have Traded Up, Decent Margin of Safety from Here

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 1st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Woolworths, Brambles, Xero.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 1st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Woolworths, Brambles, Xero.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 1st): Aristocrat Leisure, Woolworths, Brambles, Xero

Australia

Westpac Banking Corporation offers general and savings banking services.  The Company provides investment portfolio management and advice, insurance services,  consumer finance, and money market services among other services.  Westpac Banking Corp. serves individuals, businesses, and corporations worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Westpac Banking (WBC AU)

EQD | National Australia Bank (NAB AU): Anticipated Price Swings on Q1 Trading Update on 19 Feb 2025

National Australia Bank (NAB AU) to release First Quarter Trading Update on 19 Feb 2025. Traders can use listed options to strategize for...

Gaudenz Schneider

Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | S&P/ASX 200 Option Strategy - Today's All-Time-High Calls for Proactive Hedging

See an innovative and novel chart. Today's S&P/ASX 200 new all-time high in combination with record low volatility presents a good opportunity to...

Gaudenz Schneider

Cuscal IPO - Peers Have Traded Up, Decent Margin of Safety from Here

Cuscal (1229Z AU) is looking to raise A$337m (US$218m) in its Australia IPO. In this note, we look at the updates since our last look-through and...

Clarence Chu

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 1st): Aristocrat Leisure, Woolworths, Brambles, Xero

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Woolworths, Brambles, Xero.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

EQD | National Australia Bank (NAB AU): Anticipated Price Swings on Q1 Trading Update on 19 Feb 2025

​National Australia Bank (NAB AU) to release First Quarter Trading Update on 19 Feb 2025. Traders can use listed options to strategize for...

Gaudenz Schneider

Eqd | S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) - RBA Decision: Will the Anticipated Rate Cut Drive the Market?

​The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

Gaudenz Schneider

EQD | S&P/ASX 200 Option Strategy - Today's All-Time-High Calls for Proactive Hedging

See an innovative and novel chart. Today's ​S&P/ASX 200 new all-time high in combination with record low volatility presents a good opportunity to...

Gaudenz Schneider

Cuscal IPO - Peers Have Traded Up, Decent Margin of Safety from Here

Cuscal (1229Z AU) is looking to raise A$337m (US$218m) in its Australia IPO. In this note, we look at the updates since our last look-through and...

Clarence Chu

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 1st): Aristocrat Leisure, Woolworths, Brambles, Xero

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Woolworths, Brambles, Xero.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

National Australia Bank (NAB AU) to release First Quarter Trading Update on 19 Feb 2025. Traders can use listed options to strategize for...

The RBA is expected to announce a 0.25% rate cut on 18 February, with options providing a trading opportunity for contrarians who believe there...

See an innovative and novel chart. Today's S&P/ASX 200 new all-time high in combination with record low volatility presents a good opportunity to...