Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Next year's memory chip market - the swing factor in semiconductors - is highly dependent on whether or not today's COVID-19 pandemic leads to a global financial collapse.  This Smartkarma Insight provides two outlooks for the market, one based on a collapse, and the other based on a healthy economy.

Next year's memory chip market - the swing factor in semiconductors - is highly dependent on whether or not today's COVID-19 pandemic leads to a global financial collapse.  This Smartkarma Insight provides two outlooks for the market, one based on a collapse, and the other based on a healthy economy.

2021 Memory Market Hinges on Pandemic Response

President

Thomas Coughlin

Coughlin Associates

Equity Bottom-Up

Seagate Technology Holdings PL / Equity Bottom-Up

After the pandemic ends, work will not be the same.  Although face to face interactions are important, many people will continue to do some work at home.  Likewise, many people will use telecommunication tools rather than travel for more remote interactions than in the past.  This will drive demand for data center processin, network and storage resources to support these trends and thus drive demand for high capacity HDDs, high performance SSDs and low-cost tape storage solutions.

After the pandemic ends, work will not be the same.  Although face to face interactions are important, many people will continue to do some work at home.  Likewise, many people will use telecommunication tools rather than travel for more remote interactions than in the past.  This will drive demand for data center processin, network and storage resources to support these trends and thus drive demand for high capacity HDDs, high performance SSDs and low-cost tape storage solutions.

2021 High Conviction, The Pandemic Will Drive HDD Nearline Capacity Shipment Growth

Recent Kioxia developments, and in particular, the development of its Ethernet native SSDs for a EBOF and the KumoScale block, file and object storage container storage are innovations that could drive additional value for the company and help in getting a better price in a future IPO, when the overall NAND flash industry is in a more profitable part of its cycle.

Recent Kioxia developments, and in particular, the development of its Ethernet native SSDs for a EBOF and the KumoScale block, file and object storage container storage are innovations that could drive additional value for the company and help in getting a better price in a future IPO, when the overall NAND flash industry is in a more profitable part of its cycle.

Kioxia Announcements Enhance Company Value

In SK hynix' most recent earnings call the CEO shared his vision to grow the company to annual revenues of ₩100 trillion.  While the Intel flash acquisition helps in that direction, it is hard to see how management hopes to achieve its goal to build revenues to this level.

In SK hynix' most recent earnings call the CEO shared his vision to grow the company to annual revenues of ₩100 trillion.  While the Intel flash acquisition helps in that direction, it is hard to see how management hopes to achieve its goal to build revenues to this level.

High capacity HDDs, particularly nearline drives for enterprise and hyper scale data centers are the one growth area for HDDs going forward.  We project that growth in demand for nearline storage could stop the decline in HDD shipments by 2024-2025.   The growth of capacity-oriented nearline drives will result in more components per drive out to 2025.  We project that total shipments of heads and media will exceed the peak in 2014 by 2024-2025, largely due to the growth of high capacity (many heads and media) hard disk drives.

High capacity HDDs, particularly nearline drives for enterprise and hyper scale data centers are the one growth area for HDDs going forward.  We project that growth in demand for nearline storage could stop the decline in HDD shipments by 2024-2025.   The growth of capacity-oriented nearline drives will result in more components per drive out to 2025.  We project that total shipments of heads and media will exceed the peak in 2014 by 2024-2025, largely due to the growth of high capacity (many heads and media) hard disk drives.

HDD C3Q Results, Continued Decline in Units but Growth in High Capacity HDDs

United States

Western Digital Corporation is a global provider of solutions for the collection, storage, management, protection and use of digital content, including audio and video. The Company's products include hard drives, solid-state drives, and home entertainment and networking products.

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Western Digital (WDC US)

2021 Memory Market Hinges on Pandemic Response

Will the semiconductor market collapse in 2021? A lot depends on the impact that COVID-19 has on the global economy. This Insight examines how...

Jim Handy

2021 High Conviction, The Pandemic Will Drive HDD Nearline Capacity Shipment Growth

This 2021 high conviction article shows why nearline HDD storage will continue to grow in 2021, driven by data center expansion plans that were...

Thomas Coughlin

Kioxia Announcements Enhance Company Value

Kioxia announcements, particularly ethernet native SSDs and KumoScale block, file and object container storage support enhance future value.

Thomas Coughlin

SK Hynix: Big Plans for The Future

SK hynix shared its long-term growth targets, and a little math indicates that the only likely way that this can be achieved is through a lot of...

Jim Handy

HDD C3Q Results, Continued Decline in Units but Growth in High Capacity HDDs

HDD Annual Shipments in continued decline, high capacity HDD shipments expected to grow. C3Q benefited from consumer sales and continued capacity...

Thomas Coughlin

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