Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<p>Youzan Technology (YT) is looking to list by way of introduction, as its parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-youzan-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11467:1" rel="noopener">China Youzan Limited (8083 HK)</a> aims to distribute its shares in YT and pay some cash on top and delist.</p>
<p>While we normally don't cover such listings, as there will be no bookbuild etc, in this insight, we take a quick look based on a special client's request.</p>

Youzan Technology (YT) is looking to list by way of introduction, as its parent China Youzan Limited (8083 HK) aims to distribute its shares in YT and pay some cash on top and delist.
While we normally don't cover such listings, as there will be no bookbuild etc, in this insight, we take a quick look based on a special client's request.

Youzan Technology IPO Quick Look- Great Headline Numbers but Client Growth Is Slow and Churn Is High

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuya-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32158:1" rel="noopener">Tuya Inc (1869782D US)</a> provides a backend service for IoT (internet of things) device makers. Tuya offers its customers a Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS) for IoT devices that handles the connectivity, device software and application development. Tuya is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $1 billion, according to press reports. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tuya-ipo-initiation-connected-future" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48695" rel="noopener">Tuya IPO Initiation: Connected Future</a>, we opined that Tuya’s PaaS solutions are well-positioned to benefit from the rising need for third-party IoT PaaS providers who can provide the required tools. We concluded that Tuya’s fundamentals are attractive. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Tuya's valuation. </p></div></div></div>

Tuya Inc (1869782D US) provides a backend service for IoT (internet of things) device makers. Tuya offers its customers a Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS) for IoT devices that handles the connectivity, device software and application development. Tuya is pre-marketing an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $1 billion, according to press reports. In Tuya IPO Initiation: Connected Future, we opined that Tuya’s PaaS solutions are well-positioned to benefit from the rising need for third-party IoT PaaS providers who can provide the required tools. We concluded that Tuya’s fundamentals are attractive. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Tuya's valuation. 

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-youzan-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11467:1" rel="noopener">China Youzan Limited (8083 HK)</a>, a provider of e-commerce and payment solutions for merchants, has <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/gem/2021/0228/2021022800069.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a pre-conditional Offer by way of a Scheme to take its GEM-listed shares private, then list 51.7%-held Youzan Technology on Hong Kong's mainboard.</p>
<p>Shareholders are offered HK$0.1352/share in cash plus 0.05077265 Youzan Technology shares for every China Youzan share held. All in, the <em>indicative</em> Offer price is HK$2.3088/share, a 30.2% <em>discount</em> to last close. China Youzan is up 283% in the past year, and 44% YTD prior to the offer. </p>
<p>The Offeror - China Youzan's CEO Zhu Ning -  will not increase the Scheme Consideration and does not reserve the right to do so.</p>
<p>Pre-conditions include SEHK approving Youzan Tech's listing; together with a handful of ordinary resolutions to be voted on by Disinterested Scheme shareholders at an SGM, none of which are expected to be cause for concern.</p>
<p>The Scheme vote is standard: at least 75% of Disinterested Scheme Shares voting FOR the Scheme &amp; not more than 10% of ALL Disinterested Scheme Shares against. China Youzan is incorporated in the Caymans so the headcount test applies. No single shareholder holds a blocking stake.</p>
<p>The in-specie ratio distribution of Youzan Tech is equivalent to the control ratio. The pushback, if any, <em>may</em> come from the fair value assigned to China Youzan's rump. </p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>

China Youzan Limited (8083 HK), a provider of e-commerce and payment solutions for merchants, has announced a pre-conditional Offer by way of a Scheme to take its GEM-listed shares private, then list 51.7%-held Youzan Technology on Hong Kong's mainboard.
Shareholders are offered HK$0.1352/share in cash plus 0.05077265 Youzan Technology shares for every China Youzan share held. All in, the indicative Offer price is HK$2.3088/share, a 30.2% discount to last close. China Youzan is up 283% in the past year, and 44% YTD prior to the offer. 
The Offeror - China Youzan's CEO Zhu Ning -  will not increase the Scheme Consideration and does not reserve the right to do so.
Pre-conditions include SEHK approving Youzan Tech's listing; together with a handful of ordinary resolutions to be voted on by Disinterested Scheme shareholders at an SGM, none of which are expected to be cause for concern.
The Scheme vote is standard: at least 75% of Disinterested Scheme Shares voting FOR the Scheme &amp; not more than 10% of ALL Disinterested Scheme Shares against. China Youzan is incorporated in the Caymans so the headcount test applies. No single shareholder holds a blocking stake.
The in-specie ratio distribution of Youzan Tech is equivalent to the control ratio. The pushback, if any, may come from the fair value assigned to China Youzan's rump. 
More below the fold.

China Youzan (8083 HK): Proposal Towards Relisting Youzan Tech

<p>On 28 February, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-youzan-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11467:1" rel="noopener">China Youzan Limited (8083 HK)</a> disclosed a privatisation offer from Mr Zhu Ning, the CEO. Mr Ning is taking private China Youzan through the distribution in-specie of Youzan Technology and a cash buyout of the payment business. China Youzan will distribute in-specie its equity holdings in Youzan Technology by offering 0.05077265 Youzan Technology share for every China Youzan share along with HK$0.1352 in cash per scheme share. Youzan Technology will be listed on the Main Board of the HKEx. </p><p>The total privatisation price of HK$2.3088 per share is 30.2% and 28.3% discount to the last trading date price of HK$3.31 (25 February 2021) and the last close price of HK$3.23, respectively. The key pre-conditions are HKEx listing approval for Youzan Technology and shareholder approval at the first SGM. The key conditions precedents are the headcount test and the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). The offeror and concert parties represent 4,020.8 million shares or 23.31% of shares outstanding. Disinterested scheme shareholders represent 13,239.3 million shares or 76.69% of shares outstanding, which implies the 10% blocking stake is 1,323.9 million shares or 7.67% of shares outstanding.</p><div class="content-highlight"><p>The privatisation offer is fair in both the distribution in-specie (distribution ratio in line with the control ratio) and the cash consideration (in line with the value of the payments business). The discrepancy between the privatisation bid and the current share price can be explained by Youzan Technology's potential standalone value as a listed entity. If Youzan Technology is valued at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shopify-inc-de74469e-4678-489b-9b50-a80a5790c5ef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25906:1" rel="noopener">Shopify Inc (SHOP US)</a>’s current trailing EV/Sales multiple of 53.5x (arguably the closest peer), it would imply a fair value of China Youzan of HK$3.54 per share. Overall, we believe that the privatisation bid will succeed due to the reasonable terms.  </p></div>

On 28 February, China Youzan Limited (8083 HK) disclosed a privatisation offer from Mr Zhu Ning, the CEO. Mr Ning is taking private China Youzan through the distribution in-specie of Youzan Technology and a cash buyout of the payment business. China Youzan will distribute in-specie its equity holdings in Youzan Technology by offering 0.05077265 Youzan Technology share for every China Youzan share along with HK$0.1352 in cash per scheme share. Youzan Technology will be listed on the Main Board of the HKEx. The total privatisation price of HK$2.3088 per share is 30.2% and 28.3% discount to the last trading date price of HK$3.31 (25 February 2021) and the last close price of HK$3.23, respectively. The key pre-conditions are HKEx listing approval for Youzan Technology and shareholder approval at the first SGM. The key conditions precedents are the headcount test and the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). The offeror and concert parties represent 4,020.8 million shares or 23.31% of shares outstanding. Disinterested scheme shareholders represent 13,239.3 million shares or 76.69% of shares outstanding, which implies the 10% blocking stake is 1,323.9 million shares or 7.67% of shares outstanding.The privatisation offer is fair in both the distribution in-specie (distribution ratio in line with the control ratio) and the cash consideration (in line with the value of the payments business). The discrepancy between the privatisation bid and the current share price can be explained by Youzan Technology's potential standalone value as a listed entity. If Youzan Technology is valued at Shopify Inc (SHOP US)’s current trailing EV/Sales multiple of 53.5x (arguably the closest peer), it would imply a fair value of China Youzan of HK$3.54 per share. Overall, we believe that the privatisation bid will succeed due to the reasonable terms.  

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<p>Following the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gamestop-corp-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13790:1" rel="noopener">GameStop Corp Class A (GME US)</a> saga that has been all over the financial press (and is now spreading into the mainstream press), we have been getting questions on names in Hong Kong that could be prone to a squeeze.</p><p>We do not believe that retail players in Hong Kong have the heft that retail investors in the US do, nor are single stock options frequently used (though there is a lot of retail activity in warrants on large cap names), but the pain that is being felt in global portfolios could lead to unwinding in Hong Kong shorts too.</p><p>Some highly shorted stocks in Hong Kong that have seen prices jump today along with volume surge are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (1833 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Bank (11 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-literature-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24388:1" rel="noopener">China Literature (772 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-east-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:341:1" rel="noopener">Bank of East Asia (23 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mtr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13289:1" rel="noopener">MTR Corp (66 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/want-want-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:355:1" rel="noopener">Want Want (151 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wharf-real-estate-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26031:1" rel="noopener">Wharf Real Estate Investment (1997 HK)</a>.</p><p>We identify more stocks that could be prone to short covering based on short interest as a percentage of issued shares, free float and in terms of days of ADV to cover.</p>

Following the GameStop Corp Class A (GME US) saga that has been all over the financial press (and is now spreading into the mainstream press), we have been getting questions on names in Hong Kong that could be prone to a squeeze.We do not believe that retail players in Hong Kong have the heft that retail investors in the US do, nor are single stock options frequently used (though there is a lot of retail activity in warrants on large cap names), but the pain that is being felt in global portfolios could lead to unwinding in Hong Kong shorts too.Some highly shorted stocks in Hong Kong that have seen prices jump today along with volume surge are Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (1833 HK), Hang Seng Bank (11 HK), Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK), China Literature (772 HK), Bank of East Asia (23 HK), MTR Corp (66 HK), Want Want (151 HK), Samsonite (1910 HK) and Wharf Real Estate Investment (1997 HK).We identify more stocks that could be prone to short covering based on short interest as a percentage of issued shares, free float and in terms of days of ADV to cover.

China

Weimob Inc. provides targetedmarketing services. The Company offers product display, orderintake and payment processing, customer relationship management, and social media marketing services. Weimob provides services in China.

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Weimob Inc. (2013 HK)

Youzan Technology IPO Quick Look- Great Headline Numbers but Client Growth Is Slow and Churn Is High

Youzan Technology (YT) is looking to list by way of introduction, as its parent China Youzan Limited (8083 HK) aims to distribute its shares in YT...

Sumeet Singh

Tuya IPO: Valuation First Look

Tuya is pre-marketing a $1 billion NYSE IPO, according to press reports. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Tuya's...

Arun George

China Youzan (8083 HK): Proposal Towards Relisting Youzan Tech

I would avoid the stock. Valuations exceed what the independent valuer considers is fair. I'd look to re-enter if this closes in on the implied...

David Blennerhassett

China Youzan’s Privatisation Proposal

China Youzan disclosed a privatisation offer through the distribution in-specie of Youzan Technology and a cash buyout of the payment business. The...

Arun George

HK Shorts: Squeeze-O-Meter

Following the GameStop saga, we try to identify stocks in HK that could be susceptible to a short squeeze based on short interest vs issued shares...

Brian Freitas

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