Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND a net buyer every day since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.</li>
<li>For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND a net buyer every day since the end of Chinese New Year. NORTHBOUND a huge net buyer this week, now net buyers in size (RMB +93bn) over 7 weeks.
For the first time in a while, AH premia among liquid stocks fell convincingly. Narrow AH premia pairs saw Hs outperform more than wide AH premia Hs (vs As).


A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a> announced the H Share buyback offer, excluding CIMC’s shares, is at HK$7.50, a 16.5% premium to the undisturbed price. The offer is final.</li>
<li>The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection) along with a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  </li>
<li>Excluding the irrevocables, the 90% threshold requires an independent H Shareholder acceptance rate of 77.7%, which could be challenging due to a light offer. Risk/reward unfavourable. </li>
</ul>



CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK) announced the H Share buyback offer, excluding CIMC’s shares, is at HK$7.50, a 16.5% premium to the undisturbed price. The offer is final.
The key condition is approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection) along with a 90% minimum acceptance condition.  
Excluding the irrevocables, the 90% threshold requires an independent H Shareholder acceptance rate of 77.7%, which could be challenging due to a light offer. Risk/reward unfavourable. 


CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Min Acceptance Condition a Risk for the Final HK$7.50 Offer

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 124.5% as of Mar 1st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, health care, information technology and offset by utilities, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ZTE, China Southern, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Flat Glass Group.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 124.5% as of Mar 1st.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.8ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, health care, information technology and offset by utilities, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ZTE, China Southern, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Flat Glass Group.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 1st): ZTE, China Southern, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Flat Glass Group

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In the Central Commission for Financial and Economic Affairs (CCFEA) meeting held on 23 Feb, President Xi proposed an acceleration of a large-scale replacement of production equipment to support economic growth.</li><li>This is the first time that equipment replacement is mentioned as a tool to support the economy.</li><li>We believe this message is a positive signal to the heavy-duty truck (HDT) sector. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In the Central Commission for Financial and Economic Affairs (CCFEA) meeting held on 23 Feb, President Xi proposed an acceleration of a large-scale replacement of production equipment to support economic growth.This is the first time that equipment replacement is mentioned as a tool to support the economy.We believe this message is a positive signal to the heavy-duty truck (HDT) sector. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods – Equipment Replacement Proposed in Central Government Meeting

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 122.6% as of Feb 23rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.1ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, materials, health care and offset by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec, Shandong Gold.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 122.6% as of Feb 23rd.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.1ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, materials, health care and offset by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec, Shandong Gold.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 23rd): SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec

China

Weichai Power Co., Ltd. specializes in the research and development, manufacturing and sales of vehicles and parts. The Company produces engines, heavy vehicles, light vehicles, construction machinery, hydraulic products, automotive electronics, and related parts. Weichai Power markets its products across worldwide.

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Weichai Power (000338 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 15 Mar 2024): Liquid AH Premia Starting to Narrow

AH Premia narrowed more on liquid narrow premia than on less liquid and wide premia. This is a new development. Energy and Utilities saw Hs rebound...

Travis Lundy

CIMC Vehicles (1839 HK): Min Acceptance Condition a Risk for the Final HK$7.50 Offer

The 90% min acceptance condition is a key risk in the context of a light offer. Risk/reward is unfavourable as the downside (9.9% to undisturbed...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 1st): ZTE, China Southern, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Flat Glass Group

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for ZTE, China Southern, SMIC, Ganfeng Lithium, Flat Glass Group.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Capital Goods – Equipment Replacement Proposed in Central Government Meeting

This is the first time that equipment replacement is mentioned as a tool to support the economy.We believe this message is a positive signal to the...

CMB International

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 23rd): SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SMIC, Flat Glass Group, GWM, China Longyuan, Wuxi Apptec,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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