Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

Genomma Lab Internacional Sab / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>I got two new ideas and will close one. </li><li>The first one is Genomma Lab (LABB) , a Mexican branded OTC pharma and personal care products company.</li><li>The stock trades at a cheap multiple of about 10x earnings. But if you adjust for currency losses, the stock is cheaper.</li></ul>

I got two new ideas and will close one. The first one is Genomma Lab (LABB) , a Mexican branded OTC pharma and personal care products company.The stock trades at a cheap multiple of about 10x earnings. But if you adjust for currency losses, the stock is cheaper.

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

<ul>
<li>Over the past 12 months, we have written insights on 14 stocks in the small/mid-cap space with high dividend yields, inexpensive valuations, and a great margin of safety. </li>
<li>We re-examine these to shortlist 3-4 names of our highest conviction amidst the current macroeconomic climate.</li>
<li>Our high conviction shortlist includes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/water-oasis-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17348:1" rel="noopener">Water Oasis (1161 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perfect-medical-health-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3639:1" rel="noopener">Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23003:1" rel="noopener">The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Over the past 12 months, we have written insights on 14 stocks in the small/mid-cap space with high dividend yields, inexpensive valuations, and a great margin of safety. 
We re-examine these to shortlist 3-4 names of our highest conviction amidst the current macroeconomic climate.
Our high conviction shortlist includes Water Oasis (1161 HK), Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK), The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM), and Taste Gourmet (8371 HK).


Shortlist of High Conviction Ideas - Income, Value, Margin of Safety

<ul><li>Early this year I was quite pessimistic on Hong Kong stocks.</li><li>But since then the Hang Seng is down another 20% or so. A lot of stocks with 9-10%+ dividend yields are laying around.</li><li>I should have been a bit quicker writing this up, but then you are getting it for free.</li></ul>

Early this year I was quite pessimistic on Hong Kong stocks.But since then the Hang Seng is down another 20% or so. A lot of stocks with 9-10%+ dividend yields are laying around.I should have been a bit quicker writing this up, but then you are getting it for free.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/water-oasis-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17348:1" rel="noopener">Water Oasis (1161 HK)</a> reported a tepid H1 with profits coming in at 26 mn HKD, down 56.2% YoY.  This was below our expectations as the company received no subsidies.</li>
<li>No interim dividend was paid as the profit in H1 was minuscule, and business had commenced on the 21st of April, impacting a month of H2.  </li>
<li>Save for another lockdown in HK, we see a substantial improvement in profitability for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/water-oasis-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17348:1" rel="noopener">Water Oasis (1161 HK)</a> in H2, along with subsidies that are being paid retrospectively.</li>
</ul>



Water Oasis (1161 HK) reported a tepid H1 with profits coming in at 26 mn HKD, down 56.2% YoY.  This was below our expectations as the company received no subsidies.
No interim dividend was paid as the profit in H1 was minuscule, and business had commenced on the 21st of April, impacting a month of H2.  
Save for another lockdown in HK, we see a substantial improvement in profitability for Water Oasis (1161 HK) in H2, along with subsidies that are being paid retrospectively.


Water Oasis: Lockdown Affected H1 FY22, Improving H2

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy, Urbem (HK) Limited

Steven Chen

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Perfect Medical Health / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul class="">
<li>No company is perfect from an investing perspective, with Perfect Shape being no exception;</li>
<li>Meanwhile, there is a lot that long-term, quality-focused investors like us can like about the stock;</li>
<li>In particular, skillful capital allocation, promising growth prospects, a track record of outperforming competitors, and an attractive valuation can together lead to a long-term alpha opportunity with a margin of safety.</li>
</ul>


No company is perfect from an investing perspective, with Perfect Shape being no exception;
Meanwhile, there is a lot that long-term, quality-focused investors like us can like about the stock;
In particular, skillful capital allocation, promising growth prospects, a track record of outperforming competitors, and an attractive valuation can together lead to a long-term alpha opportunity with a margin of safety.


Perfect Shape Is Not Perfect But Here Is What We Like About It

Hong Kong

Anxian Yuan China Holdings Limited is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates cemetary business.

Green International Holdings Limited manufactures and trades toys and recreational products. The Company's product categories include hard and electronic toys for children, educational and recreational, soft toys, and sports products.

SDM Group Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates dance institutions for children in Hong Kong. The Company's schools offer courses in jazz, ballet, hip-hop and latin dance.

Steve Leung Design Group Limited provides interior designing services. The Company offers apartments, restaurants, and hotels interior designing services . Steve Leung Design Group provides services worldwide.

Sun International Group Limited offers equine services. The Company provides horse breeding, horse trading, horse raising, and other services. Sun International Group also operates futures trading, enterprise placement, financial credit financing, asset management, and other businesses.

Modern Beauty Salon Holdings Limited operates beauty salons, spas, and fitness centers. The Company offers  services that include beauty and facial, spa and message, slimming, and fitness services.

Hephaestus Holdings Limited offers interior design services. The Company provides services for private residences, corporate offices, service apartments, hotels, residential clubhouses, show flats, and sales galleries. Hephaestus Holdings serves customers in Hong Kong.

Sino-Life Group Ltd provides funeral services in Taiwan and China.

Shi Shi Services Limited offers property management services through online platform. The Company provides housing management, pension, hospital, and education services in the community. Shi Shi Services conducts businesses in China.

Dadi Education Holdings Limited provides overseas studies consultancy services. The Company offers secondary education and higher education services to students in the United Kingdom, Australia, and Canada.

Kukbo Design Co., Ltd. provides interior design services for hotels, office buildings, residential buildings, and special facilities.  The Company's services include planning design, detail design, remodeling, and construction.

Prestariang Berhad is an information and communication technology (ICT) company. The Company provides ICT training and certification courses in Malaysia. Prestariang Bhd also provides software licensing distribution and management.

Shine Corporate Ltd. is a national law firm. The Firm's areas of practice includes personal injuries law, family law, property law, class actions, wills, probate and residential conveyancing.

With us Corporation operates cram schools in the Kinki area.  The Company is active in education for elementary and junior high school students.  With us also operates preparatory schools for Daiken (university entrance qualification exam).

Virscend Education Company Limited is a K-12 private education company. The Company provides foreign exchange programs, mandates English to be taught, and provides different schools with different focuses.

Centro Escolar University, an institution of higher learning, provides instruction and training programs in the Philippines. The company establishes, maintains, and operates educational institutions that offer programs in the fields of arts and sciences for classes in tertiary level. It provides various college and graduation courses, including dentistry, optometry, music, and public administration in the fields of commerce, science, and arts; and 11 under graduation programs. The company also specializes in medical technology, nursing, education, nutrition, optometry, pharmacy, and business education courses. It operates in Mendiola, Malolos, Makati-Gil Puyat, and Makati-Legaspi. Centro Escolar University was founded in 1907 and is based in Manila, the Philippines.

Huali University Group Limited provides educational services. The Company offers private higher education, private vocational education, and other related services. Huali University Group provides services in China.

China Maple Leaf Educational Systems Limited is a Chinese international school operator. The Company operates high schools, middle schools and elementary schools across various Chinese cities.

China Maple Leaf Educational Systems (1317 HK)

TAKE AND GIVE. NEEDS Co., Ltd. provides wedding arrangement services.  The Company's wedding planners plan and coordinate weddings by arranging ceremonies with restaurants and banquet halls in the Tokyo metropolitan area.

WW International, Inc. provides weight control programs. The Company offers subscriptions for commitment plans that give their clients access to meetings and online subscriptions, as well as gives their members guidance and access to a supportive community to help enable them for healthy habits. WW International serves customers worldwide.

Water Oasis Group Limited distributes exclusively ~H2O+ brand skin-care products in Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan and China. The Company also operates spa centers under the Oasis Spa, Oasis Beauty, and Oasis Beauty Homme brand names.

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Water Oasis (1161 HK)

Quick ideas #2

I got two new ideas and will close one. The first one is Genomma Lab (LABB) , a Mexican branded OTC pharma and personal care products company.

Turtles all the way down

Shortlist of High Conviction Ideas - Income, Value, Margin of Safety

We like Water Oasis (1161 HK), Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK), The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM), and Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) as the businesses are...

Sameer Taneja

Back in Hong Kong stocks

Early this year I was quite pessimistic on Hong Kong stocks. But since then the Hang Seng is down another 20% or so. A lot of stocks with 9-10%+...

Turtles all the way down

Water Oasis: Lockdown Affected H1 FY22, Improving H2

An HK beauty recovery play trading at a 5.4x/3.3x FY22/FY23 PE and a 15.7% dividend yield with >30% of cash on the balance sheet.

Sameer Taneja

Perfect Shape Is Not Perfect But Here Is What We Like About It

We think that Perfect Shape offers a long-term alpha opportunity with a margin of safety at the current level, even after a nearly 30% rally in the...

Steven Chen

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