Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The TSE went through a multi-year period of planning a "<a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/market-restructure/index.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Market Restructuring</a>" which ended on 4 April 2022 as the TSE split into three Sections, TSE Prime, Standard, and Growth.</li>
<li>After that, the TSE formed a "Council of Experts" (<a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/improvements/follow-up/b5b4pj000004yqcc-att/follow-up_member_en.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">some very senior people</a>) that would <a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/improvements/follow-up/b5b4pj000004yqcc-att/follow-up_market_e.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">follow up</a> on the changes, and recommend new measures.  In January, new rule proposals dropped.</li>
<li>There was <a href="https://www.jpx.co.jp/english/equities/improvements/follow-up/b5b4pj000004yqcc-att/dreu250000000uqc.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">talk</a> of a hard end to the transition period. Also, the Council harped on Awareness of Capital Cost and Efficiency. Most notably, for companies with PBR &lt; 1.</li>
</ul>


The TSE went through a multi-year period of planning a "Market Restructuring" which ended on 4 April 2022 as the TSE split into three Sections, TSE Prime, Standard, and Growth.
After that, the TSE formed a "Council of Experts" (some very senior people) that would follow up on the changes, and recommend new measures.  In January, new rule proposals dropped.
There was talk of a hard end to the transition period. Also, the Council harped on Awareness of Capital Cost and Efficiency. Most notably, for companies with PBR &lt; 1.


Japan's Governance Changes I - The PBR 1.0 Target

<ul>
<li>A Nikkei article this morning says the mystery bidder behind WK1/2/3 Limited is Nintendo founding family's Yamauchi No.10 Family Office. This changes things more than just knowing their identity does.</li>
<li>To start, their website is the most fun investment management company website I have come across. It's great.  <a href="https://y-n10.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">https://y-n10.com/</a>. It's also well worth reading. It's also worth noting their history.</li>
<li>Understanding the parameters here is key to understanding possible next steps.</li>
</ul>


A Nikkei article this morning says the mystery bidder behind WK1/2/3 Limited is Nintendo founding family's Yamauchi No.10 Family Office. This changes things more than just knowing their identity does.
To start, their website is the most fun investment management company website I have come across. It's great.  https://y-n10.com/. It's also well worth reading. It's also worth noting their history.
Understanding the parameters here is key to understanding possible next steps.


ToyoKen (1890) Mystery Bidder Is Yamauchi No. 10 Family Office - And That Changes Things

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wakita-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11924:1" rel="noopener">Wakita &amp; Co Ltd (8125 JP)</a> has been a deep value stock for years. It has had deep value investors owning stakes before.</p><p>However, the company has pretty low ROE based on truly awful capital allocation policy. A very large portion of the long-term assets in the firm are effectively managed by people with little to no experience in the space, in a sub-optimal capital structure. The company has large amounts of net cash, and securities, and more securities and crossholdings. And the entire company is effectively a leasing business with some add-ons, and it finances itself with almost zero debt. </p><p>While it is dangerous to call a paradigm change on companies where there is a significant corporate cross-holding and significant family holding and control, there are times when the confluence of events make stocks like Wakita worth a deeper look.</p><p>This may be such a time.</p>

Wakita &amp; Co Ltd (8125 JP) has been a deep value stock for years. It has had deep value investors owning stakes before.However, the company has pretty low ROE based on truly awful capital allocation policy. A very large portion of the long-term assets in the firm are effectively managed by people with little to no experience in the space, in a sub-optimal capital structure. The company has large amounts of net cash, and securities, and more securities and crossholdings. And the entire company is effectively a leasing business with some add-ons, and it finances itself with almost zero debt. While it is dangerous to call a paradigm change on companies where there is a significant corporate cross-holding and significant family holding and control, there are times when the confluence of events make stocks like Wakita worth a deeper look.This may be such a time.

Japan Activism: A Look into Wakita (8125 JP) Potential Pre-Event

<p>Shareholder proposals for AGMs in Japan are somewhat rare. Activist proposals rarer still. They only affect roughly 2% of companies with June AGMs and shareholder proposals are rarely passed, but they may reflect the pressure on a company, and when something has enough support, management may end up agreeing to it if not outright supporting it later on.</p><p>Activist fund Strategic Capital has made shareholder proposals to 6 companies (that we know of) in the past month or so, starting with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wakita-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11924:1" rel="noopener">Wakita &amp; Co Ltd (8125 JP)</a> which has a May AGM, as discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-activism-a-look-into-wakita-8125-jp-potential-pre-event" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50034" rel="noopener">Japan Activism: A Look into Wakita (8125 JP) Potential Pre-Event</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wakita-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11924:1" rel="noopener">Wakita &amp; Co Ltd (8125 JP)</a> at the beginning of the month, and five more names announced on the 28th of April. </p><p>Those five names are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asanuma-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19612:1" rel="noopener">Asanuma Corp (1852 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seikitokyu-kogyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7819:1" rel="noopener">Seikitokyu Kogyo (1898 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arisawa-mfg-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18028:1" rel="noopener">Arisawa Mfg (5208 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bunka-shutter-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5903:1" rel="noopener">Bunka Shutter (5930 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyokuto-boeki-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12884:1" rel="noopener">Kyokuto Boeki Kaisha (8093 JP)</a>.</p><p>This eclectic group is unified by balance sheet excess. In this case, net cash and securities of about 50% of market cap, a lack of borrowing, a lack of destination for the accumulated capital, BUT this case has its Very Interesting Aspects. </p><h2>So... <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seikitokyu-kogyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7819:1" rel="noopener">Seikitokyu Kogyo (1898 JP)</a> </h2><hr><p><em>Activist AGM Proposals so far this year are as follows (🤖 is Japanese language, 👹 is English):</em></p><table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">Date<br>Anncd</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">Ticker</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Company</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">AGM</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">Proposal</td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Proposer</td>
<td style="width: 128px;">Smartkarma Insights</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">15 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">8918</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Land</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">27 May</td>
<td style="width: 48px;"><a href="http://www.land.jp/pdf/20210415154419_1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a></td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">An individual</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">23 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">8125</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Wakita</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">27 May</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">
<a href="https://contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/81250/a6125b97/fbfe/4961/baac/116bc18b2917/140120210423498992.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a> , <a href="https://stracap.jp/english/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/To-Shareholder-of-WAKITA-CO.-LTD..pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a>
</td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-activism-a-look-into-wakita-8125-jp-potential-pre-event" target="_blank" rel="noopener">insight 1</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wakita-rejects-stracap-s-shareholder-proposals" target="_blank" rel="noopener">insight 2</a>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">27 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">6815</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Uniden</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;"><a href="http://www.uniden.co.jp/ir/news/dat/2021/information_20210427.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a></td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">LIM Japan Event Master Fd</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">.1852</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Asanuma</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">
<a href="https://www.asanuma.co.jp/ir/pdf/etc/20210428k.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a> , <a href="https://stracap.jp/english/proposal/2021_asanuma" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a>
</td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/2021-japan-agm-activism-stracap-proposals-for-asanuma-corp-1852" target="_blank" rel="noopener">insight</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">8093</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Kyokuto Boeki Kaisha</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">
<a href="https://contents.xj-storage.jp/xcontents/AS01655/21124bce/241c/4a3a/8482/00305b8413e6/140120210428402431.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a> , <a href="https://stracap.jp/english/proposal/2021_kbk" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a>
</td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">1898</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Seikitokyu Kogyo</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">
<a href="https://www.seikitokyu.co.jp/dev/wp-content/themes/twentysixteen/pdf/info/20210428.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a> , <a href="https://stracap.jp/english/proposal/2021_seikitokyu" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a>
</td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">5208</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Arisawa Mfg</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;"><a href="https://stracap.jp/english/proposal/2021_arisawa" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a></td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">5930</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Bunka Shutter</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;"><a href="https://stracap.jp/english/proposal/2021_bunkasutter" target="_blank" rel="noopener">👹</a></td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">Strategic Capital</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">28 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">2327</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">NS Solutions</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;">
<a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/2327/tdnet/1958513/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a> , </td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">AVI Japan Opportunity Trust PLC</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 36px;">30 Apr</td>
<td style="text-align: center; width: 33.6px;">4295</td>
<td style="width: 122.4px;">Faith</td>
<td style="width: 41.6px;">June</td>
<td style="width: 48px;"><a href="https://www.faith.co.jp/ir/pdf/20210430_ir.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">🤖</a></td>
<td style="width: 187.2px;">RMB Capital Japan Oppty Fd</td>
<td style="width: 128px;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>

Shareholder proposals for AGMs in Japan are somewhat rare. Activist proposals rarer still. They only affect roughly 2% of companies with June AGMs and shareholder proposals are rarely passed, but they may reflect the pressure on a company, and when something has enough support, management may end up agreeing to it if not outright supporting it later on.Activist fund Strategic Capital has made shareholder proposals to 6 companies (that we know of) in the past month or so, starting with Wakita &amp; Co Ltd (8125 JP) which has a May AGM, as discussed in Japan Activism: A Look into Wakita (8125 JP) Potential Pre-Event and Wakita &amp; Co Ltd (8125 JP) at the beginning of the month, and five more names announced on the 28th of April. Those five names are Asanuma Corp (1852 JP), Seikitokyu Kogyo (1898 JP), Arisawa Mfg (5208 JP), Bunka Shutter (5930 JP), and Kyokuto Boeki Kaisha (8093 JP).This eclectic group is unified by balance sheet excess. In this case, net cash and securities of about 50% of market cap, a lack of borrowing, a lack of destination for the accumulated capital, BUT this case has its Very Interesting Aspects. So... Seikitokyu Kogyo (1898 JP) Activist AGM Proposals so far this year are as follows (🤖 is Japanese language, 👹 is English):

Date Anncd
Ticker
Company
AGM
Proposal
Proposer
Smartkarma Insights


15 Apr
8918
Land
27 May
🤖
An individual



23 Apr
8125
Wakita
27 May

🤖 , 👹

Strategic Capital

insight 1, insight 2



27 Apr
6815
Uniden
June
🤖
LIM Japan Event Master Fd



28 Apr
.1852
Asanuma
June

🤖 , 👹

Strategic Capital
insight


28 Apr
8093
Kyokuto Boeki Kaisha
June

🤖 , 👹

Strategic Capital



28 Apr
1898
Seikitokyu Kogyo
June

🤖 , 👹

Strategic Capital



28 Apr
5208
Arisawa Mfg
June
👹
Strategic Capital



28 Apr
5930
Bunka Shutter
June
👹
Strategic Capital



28 Apr
2327
NS Solutions
June

🤖 , 
AVI Japan Opportunity Trust PLC



30 Apr
4295
Faith
June
🤖
RMB Capital Japan Oppty Fd




2021 Japan AGM Activism - StraCap Proposals for Seikitokyu Kogyo (1898) - A REALLY Cheap Company

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

<ul>
<li>Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celsys-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20774:1" rel="noopener">CELSYS (3663 JP)</a> (formerly known as "Artspark") is a name we have been Bullish on in the last few months as it was a high-probability TOPIX Inclusion candidate.</li>
<li>In the last couple of trading days, the stock has popped more than 30%. In this insight, we take a closer look at this situation.</li>
</ul>


Quiddity's "Who is Ready" series of insights aims to objectively identify names listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange that are potential additions to the TOPIX Index in future.

CELSYS (3663 JP) (formerly known as "Artspark") is a name we have been Bullish on in the last few months as it was a high-probability TOPIX Inclusion candidate.
In the last couple of trading days, the stock has popped more than 30%. In this insight, we take a closer look at this situation.


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (May 2023)

Japan

Wakita & Co., LTD. is a manufacturing and trading firm primarily handling construction and civil engineering equipment.  The Company also handles imported construction materials, industrial and commercial facilities, and audio-visual equipment.  Wakita leases construction machinery as well.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Wakita & Co Ltd (8125 JP)

Japan's Governance Changes I - The PBR 1.0 Target

Japan's powers that be - the TSE and now the Finance Ministry - are targeting listcos with PBRs of less than 1.0x. That will mean they will be...

Travis Lundy

ToyoKen (1890) Mystery Bidder Is Yamauchi No. 10 Family Office - And That Changes Things

The Mystery Bidders WK 1-3 are, according to a Nikkei article in mid-day, Yamauchi Number 10 Family Office. This changes things. It is worth...

Travis Lundy

Japan Activism: A Look into Wakita (8125 JP) Potential Pre-Event

Wakita (8125) is a serial underperformer, has a corporate governance and crossholder problem, an activist making noise, an inheritance stake to...

Travis Lundy

2021 Japan AGM Activism - StraCap Proposals for Seikitokyu Kogyo (1898) - A REALLY Cheap Company

StraCap has now made the same Shareholder Proposals on Seikitokyu Kogyo for 3 straight years. They make sense, but are likely to be rebuffed. But...

Travis Lundy

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is Ready (May 2023)

CELSYS has been working for a move to the Prime Market since August 2022 and with the recent rise in share price they could be able to satisfy all...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)