External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>VinFast is a fast-growing electric vehicle manufacturer based in Vietnam, founded in 2017 by Vingroup and billionaire Pham Nhat Vuong</li><li>The company has plans for global expansion and aims to have vehicles in 50 markets by the end of 2024</li><li>VinFast has a $16 billion market cap and recently completed a SPAC merger that raised $239 million, but its financial ties to Vingroup raise concerns about its independence</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

VinFast is a fast-growing electric vehicle manufacturer based in Vietnam, founded in 2017 by Vingroup and billionaire Pham Nhat VuongThe company has plans for global expansion and aims to have vehicles in 50 markets by the end of 2024VinFast has a $16 billion market cap and recently completed a SPAC merger that raised $239 million, but its financial ties to Vingroup raise concerns about its independenceThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Vinfast Auto Ltd (VFS) - Tuesday, Dec 5, 2023

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After de-SPACing last August, shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (VFS US)</a>, the EV arm of Vietnamese conglomerate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>, went orbital, as discussed in <a href="https://skr.ma/MYHnq" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense</a>
</li>
<li>VinFast cratered shortly thereafter. But still trades at a hefty ~25x P/S, well above industry peers.</li>
<li>Last Friday VinFast announced it was replacing both its CEO and CFO. Not a great look five months after IPOing. Even less attractive is the incoming CEO is VinGroup's founder.</li>
</ul>


After de-SPACing last August, shares in VinFast (VFS US), the EV arm of Vietnamese conglomerate Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), went orbital, as discussed in Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense

VinFast cratered shortly thereafter. But still trades at a hefty ~25x P/S, well above industry peers.
Last Friday VinFast announced it was replacing both its CEO and CFO. Not a great look five months after IPOing. Even less attractive is the incoming CEO is VinGroup's founder.


VinFast's Global Expansion As Shares Stall

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Vinfast’s shares have fallen more than 80% since its IPO in August. Shares are currently trading at $4.93 per share compared to IPO open price of $22 per share.</li>
<li>On 20th October, Vinfast announced that the company has entered into a standby equity subscription agreement of up to $1.0bn with Yorkville Advisors which has a term of 36 months.</li>
<li>A majority of Vinfast’s EV sales in 9M2023 were to related parties or affiliates of its parent, raising serious concerns over the company’s ability to establish a market presence.  </li>
</ul>


Vinfast’s shares have fallen more than 80% since its IPO in August. Shares are currently trading at $4.93 per share compared to IPO open price of $22 per share.
On 20th October, Vinfast announced that the company has entered into a standby equity subscription agreement of up to $1.0bn with Yorkville Advisors which has a term of 36 months.
A majority of Vinfast’s EV sales in 9M2023 were to related parties or affiliates of its parent, raising serious concerns over the company’s ability to establish a market presence.  


Vinfast: New Funding to Support Growth Plans Despite Struggling to Sell EVs

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">Vinfast (VFS US)</a> reported 2Q2023 results yesterday. Revenues saw significant increase driven by strong YoY growth in EV sales volume which reached 9,535 units during the quarter.</li>
<li>More than 50% of EV volume during 1H2023 were to a related company while US volume was less than 200 units raising serious concerns over demand for Vinfast’s EVs.</li>
<li>It seems unlikely for Vinfast to meet its 50K EV target for 2023 and our revised forecast suggests there is further downside despite shares dropping more than 50% vs IPO.</li>
</ul>



Vinfast (VFS US) reported 2Q2023 results yesterday. Revenues saw significant increase driven by strong YoY growth in EV sales volume which reached 9,535 units during the quarter.
More than 50% of EV volume during 1H2023 were to a related company while US volume was less than 200 units raising serious concerns over demand for Vinfast’s EVs.
It seems unlikely for Vinfast to meet its 50K EV target for 2023 and our revised forecast suggests there is further downside despite shares dropping more than 50% vs IPO.


Vinfast: Ambitious EV Plan Seems Unrealistic; Share Price Down More than 50%

<ul>
<li>Vietnamese automaker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">Vinfast (VFS US)</a> made its public debut on 15th August via a SPAC deal which valued the company approx. US$23bn.</li>
<li>Shares opened US$22 per share and went up to $37.06 at the end of first-day. Share price hit a peak of $82.35, however, shares closed last at $34.71 per share.</li>
<li>Our forecasts and valuation for Vinfast suggest that the company’s shares are still overvalued even after falling more than 50% from its peak over the last few days.</li>
</ul>


Vietnamese automaker Vinfast (VFS US) made its public debut on 15th August via a SPAC deal which valued the company approx. US$23bn.
Shares opened US$22 per share and went up to $37.06 at the end of first-day. Share price hit a peak of $82.35, however, shares closed last at $34.71 per share.
Our forecasts and valuation for Vinfast suggest that the company’s shares are still overvalued even after falling more than 50% from its peak over the last few days.


Vinfast: Stock Is in Free Fall; Still Expensive

Vietnam

Mobile World Investment Corporation is a mobile retailer in Vietnam. The company specializes in mobile phones, tablets, laptops, accessories and other related products through its Thegiodidong store network.

Phu Nhuan Jewelry JSC manufactures jewelry.  The Company retails through its own shops and also sells to wholesalers.

Khang Dien House Trading and Investment JSC develops real estate and offers construction services.

Khang Dien House Trading and Investment JSC (KDH VN)

Khang Dien House Trading and Investment JSC

Dry Cell & Storage Battery JSC, doing business as Pinaco, produces and sells R6, R20 dry cells and storage batteries for vehicles, motorbikes and export garments.

Digiworld Corporation distributes information technology products. The Company offers laptops, desktops, projectors, printers, monitors, mouse, and speakers. Digiworld also provides maintenance services with the support of vendors.

Vietnam National Textile and Garment Group, doing business as Vinatex, operates as a textile firm. The Company offers printed clothes and other designer wear. Vinatex serves customers in Vietnam.

Thanh Cong Textile Garment Investment Trading JSC manufactures and markets textiles and garments. The Company produces threads, fabric garments, chemicals and dyeing substances. The company also offers equipment and machinery used in the textile and clothing production.

Thanh Cong Textile Garment Investment Trading JSC (TCM VN)

Thanh Cong Textile Garment Investment Trading JSC

Saovang Rubber JSC manufactures tires for automobiles, motorcycles, and bicycles.  The Company also produces technical rubber products including conveyor belts, anti-crash cushions, and rubber axes.

Thien Long Group Corporation manufactures office supplies.  The Company produces pens, pen refills, 
files, markers, crayons, oil pastels, water colors, poster colors, pencils, glue, and rulers.

TNG Investment & Trading JSC manufactures and exports apparel.

PT Astra International Tbk assembles and distributes automobiles, motorcycles, and their related spare parts.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in the mining, development of plantations, financial and information technology.

NISSAN MOTOR CO., LTD. manufactures and distributes automobiles and related parts. It also provides financing services. Nissan delivers a comprehensive range of products under various brands. The Company manufactures in Japan, the United States, Mexico, the United Kingdom and many other countries.

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited operates as a passenger vehicles manufacturing company. The Company provides passenger vehicles development, manufacturing, sales, and other services. Geely Automobile Holdings also exports passenger vehicles.

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and develops, and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs.

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. designs, manufactures and distributes motorcycles. The Company's products also include motorcycle parts and accessories.

Subaru Corp manufactures passenger cars, buses, motor vehicle parts, and industrial machinery.  The Company also produces aircraft parts and supplies it to defense agency and Boeing Co.  The Company sells its passenger cars under the Subaru brand name.

Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures motorcycles.  The Company also produces motor vehicle engines for Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.  Yamaha Motor's specialty products include motor boats, snowmobiles, golf carts, and electric power generators.  Yamaha Motor sells products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and South America.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. operates as a passenger car manufacturer. The Company engages in research, development, and marketing of new energy vehicles and power battery system. BAIC BluePark New Energy Technology conducts businesses in China.

BAIC BluePark New Energy Techn (600733 CH)

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

Isuzu Motors Limited manufactures and markets trucks and automobile parts. The Company's products include pickup trucks, light/heavy duty trucks, medium and large-sized buses, recreational vehicles, and sport utility vehicles.

Vinfast Auto Ltd. operates electric vehicle intelligent platform. The Company offers full-scale mobility platform focused primarily on designing and manufacturing premium EVs, electric scooter, and electric buses. Vinfast Auto serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Vinfast (VFS US)

Vinfast Auto Ltd (VFS) - Tuesday, Dec 5, 2023

VinFast has a $16 billion market cap and recently completed a SPAC merger that raised $239 million, but its financial ties to Vingroup raise...

Value Investors Club

VinFast's Global Expansion As Shares Stall

IF Vingroup were to offload some of its stake in VinFast to increase the float, that could be a catalyst. I'd still be disinclined to invest in...

David Blennerhassett

Vinfast: New Funding to Support Growth Plans Despite Struggling to Sell EVs

Vinfast has secured a $1bn standby equity subscription agreement with YA. Most of the company's EV sales were to related parties raising concerns...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Vinfast: Stock Is in Free Fall; Still Expensive

After making a stellar debut, Vinfast's share price has dropped more than 50% over the last few days from its peak. Our forecasts and valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Vinfast Auto Ltd (VFS) - Tuesday, Dec 5, 2023

VinFast has a $16 billion market cap and recently completed a SPAC merger that raised $239 million, but its financial ties to Vingroup raise...

Value Investors Club

VinFast's Global Expansion As Shares Stall

IF Vingroup were to offload some of its stake in VinFast to increase the float, that could be a catalyst. I'd still be disinclined to invest in...

David Blennerhassett

Vinfast: New Funding to Support Growth Plans Despite Struggling to Sell EVs

Vinfast has secured a $1bn standby equity subscription agreement with YA. Most of the company's EV sales were to related parties raising concerns...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Vinfast: Ambitious EV Plan Seems Unrealistic; Share Price Down More than 50%

Vinfast's 2Q EV numbers suggest it may not meet its 50k target for 2023. The company is struggling to sell its EV models. However, Vinfast...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Vinfast: Stock Is in Free Fall; Still Expensive

​After making a stellar debut, Vinfast's share price has dropped more than 50% over the last few days from its peak. Our forecasts and valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

After making a stellar debut, Vinfast's share price has dropped more than 50% over the last few days from its peak. Our forecasts and valuation...