Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The upcoming rebalance of the MVIS Australia A-REIT Index will be implemented at the close on 16 June. There are no constituent changes, but there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.7% resulting in a one-way trade of A$16.6m. There is limited impact on the index constituents.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scentre-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9538:1" rel="noopener">Scentre Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/homeco-daily-needs-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33526:1" rel="noopener">HomeCo Daily Needs REIT</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shopping-centres-australasia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20100:1" rel="noopener">Region Re</a>, while the largest outflows are on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stockland" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:661:1" rel="noopener">Stockland</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mirvac-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20681:1" rel="noopener">Mirvac Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dexus" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:403:1" rel="noopener">Dexus Property</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodman-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:959:1" rel="noopener">Goodman Group</a>.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming rebalance of the MVIS Australia A-REIT Index will be implemented at the close on 16 June. There are no constituent changes, but there are float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.7% resulting in a one-way trade of A$16.6m. There is limited impact on the index constituents.
The largest inflows are on Scentre Group, HomeCo Daily Needs REIT and Region Re, while the largest outflows are on Stockland, Mirvac Group, Dexus Property and Goodman Group.


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

<ul>
<li>We do not expect any constituent changes in June (that could change though!). The only flows are likely to be from capping the constituents at 10% of the index weight.</li>
<li>Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% resulting in a one-way trade of A$14m. There are two stocks with over A$5m to trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stockland" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:661:1" rel="noopener">Stockland (SGP AU)</a> will be the most affected stock with passive trackers needing to sell over 1 day of ADV. The stock has run up and shorts are increasing.</li>
</ul>


We do not expect any constituent changes in June (that could change though!). The only flows are likely to be from capping the constituents at 10% of the index weight.
Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% resulting in a one-way trade of A$14m. There are two stocks with over A$5m to trade.

Stockland (SGP AU) will be the most affected stock with passive trackers needing to sell over 1 day of ADV. The stock has run up and shorts are increasing.


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes & Flows

<ul>
<li>Changes to the S&amp;P/ASX indices, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-rare-earth-strategic-metals-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32320:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-junior-gold-miners-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32845:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-aus-equal-wei" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24297:1" rel="noopener">Vaneck Aus Equal Weight ETF</a>, and other indices will be implemented 17 March.</li>
<li>There are plenty of stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade. Some pre-positioning would have taken place prior to announcement and positions adjusted in the last couple of weeks.</li>
<li>There has been a reversal in stock performance over the last few weeks and short interest has moved a lot in some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Changes to the S&amp;P/ASX indices, VanEck Vectors Rare Earth/Strategic Metals ETF, VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF, Vaneck Aus Equal Weight ETF, and other indices will be implemented 17 March.
There are plenty of stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade. Some pre-positioning would have taken place prior to announcement and positions adjusted in the last couple of weeks.
There has been a reversal in stock performance over the last few weeks and short interest has moved a lot in some stocks.


Australia: S&P/​ASX, REMX, GDXJ, MVA, MVW, Other Flows on Friday

<ul>
<li>The upcoming rebalance of the MVIS Australia A-REIT Index will be implemented at the close on 17 March. There are no constituent changes, but there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.8% resulting in a one-way trade of A$11.1m. There is limited impact on the index constituents.</li>
<li>The largest inflows are on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stockland" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:661:1" rel="noopener">Stockland</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/homeco-daily-needs-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33526:1" rel="noopener">HomeCo Daily Needs REIT</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gpt-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:168:1" rel="noopener">Gpt Group</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall</a>, while the largest outflows are on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodman-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:959:1" rel="noopener">Goodman Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/federation-centres" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:335:1" rel="noopener">Vicinity Centres</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dexus" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:403:1" rel="noopener">Dexus Property</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scentre-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9538:1" rel="noopener">Scentre Group</a>.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming rebalance of the MVIS Australia A-REIT Index will be implemented at the close on 17 March. There are no constituent changes, but there are float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.8% resulting in a one-way trade of A$11.1m. There is limited impact on the index constituents.
The largest inflows are on Stockland, HomeCo Daily Needs REIT, Gpt Group and Charter Hall, while the largest outflows are on Goodman Group, Vicinity Centres, Dexus Property and Scentre Group.


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance:  Float/Capping Changes

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cromwell-property-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2780:1" rel="noopener">Cromwell Property (CMW AU)</a> is a deletion from the MVIS Australia A-REITS Index at the close on 16 December.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to sell 13.9m shares (5 days ADV) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cromwell-property-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2780:1" rel="noopener">Cromwell Property (CMW AU)</a> and there appears to be little to no pre-positioning on the stock.</li>
<li>There are a few other stocks that will have over 0.5 days of ADV to buy from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>



Cromwell Property (CMW AU) is a deletion from the MVIS Australia A-REITS Index at the close on 16 December.
Passive trackers will need to sell 13.9m shares (5 days ADV) of Cromwell Property (CMW AU) and there appears to be little to no pre-positioning on the stock.
There are a few other stocks that will have over 0.5 days of ADV to buy from passive trackers.


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Cromwell Property (CMW) Is a Deletion

Australia

VanEck Vectors Australian Property ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in Australia. The Fund aims to provide investment returns that closely track the returns of the MVIS Australia A-REITs Index.

Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU)

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

There are no constituent changes in June but there are float & capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.7% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes & Flows

We do not see any constituent changes in June. Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% resulting in a one-way trade of A$14m....

Brian Freitas

Australia: S&P/ASX, REMX, GDXJ, MVA, MVW, Other Flows on Friday

Implementation of the S&P/ASX, REMX, GDXJ, MVA and other indices take place at the close on Friday. There will be a lot of passive flow going...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Float/Capping Changes

There are no constituent changes in March but there are float & capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.8% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Cromwell Property (CMW) Is a Deletion

Cromwell Property is a deletion from the MVIS Australia A-REIT Index. Passive trackers need to sell 13.9m shares (5.1x ADV) of CMW but short...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

There are no constituent changes in June but there are float & capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 2.7% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: Capping Changes & Flows

We do not see any constituent changes in June. Capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.15% resulting in a one-way trade of A$14m....

Brian Freitas

Australia: S&P/​ASX, REMX, GDXJ, MVA, MVW, Other Flows on Friday

Implementation of the S&P/ASX, REMX, GDXJ, MVA and other indices take place at the close on Friday. There will be a lot of passive flow going...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Float/Capping Changes

There are no constituent changes in March but there are float & capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.8% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Cromwell Property (CMW) Is a Deletion

Cromwell Property is a deletion from the MVIS Australia A-REIT Index. Passive trackers need to sell 13.9m shares (5.1x ADV) of CMW but short...

Brian Freitas

Australia: S&P/ASX, REMX, GDXJ, MVA, MVW, Other Flows on Friday