Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 11th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD27.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Insurance Australia, Computershare, Goodman, Sigma Pharmaceuticals.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 11th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD27.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Insurance Australia, Computershare, Goodman, Sigma Pharmaceuticals.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 11th): Insurance Australia, Computershare, Goodman

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ingenia-communities-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5495:1" rel="noopener">Ingenia Communities (INA AU)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-property-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30998:1" rel="noopener">Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU)</a> in September. There are float changes and capping changes too.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% and will result in a one-way trade of A$19m.</li>
<li>After declining over the last year, shorts have started to tick higher in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ingenia-communities-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5495:1" rel="noopener">Ingenia Communities (INA AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Ingenia Communities (INA AU) will be deleted from the Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU) in September. There are float changes and capping changes too.
Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% and will result in a one-way trade of A$19m.
After declining over the last year, shorts have started to tick higher in Ingenia Communities (INA AU). 


MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Ingenia Communities Deleted

<ul>
<li>There were index review announcements for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, HSCI, HSIII and some global indices last week.</li>
<li>There are a bunch of review cutoffs early in the coming week followed by announcements for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> and STAR100 Index later in the week.</li>
<li>Another week of outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share ETF (2828 HK)</a> as inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets ex-China (EMXC US)</a> continue.</li>
</ul>


There were index review announcements for the HSI, HSCEI INDEX, HSTECH, HSCI, HSIII and some global indices last week.
There are a bunch of review cutoffs early in the coming week followed by announcements for the STAR50 INDEX and STAR100 Index later in the week.
Another week of outflows for Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) and Hang Seng H Share ETF (2828 HK) as inflows to iShares Emerging Markets ex-China (EMXC US) continue.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, Screen Holdings, GMRI, SEA EM, MVIS, SET50, JP Positioning

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ends in a couple of weeks. There could be one deletion from the index and a bunch of capping changes.</li>
<li>The index changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.2% resulting in a one-way trade of A$13m. There are two stocks with over A$3m to trade.</li>
<li>With market participants expecting lower interest rates, there has been short covering on a lot of the REITs in the last few months.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ends in a couple of weeks. There could be one deletion from the index and a bunch of capping changes.
The index changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.2% resulting in a one-way trade of A$13m. There are two stocks with over A$3m to trade.
With market participants expecting lower interest rates, there has been short covering on a lot of the REITs in the last few months.


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: ASK Looks Like a Delete

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-property-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30998:1" rel="noopener">Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU)</a> in December but there are float and capping changes.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> is the biggest sell and is due to a drop in float, a reversal of the excessively high float assigned at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 4.5% and will result in a one-way trade of A$26m. There are a few stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the Vaneck Vectors Australian Property ETF (MVA AU) in December but there are float and capping changes.

Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) is the biggest sell and is due to a drop in float, a reversal of the excessively high float assigned at the September rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 4.5% and will result in a one-way trade of A$26m. There are a few stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: ASKing for a Reversal

Australia

HomeCo Daily Needs REIT operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company invests in and manages portfolio of retail assets.

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HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 11th): Insurance Australia, Computershare, Goodman

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Insurance Australia, Computershare, Goodman, Sigma...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MV Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: Ingenia Communities Deleted

Ingenia Communities will be deleted from the index at the close on 20 Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 2.9% and will result in a one-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, Screen Holdings, GMRI, SEA EM, MVIS, SET50, JP Positioning

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: ASK Looks Like a Delete

Abacus Storage King could be deleted from the MVIS Australia A-REITS Index in March. There will also be a bunch of capping changes. Estimated 1-way...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance: ASKing for a Reversal

There are no constituent changes but there are float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 4.5% resulting in a one-way trade of A$26m....

Brian Freitas

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