Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With just over a third of the review period complete, there could be 12 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Even with 12 potential changes, there is sector balance with over half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.04-4.1x ADV.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> since the start of the year with a big move higher since mid-May.</li>
</ul>


With just over a third of the review period complete, there could be 12 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY) at the December rebalance.
Even with 12 potential changes, there is sector balance with over half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.04-4.1x ADV.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) since the start of the year with a big move higher since mid-May.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: For Now, A Dozen Changes in December

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we see 15 potential changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are prolonged trading suspensions and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.</li>
<li>The potential adds have sold off hard over the last six weeks, similar to the performance at the June rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we see 15 potential changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
There could be index changes even before the December rebalance if there are prolonged trading suspensions and stocks migrate from the KOSDAQ Market to the KOSPI Market.
The potential adds have sold off hard over the last six weeks, similar to the performance at the June rebalance.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Sell Off Among Potential Inclusions as Momentum Fades

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lutronic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2250:1" rel="noopener">Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the close on 14 September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy over 1.5x ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a>. The impact is higher on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lutronic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2250:1" rel="noopener">Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)</a> but the arbs will provide liquidity.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a> appears to trade cheaper than its peers on all valuation parameters and there could be a re-rating following the index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Value Added Technologies (043150 KS) will replace Lutronic Corp (085370 KS) in the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the close on 14 September.
Passive trackers will need to buy over 1.5x ADV on Value Added Technologies (043150 KS). The impact is higher on Lutronic Corp (085370 KS) but the arbs will provide liquidity.

Value Added Technologies (043150 KS) appears to trade cheaper than its peers on all valuation parameters and there could be a re-rating following the index inclusion.


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: VATECH (043150 KS) Replaces Lutronic (085370 KS)

Brilliance China Automotive / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff for the September rebalance of the ASX family of indices. The September changes for the Hang Seng family of indices were also announced.</li>
<li>The September changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> will be announced after the close of trading on 25 August.</li>
<li>For a second week running, there were big inflows to mainland China ETFs and were spread across multiple index trackers. There were outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Friday was the review cutoff for the September rebalance of the ASX family of indices. The September changes for the Hang Seng family of indices were also announced.
The September changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) will be announced after the close of trading on 25 August.
For a second week running, there were big inflows to mainland China ETFs and were spread across multiple index trackers. There were outflows from iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, NEXT50, MVMVA, MVMVW, Celltrion, Brilliance, KQ150, HSCI

<ul>
<li>Following the two tender offers, Han &amp; Co now holds more than 90% of the common shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lutronic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2250:1" rel="noopener">Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)</a> and is looking to buy the remaining shares.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lutronic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2250:1" rel="noopener">Lutronic Corp (085370 KS)</a> is a member of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> and delisting would mean an index replacement. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a> is a potential inclusion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/value-added-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9946:1" rel="noopener">Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)</a> has underperformed its peers and trades cheaper on nearly all valuation parameters.</li>
</ul>


Following the two tender offers, Han &amp; Co now holds more than 90% of the common shares in Lutronic Corp (085370 KS) and is looking to buy the remaining shares.

Lutronic Corp (085370 KS) is a member of the KOSDAQ 150 Index and delisting would mean an index replacement. Value Added Technologies (043150 KS) is a potential inclusion.

Value Added Technologies (043150 KS) has underperformed its peers and trades cheaper on nearly all valuation parameters.


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance Preview: VAT Could Replace Lutronic

South Korea

Value Added Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and engages in sales of digital radiography medical equipments for dental clinics.  The Company also supplies digital sensor for X-ray equipments.

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Value Added Technologies (043150 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: For Now, A Dozen Changes in December

There could be 12 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in December. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ150 Index...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Sell Off Among Potential Inclusions as Momentum Fades

With momentum fading in Korea, the selloff has hit the potential adds to the KOSDAQ150 especially hard. There could be a few constituent changes...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: VATECH (043150 KS) Replaces Lutronic (085370 KS)

Value Added Tech will replace Lutronic in the KOSDAQ150 at the close on 14 September. VAT has underperformed its peers and trades at cheaper...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, NEXT50, MVMVA, MVMVW, Celltrion, Brilliance, KQ150, HSCI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance Preview: VAT Could Replace Lutronic

HanCo holds over 90% of the shares in Lutronic. if Lutronic is delisted, Value Added Tech could be added to the KOSDAQ150 Index. Value Added Tech...

Brian Freitas

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