Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics flash </strong>Sunday 24 July 2016</p><div><strong> </strong></div><div><strong>S&amp;P push, JPY, bullish Mexico, DXY and commodities</strong></div><p>Our immediate S&amp;P rally target is 2,180 and then 2,204. We are waiting for a pullback toward 2,130 to buy the S&amp;P. </p><div>It appears we may not get a correction until after the next cycle timeline of July 29th. An equity rise into July 29th would increase odds of seeing a crest near that date and a correction unfold. We are a buyer of any correction as long as the S&amp;P holds 2,100 structural integrity.</div><div>Daily RSI is…</div>

Chartonics flash Sunday 24 July 2016 S&amp;P push, JPY, bullish Mexico, DXY and commoditiesOur immediate S&amp;P rally target is 2,180 and then 2,204. We are waiting for a pullback toward 2,130 to buy the S&amp;P. It appears we may not get a correction until after the next cycle timeline of July 29th. An equity rise into July 29th would increase odds of seeing a crest near that date and a correction unfold. We are a buyer of any correction as long as the S&amp;P holds 2,100 structural integrity.Daily RSI is…

iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) / Technical Analysis

<p>Our bullish DXY call is beginning to show stress points in oil and copper not to mention weaker China data/debt concerns. A DXY push above 96.50 will start to see a stronger USD bias bleed into Asia FX (where the greenback has been struggling).</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/010/028/original/DXY%20NEW%20CHART.png?1468124634" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="10028"><figcaption class="figcaption">DXY rally points</figcaption></figure><p> <strong>Brent</strong> – Re set our Brent short at 48.90 with targets at 44 and 41. Russia holding a more neutral bias. Brent is flirting with a bigger break below pattern support after cracking trendline support. Uptick pocket resistance at 49.50. 41 is…</p>

Our bullish DXY call is beginning to show stress points in oil and copper not to mention weaker China data/debt concerns. A DXY push above 96.50 will start to see a stronger USD bias bleed into Asia FX (where the greenback has been struggling).DXY rally points Brent – Re set our Brent short at 48.90 with targets at 44 and 41. Russia holding a more neutral bias. Brent is flirting with a bigger break below pattern support after cracking trendline support. Uptick pocket resistance at 49.50. 41 is…

Oil and Copper Short to Ripple into China

United States Oil Fund LP / Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics update </strong>Thursday 9 June 2016</p><div><strong>Brent short entry</strong></div><div>
<p>To view click this link:  <strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/UvFAKMHuGN" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/UvFAKMHuGN&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1465620741307000&amp;usg=AFQjCNF1dHsEM_z7f_EVg-DjfVpG_Cpgug">http://www.screencast.com/t/UvFAKMHuGN</a> </strong>4:27 min.</p>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/009/123/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1465545961" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="9123"><figcaption class="figcaption">Oil webcast</figcaption></figure><p> </p>
</div><p>Brent kissed 52.75 and we are testing the short side now at 52.53 with risk to 54 and downside to 41. Given our bet on a dollar uptick this seems the right time to test oil's resolve after two very strong days. Risk lies with a dip and rally closer to 54 but risk to reward now favors the short side.</p><div>Shorting Russia 954 with risk to 980. Given EM strength…</div>

Chartonics update Thursday 9 June 2016Brent short entry
To view click this link:  http://www.screencast.com/t/UvFAKMHuGN 4:27 min.
Oil webcast 
Brent kissed 52.75 and we are testing the short side now at 52.53 with risk to 54 and downside to 41. Given our bet on a dollar uptick this seems the right time to test oil's resolve after two very strong days. Risk lies with a dip and rally closer to 54 but risk to reward now favors the short side.Shorting Russia 954 with risk to 980. Given EM strength…

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Tuesday 24 May 2016</p><p><strong>Brent color and Asia short additions</strong></p><div>To view <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/lhQqXX2PEX" target="_blank">click on this link</a>.</div><ul>
<li>
<strong>Brent </strong>- Hourly triangulation outlined. Trailing stop brought lower to 48.94 (short from 49.30) as we don't want to see a bull breakout of this triangle. Bias remains for a downside break and need to take out 47.75 to induce selling momentum with immediate targets at 46 and 44.</li>
<li>Russia appears to be leading oil lower and was our favored weak oil play. RTS 860 is our immediate downside target. We are…</li>
</ul>

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 24 May 2016Brent color and Asia short additionsTo view click on this link.

Brent - Hourly triangulation outlined. Trailing stop brought lower to 48.94 (short from 49.30) as we don't want to see a bull breakout of this triangle. Bias remains for a downside break and need to take out 47.75 to induce selling momentum with immediate targets at 46 and 44.
Russia appears to be leading oil lower and was our favored weak oil play. RTS 860 is our immediate downside target. We are…


FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

Macroeconomics

<p><em>The recent rising trend in the JPY and falling trend in the USD have had a life of their own this year, unwinding excessive positioning built up from end 2012 to mid-2015 for the JPY and from mid-2014 until January this year for the USD.  These trend reversals have contributed to the volatility in global markets that were being buffeted by the upheaval in Chinese markets and commodity prices, and more recently by Brexit fears. The rebounding JPY added to risk aversion, while the falling USD boosted risk appetite, the feedback from a falling to USD to a rising JPY added to the churn and uncertainty.  However, the JPY and USD have started to stabilize in recent days and excessive positioning appears to have been significantly cleansed, allowing markets to see more clearly improving conditions in Chinese and EM economies and focus on the rebound in commodity markets.  Brexit fears are likely to remain heightened and indeed may intensify as we approach the 23 June referendum.  This may tend to keep risk appetite and USD/JPY contained below 110.  But investors may still tend to seek out EM and commodity currencies to avoid negative rates and record low yields in major economies.  Brexit fears have weighed on European currencies and we may see further gains in EM and commodity currencies against the EUR</em>.</p>

The recent rising trend in the JPY and falling trend in the USD have had a life of their own this year, unwinding excessive positioning built up from end 2012 to mid-2015 for the JPY and from mid-2014 until January this year for the USD.  These trend reversals have contributed to the volatility in global markets that were being buffeted by the upheaval in Chinese markets and commodity prices, and more recently by Brexit fears. The rebounding JPY added to risk aversion, while the falling USD boosted risk appetite, the feedback from a falling to USD to a rising JPY added to the churn and uncertainty.  However, the JPY and USD have started to stabilize in recent days and excessive positioning appears to have been significantly cleansed, allowing markets to see more clearly improving conditions in Chinese and EM economies and focus on the rebound in commodity markets.  Brexit fears are likely to remain heightened and indeed may intensify as we approach the 23 June referendum.  This may tend to keep risk appetite and USD/JPY contained below 110.  But investors may still tend to seek out EM and commodity currencies to avoid negative rates and record low yields in major economies.  Brexit fears have weighed on European currencies and we may see further gains in EM and commodity currencies against the EUR.

AmpGFX - Calmer USD and JPY, Weaker EUR, More Upside for EM and Commodity Currencies

United States

United States Oil Fund LP is a Delaware limited partnership incorporated in the USA. The Fund's objective is to have changes in percentage terms of its unit's net asset value reflect the changes of the price of WTI Crude Oil delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma, as measured by changes in percentage terms of the price of the WTI Crude Oil futures contract on the NYMEX. The fund is a commodity pool.

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United States Oil Fund LP (USO US)

Bullish S&P, Mexico and USD

Chartonics flash Sunday 24 July 2016 S&P push, JPY, bullish Mexico, DXY and commoditiesOur immediate S&P rally target is 2,180 and then...

Thomas Schroeder

Oil and Copper Short to Ripple into China

Our bullish DXY call is beginning to show stress points in oil and copper not to mention weaker China data/debt concerns. A DXY push above 96.50...

Thomas Schroeder

Brent Short

Chartonics update Thursday 9 June 2016Brent short entry To view click this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/UvFAKMHuGN 4:27 min. Brent kissed...

Thomas Schroeder

Brent Color and Asia Short Additions

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 24 May 2016Brent color and Asia short additionsTo view click on this link. Brent - Hourly triangulation outlined....

Thomas Schroeder

AmpGFX - Calmer USD and JPY, Weaker EUR, More Upside for EM and Commodity Currencies

The recent rising trend in the JPY and falling trend in the USD have had a life of their own this year, unwinding excessive positioning built up...

Greg Gibbs

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