ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights published onn <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-selamat-sempurna-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10909:1" rel="noopener">Selamat Sempurna (SMSM IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-renewables" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40150:1" rel="noopener">Barito Renewables</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11418:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertex-technology-acquisition-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35394:1" rel="noopener">Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC SP).</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-overseas-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:113:1" rel="noopener">UOB (UOB SP)</a>.</li>
<li>There were also insights in the 3Q2023 performance in Singapore, as well as a look at Singapore's monthly balance sheet, and a credit insight looking at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medco-energi-internasional-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20844:1" rel="noopener">Medco Energi (MEDC IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights published onn Selamat Sempurna (SMSM IJ), Barito Renewables, Boustead Plantations (BPLANT MK), and Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC SP). and UOB (UOB SP).
There were also insights in the 3Q2023 performance in Singapore, as well as a look at Singapore's monthly balance sheet, and a credit insight looking at Medco Energi (MEDC IJ). 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Filters, Barito Renewables, and Vertex Technology SPAC.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

J&T Global Express  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express</a>, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we will look at its PHIP updates.</li>
</ul>



J&amp;T Global Express, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we will look at its PHIP updates.


J&T Global Express Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Managed to Grow but Isn’t Sustainable Yet

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>New monthly balance sheet is out for Singapore banks, so we have a window on 3Q23 with data through 1 August. Total loans -6.0% YoY worse than -5.5% preceding month.</li>
<li>Trade finance loans are moving well lower. Growth rate is -24% YoY in latest month with negative double digit growth YoY since January. </li>
<li>Fixed deposits are surging, latest month +37% YoY and these higher cost monies are now 50% of total deposits, compared with 37% of total one year ago. </li>
</ul>


New monthly balance sheet is out for Singapore banks, so we have a window on 3Q23 with data through 1 August. Total loans -6.0% YoY worse than -5.5% preceding month.
Trade finance loans are moving well lower. Growth rate is -24% YoY in latest month with negative double digit growth YoY since January. 
Fixed deposits are surging, latest month +37% YoY and these higher cost monies are now 50% of total deposits, compared with 37% of total one year ago. 


Singapore - New Monthly B/S: Trade Finance Loans -24% YoY, Fixed Deposits +37% YoY at 50% of Total

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UOB can be harder hit than peers due to its greater SME focus. SME's may be less able to absorb or pass on higher costs, or manage worse demand.</li>
<li>Domestic credit growth is at -4.1% in July YoY, from -3.3% YoY in June and from 2.1% in May. This can represent risk-aversion, worse demand, deteriorating credit metrics in SG.</li>
<li>UOB's Greater China lending is SGD52bn, nearly identical to Thailand, Malaysia combined. Building &amp; Construction NPLs rose from SGD1.1bn to SGD1.4bn HoH to 2Q23.</li>
</ul>


UOB can be harder hit than peers due to its greater SME focus. SME's may be less able to absorb or pass on higher costs, or manage worse demand.
Domestic credit growth is at -4.1% in July YoY, from -3.3% YoY in June and from 2.1% in May. This can represent risk-aversion, worse demand, deteriorating credit metrics in SG.
UOB's Greater China lending is SGD52bn, nearly identical to Thailand, Malaysia combined. Building &amp; Construction NPLs rose from SGD1.1bn to SGD1.4bn HoH to 2Q23.


UOB - Weaker Credit | Struggling Cost Base | Moving to Trading | A Changing Face

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Reserach puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cainiao-smart-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36859:1" rel="noopener">Cainiao Smart Logistics</a> finally set the ball rollling for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s restrucuting, by filing for an HK listing</li>
<li>In the placement space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a> was back in the market again, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dpc-dash-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36556:1" rel="noopener">DPC Dash (1405 HK)</a> came of lock-ups.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Reserach puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Cainiao Smart Logistics finally set the ball rollling for Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s restrucuting, by filing for an HK listing
In the placement space, Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) was back in the market again, while Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK) and DPC Dash (1405 HK) came of lock-ups.


ECM Weekly (1st Oct 2023) - Cainiao, J&T, Kokusai, Seoul Guarantee, Ecopro, Leapmotor, Bajaj Finance

Singapore

United Overseas Bank Limited provides a wide range of financial services including personal financial services, wealth management, private banking, commercial and corporate banking, transaction banking, investment banking, corporate finance, capital market activities, treasury services, futures broking, asset management, venture capital management and insurance.

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UOB (UOB SP)

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Filters, Barito Renewables, and Vertex Technology SPAC.

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

J&T Global Express Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Managed to Grow but Isn’t Sustainable Yet

J&T Global Express, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Singapore - New Monthly B/S: Trade Finance Loans -24% YoY, Fixed Deposits +37% YoY at 50% of Total

New monthly balance sheets show trade finance loans -24% YoY, fixed deposits are +37% YoY and now account for 50% of total deposits, far more than...

Daniel Tabbush

UOB - Weaker Credit | Struggling Cost Base | Moving to Trading | A Changing Face

UOB is struggling with operating costs far more than peers, partly from Citibank, partly from oil. Its credit costs are doubling. It is relying...

Daniel Tabbush

ECM Weekly (1st Oct 2023) - Cainiao, J&T, Kokusai, Seoul Guarantee, Ecopro, Leapmotor, Bajaj Finance

Aequitas Reserach puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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