Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Headlines of UOB 3Q24 while strong at the bottom line, we have a very different read of the numbers </li>
<li>Investment &amp; trading income is more than the whole delta in UOB's net profit during 3Q24 YoY and QoQ</li>
<li>Operating costs rose 12% YoY, while net interest income was up just 1% YoY and core net fee income was up 7% YoY</li>
</ul>


Headlines of UOB 3Q24 while strong at the bottom line, we have a very different read of the numbers 
Investment &amp; trading income is more than the whole delta in UOB's net profit during 3Q24 YoY and QoQ
Operating costs rose 12% YoY, while net interest income was up just 1% YoY and core net fee income was up 7% YoY


UOB - Profit +SGD228m YoY, Trading & Investment Income +SGD320m YoY, 3Q24 Not as Great as Headline

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

<ul><li>Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to Jul 4, with S$188 million of net institutional inflow, as 20 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$23.6 million.</li><li>For the contingent of non-STI primary-listed companies that conducted buybacks, First Resources : EB5 +0.72% led the consideration tally with 1.15 million shares purchased at an average price of S$1.38 per share.</li><li>With a consideration of S$2.2 million, this increased the deemed interests of UOL Group chairman Wee Ee Lim and director Wee Ee-chao.</li></ul>

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to Jul 4, with S$188 million of net institutional inflow, as 20 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$23.6 million.For the contingent of non-STI primary-listed companies that conducted buybacks, First Resources : EB5 +0.72% led the consideration tally with 1.15 million shares purchased at an average price of S$1.38 per share.With a consideration of S$2.2 million, this increased the deemed interests of UOL Group chairman Wee Ee Lim and director Wee Ee-chao.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Bukalapak.com PT Tbk / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bukalapak (Buka) raised US$1.5bn in Aug 2021 when it priced its IPO at the top end of its pricing range.</li>
<li>Buka is an Indonesian e-commerce company. The company operates an online consumer-to-consumer (C2C) marketplace. It also operates Mitra Bukalapak (Mitra) which provides online-to-offline (O2O) services to MSMEs.</li>
<li>The pre-IPO shareholders will be released from the lockup on 6th April 2022.</li>
</ul>


Bukalapak (Buka) raised US$1.5bn in Aug 2021 when it priced its IPO at the top end of its pricing range.
Buka is an Indonesian e-commerce company. The company operates an online consumer-to-consumer (C2C) marketplace. It also operates Mitra Bukalapak (Mitra) which provides online-to-offline (O2O) services to MSMEs.
The pre-IPO shareholders will be released from the lockup on 6th April 2022.


Bukalapak IPO Lock-Up - Scattered Shareholding Could Put Some Pressure on the Share Price

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. </li>
<li>GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the company's valuation.</li>
</ul>


GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. 
GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.
In this note, we will talk about the company's valuation.


GoTo IPO - Valuation - Missed the Tide, Boat Won’t Rise

<ul><li>DBS, OCBC and UOB have booked S$500 million in combined net institutional inflow for the 2024 year through to 23 May.</li><li>Combined net interest income (NII) for the trio was S$8.3 billion in 1QFY24, the sixth consecutive quarter combined NII surpassed S$8.0 billion, and up 46% from the combined S$5.7 billion in 4QFY19.</li><li>This compares to the trio averaging 5.8% total returns for the full 2023 year, with S$2.5 billion of combined net institutional outflow.</li></ul>

DBS, OCBC and UOB have booked S$500 million in combined net institutional inflow for the 2024 year through to 23 May.Combined net interest income (NII) for the trio was S$8.3 billion in 1QFY24, the sixth consecutive quarter combined NII surpassed S$8.0 billion, and up 46% from the combined S$5.7 billion in 4QFY19.This compares to the trio averaging 5.8% total returns for the full 2023 year, with S$2.5 billion of combined net institutional outflow.

STI Banks Book S$500M YTD Net Institutional Inflows

Singapore

United Overseas Bank Limited provides a wide range of financial services including personal financial services, wealth management, private banking, commercial and corporate banking, transaction banking, investment banking, corporate finance, capital market activities, treasury services, futures broking, asset management, venture capital management and insurance.

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UOB (UOB SP)

UOB - Profit +SGD228m YoY, Trading & Investment Income +SGD320m YoY, 3Q24 Not as Great as Headline

UOB's results were good at bottom line, but we believe that they are misunderstood. Trading, investment income drove profit delta, not net interest...

Daniel Tabbush

UOL Chairman Wee Ee Lim Builds Interest

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to Jul 4, with S$188 million of net institutional inflow,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

GoTo IPO - Valuation - Missed the Tide, Boat Won’t Rise

GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. In this note, we talk about its...

Sumeet Singh

STI Banks Book S$500M YTD Net Institutional Inflows

DBS, OCBC and UOB have booked S$500 million in combined net institutional inflow for the 2024 year through to 23 May. Combined net interest income...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

UOB - Profit +SGD228m YoY, Trading & Investment Income +SGD320m YoY, 3Q24 Not as Great as Headline

UOB's results were good at bottom line, but we believe that they are misunderstood. Trading, investment income drove profit delta, not net interest...

Daniel Tabbush

UOL Chairman Wee Ee Lim Builds Interest

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to Jul 4, with S$188 million of net institutional inflow,...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Bukalapak IPO Lock-Up - Scattered Shareholding Could Put Some Pressure on the Share Price

Bukalapak (Buka) raised US$1.5bn in Aug 2021 when it priced its IPO at the top end of its pricing range. The pre-IPO shareholders will be released...

Sumeet Singh

GoTo IPO - Valuation - Missed the Tide, Boat Won’t Rise

GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. In this note, we talk about its...

Sumeet Singh

STI Banks Book S$500M YTD Net Institutional Inflows

DBS, OCBC and UOB have booked S$500 million in combined net institutional inflow for the 2024 year through to 23 May. Combined net interest income...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)