Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> has rebounded from the bottom of the cycle, and it will be able to reach more than 20% YoY in 2024F.</li>
<li>The demand for 4G and 5G Smartphone SoC will be split around 55/45 by shipment volume, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a> being the primary supplier for MediaTek.</li>
<li>The MediaTek Dimensity 6000 series will be the new flagship product line in 2024F.</li>
</ul>



Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) has rebounded from the bottom of the cycle, and it will be able to reach more than 20% YoY in 2024F.
The demand for 4G and 5G Smartphone SoC will be split around 55/45 by shipment volume, with Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT) being the primary supplier for MediaTek.
The MediaTek Dimensity 6000 series will be the new flagship product line in 2024F.


MediaTek (2454.TT): Rebounding from Cycle Bottom.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD684.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,077mln and highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Mediatek, Umc.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD684.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top changes by value for 1 week, one 4 weeks, 1 year and top stocks held by foreign instutions by dollar value.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,077mln and highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Mediatek, Umc.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 1st): TSMC, Mediatek, Umc

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 1st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight TWSE short interest weekly changes in Genius Elec.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 1st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight TWSE short interest weekly changes in Genius Elec.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 1st): Genius Electronics

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: 8.2% Premium -- Still Best to Wait for Better Levels</li>
<li>ASE: 6.4% Premium -- Wait for 5% as the Level to Go Long the Spread</li>
<li>ChipMOS: -0.5% Discount -- Stay Long the Spread if You Started at -2.0%</li>
</ul>


TSMC: 8.2% Premium -- Still Best to Wait for Better Levels
ASE: 6.4% Premium -- Wait for 5% as the Level to Go Long the Spread
ChipMOS: -0.5% Discount -- Stay Long the Spread if You Started at -2.0%


Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: Spreads Generally Trading in the Middle of Their Ranges

<ul>
<li>TSMC is expected to experience growth of ~15% YoY in 2024F.</li>
<li>TSMC's N3 is expected to dominate the market in 2024F, with applications in CPU, GPU, smartphone SoC, and more.</li>
<li>We also estimate that the N2 pilot run will begin in 4Q24.</li>
</ul>


TSMC is expected to experience growth of ~15% YoY in 2024F.
TSMC's N3 is expected to dominate the market in 2024F, with applications in CPU, GPU, smartphone SoC, and more.
We also estimate that the N2 pilot run will begin in 4Q24.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2024 High Conviction for Upside >15% YoY

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

MediaTek (2454.TT): Rebounding from Cycle Bottom.

MediaTek has reached the bottom of the cycle. The demand for 4G and 5G Smartphone SoC will be split around 55/45 by shipment volume. Dimensity 6000...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 1st): TSMC, Mediatek, Umc

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and we highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Mediatek, Umc.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 1st): Genius Electronics

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight weekly short interest changes in Genius Electronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual Listings Monitor: Spreads Generally Trading in the Middle of Their Ranges

In this piece, we provide our long and short levels for each dual-listing spread. Spreads are generally near the middle of their historical ranges.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2024 High Conviction for Upside >15% YoY

TSMC is expected to experience growth of ~15% YoY in 2024F. TSMC's N3 is expected to dominate the market in 2024F, with applications in CPU, GPU,...

Patrick Liao

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