Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +9.2% Premium, Major Breakdown From Previous Historically Extreme High</li>
<li>UMC: -1.9% Discount, Is Near Low End of Historical Range</li>
<li>ASE: +10.4%; ADR Short Interest Jumps to Very High Level vs. History</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +9.2% Premium, Major Breakdown From Previous Historically Extreme High
UMC: -1.9% Discount, Is Near Low End of Historical Range
ASE: +10.4%; ADR Short Interest Jumps to Very High Level vs. History


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Breaks Down From Extreme, UMC Discount Near Historical Low

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Declaring a slower recovery for mature nodes was an outlier, indicating that Vanguard's recovery progress might be slower. </li>
<li>Apple's iPhone is expected to be the focus for N2 production in 4Q15F.  </li>
<li>TSMC's long-term gross margin is set at 53%, signifying a few key points. </li>
</ul>


Declaring a slower recovery for mature nodes was an outlier, indicating that Vanguard's recovery progress might be slower. 
Apple's iPhone is expected to be the focus for N2 production in 4Q15F.  
TSMC's long-term gross margin is set at 53%, signifying a few key points. 


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2Q24F Sales in Line, 2024F Is Lowering the Growth Target Below 25% YoY

<ul>
<li>Apple supply chain names are falling due concerns about weak iPhone shipments. Global PC shipments returned to growth as per IDC data.</li>
<li>TSMC and ASML results this week and will be cruical for the market. Can TSMC rally again to achieve new highs or will it continue trading lower?</li>
<li>Nanya Technology sees DRAM Industry pricing rising through 2024E; but is underperforming financially.</li>
</ul>


Apple supply chain names are falling due concerns about weak iPhone shipments. Global PC shipments returned to growth as per IDC data.
TSMC and ASML results this week and will be cruical for the market. Can TSMC rally again to achieve new highs or will it continue trading lower?
Nanya Technology sees DRAM Industry pricing rising through 2024E; but is underperforming financially.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Suppliers Slump on IPhone; PC Volumes Back to Growth; TSMC & ASML Results

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a>'s sales in 1Q24 showed a 6.2% YoY growth, implying a positive growth outlook for 2024F compared to 2023.</li>
<li>Looking ahead to 2Q24F forecasts, the anticipated orders from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a> could have a positive impact on Novatek's 1Q24 sales.</li>
<li>A significant growth is expected after 2Q24, particularly following Novatek's qualification for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> iPhone 16.</li>
</ul>



Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)'s sales in 1Q24 showed a 6.2% YoY growth, implying a positive growth outlook for 2024F compared to 2023.
Looking ahead to 2Q24F forecasts, the anticipated orders from United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT) could have a positive impact on Novatek's 1Q24 sales.
A significant growth is expected after 2Q24, particularly following Novatek's qualification for the Apple (AAPL US) iPhone 16.


Novatek (3034.TT): 2Q24F Keeps Growing, and 3Q24F Shall Grow Significantly.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 12th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,077.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD473mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, ASE, Wiwynn, Eva Airways, Evergreen Marine, Wistron, Quanta Computer, Wt, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 12th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,077.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD473mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, ASE, Wiwynn, Eva Airways, Evergreen Marine, Wistron, Quanta Computer, Wt, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 12th): TSMC, Hon Hai, ASE, Wiwynn, Eva Airways, Evergreen Marine

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Breaks Down From Extreme, UMC Discount Near Historical Low

TSMC and ASE ADR premiums fall from extreme highs; ChipMOS and UMC ADR discounts are near the lower end of their historical trading ranges.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2Q24F Sales in Line, 2024F Is Lowering the Growth Target Below 25% YoY

With Apple's iPhone driving N2 production for TSMC in 4Q15F, maintaining a long-term gross margin of 53%. TSMC's long-term gross margin is set at 53%

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Suppliers Slump on IPhone; PC Volumes Back to Growth; TSMC & ASML Results

Apple supply chain names are dropping due to weak iPhone shipments, while global PC shipments are growing. TSMC and ASML results will be crucial...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Novatek (3034.TT): 2Q24F Keeps Growing, and 3Q24F Shall Grow Significantly.

Novatek's strong 1Q24 sales growth sets a positive tone for 2024, with potential boosts from UMC orders and iPhone 16 qualification.

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 12th): TSMC, Hon Hai, ASE, Wiwynn, Eva Airways, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, ASE, Wiwynn, Eva Airways,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Breaks Down From Extreme, UMC Discount Near Historical Low

TSMC and ASE ADR premiums fall from extreme highs; ChipMOS and UMC ADR discounts are near the lower end of their historical trading ranges.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 2Q24F Sales in Line, 2024F Is Lowering the Growth Target Below 25% YoY

With Apple's iPhone driving N2 production for TSMC in 4Q15F, maintaining a long-term gross margin of 53%. TSMC's long-term gross margin is set at 53%

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Suppliers Slump on IPhone; PC Volumes Back to Growth; TSMC & ASML Results

​Apple supply chain names are dropping due to weak iPhone shipments, while global PC shipments are growing. TSMC and ASML results will be crucial...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Novatek (3034.TT): 2Q24F Keeps Growing, and 3Q24F Shall Grow Significantly.

​Novatek's strong 1Q24 sales growth sets a positive tone for 2024, with potential boosts from UMC orders and iPhone 16 qualification.

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 12th): TSMC, Hon Hai, ASE, Wiwynn, Eva Airways, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, ASE, Wiwynn, Eva Airways,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Apple supply chain names are dropping due to weak iPhone shipments, while global PC shipments are growing. TSMC and ASML results will be crucial...

Novatek's strong 1Q24 sales growth sets a positive tone for 2024, with potential boosts from UMC orders and iPhone 16 qualification.