Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haw-par-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9898:1" rel="noopener">Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP)</a> is trading around multi-year trough levels on an implied stub valuation, and on an HPAR/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> ratio.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on HPAR are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP) is trading around multi-year trough levels on an implied stub valuation, and on an HPAR/UOL Group (UOL SP) ratio.
Preceding my comments on HPAR are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">7&amp;I (3382 JP)</a>'s MBO is off. Itochu has apparently not been able to agree with Ito-san on board composition/representation and management control. That the MBO is off isn't surprising.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yangzijiang-shipbuilding-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:660:1" rel="noopener">Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP)</a> is sucking wind as United States Trade Representative’s (USTR) office proposed a raft of fees and other shipping restrictions on Chinese vessels</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pentamaster-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31099:1" rel="noopener">Pentamaster International (1665 HK)</a>'s Scheme comfortably gets up after a wild week of trading. </li>
</ul>



7&amp;I (3382 JP)'s MBO is off. Itochu has apparently not been able to agree with Ito-san on board composition/representation and management control. That the MBO is off isn't surprising.

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP) is sucking wind as United States Trade Representative’s (USTR) office proposed a raft of fees and other shipping restrictions on Chinese vessels

Pentamaster International (1665 HK)'s Scheme comfortably gets up after a wild week of trading. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Pentamaster Int'l, T'Way Holdings

<ul>
<li>After releasing its FY24 results last Friday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haw-par-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9898:1" rel="noopener">Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP)</a> declared a S$1.00/share special dividend, in addition to a final dividend of S$0.20/share.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Haw Par - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-land-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12891:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


After releasing its FY24 results last Friday, Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP) declared a S$1.00/share special dividend, in addition to a final dividend of S$0.20/share.
Preceding my comments on Haw Par - and Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Haw Par's S$1.00/Share Special Divvy

<ul>
<li>Last November I highlighted <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haw-par-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9898:1" rel="noopener">Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP)</a>'s multi-year trough levels on an implied stub valuation, and on an HPAR/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-overseas-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:113:1" rel="noopener">UOB (UOB SP)</a> ratio.</li>
<li>That trade has panned out well as the ratio steadily increased. But it remains below the 200 MDA.</li>
<li>A recovery in Tiger Balm sales is expected in Haw Par's full-year results later this month.  UOB's financials, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142:1" rel="noopener">UOL (UOL SP)</a>'s, are also due out this month.</li>
</ul>


Last November I highlighted Haw Par Corp (HPAR SP)'s multi-year trough levels on an implied stub valuation, and on an HPAR/UOB (UOB SP) ratio.
That trade has panned out well as the ratio steadily increased. But it remains below the 200 MDA.
A recovery in Tiger Balm sales is expected in Haw Par's full-year results later this month.  UOB's financials, and UOL (UOL SP)'s, are also due out this month.


Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-global-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28292" rel="noopener">Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP)</a> 2H22 DPU +4.9% YoY; Rising cost of debt a concern despite solid operating metrics</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chip-eng-seng-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6441" rel="noopener">Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP)</a> Chip Eng Seng  (CHIP SP) 1H22 net profit rose significantly on higher construction and hospitality performance</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-land-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12891" rel="noopener">Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP)</a> 1H22 adjusted net profit +35% YoY; Boosted by hotel operations</li>
</ul>



Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP) 2H22 DPU +4.9% YoY; Rising cost of debt a concern despite solid operating metrics

Chip Eng Seng Corp (CHIP SP) Chip Eng Seng  (CHIP SP) 1H22 net profit rose significantly on higher construction and hospitality performance

Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP) 1H22 adjusted net profit +35% YoY; Boosted by hotel operations


ASEAN Builder's Scoop (8Aug22) - LREIT Rising Cost of Debt

Singapore

Singapore Land Group Limited operates as a real estate company. The Company develops and invests in properties, and provides property management, information technology, development management and consultancy services, as well as trades in computers and related products, and invests in hotels and retail centers. Singapore Land Group serves clients in Singapore.

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Singapore Land Group (SPLG SP)

2023 High Conviction: Haw Par Is Cheap

I like Haw Par here, and recommend going long outright or hedging against UOB (~58% of its NAV, 94% of its market cap). Singapore Land looks a lay...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Pentamaster Int'l, T'Way Holdings

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Haw Par Corp Is Still Trading Cheap

I still like Haw Par here, and recommend going long outright or hedging against UOB (~58% of its NAV, 90% of its market cap).

David Blennerhassett

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (8Aug22) - LREIT Rising Cost of Debt

SMPH reopening play buoyed 2Q22 earnings; ALI lowers capex and launches; MREIT to acquire PHP20bn office in FY22E. SPLG SP 1H22 adjusted net profit...

SCCM Asia Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

2023 High Conviction: Haw Par Is Cheap

I like Haw Par here, and recommend going long outright or hedging against UOB (~58% of its NAV, 94% of its market cap). Singapore Land looks a lay...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, Pentamaster Int'l, T'Way Holdings

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Haw Par's S$1.00/Share Special Divvy

After today's move, there's not a lot to do in Haw Par. I'd pivot to Singapore Land, an indirectly held company, which is trading too cheap. ...

David Blennerhassett

Haw Par Corp Is Still Trading Cheap

I still like Haw Par here, and recommend going long outright or hedging against UOB (~58% of its NAV, 90% of its market cap).

David Blennerhassett

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (8Aug22) - LREIT Rising Cost of Debt

SMPH reopening play buoyed 2Q22 earnings; ALI lowers capex and launches; MREIT to acquire PHP20bn office in FY22E. SPLG SP 1H22 adjusted net profit...

SCCM Asia Research