Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The broad global indexes are decisively below our "lines in the sand" of $54 on MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), $75.25 on MSCI EAFE (EFA-US), and $99 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).</li>
<li>As noted in our Feb. 15 Int'l Macro Vision, we are bearish at the index level as long as we are below the aforementioned levels.</li>
<li>Global 10-year sovereign yields remain elevated, leading to outperformance from value Sectors (Energy/Materials/Financials) which remain our preferred area of the market. We also continue to like defensive areas, especially Staples.</li>
</ul>


The broad global indexes are decisively below our "lines in the sand" of $54 on MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), $75.25 on MSCI EAFE (EFA-US), and $99 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).
As noted in our Feb. 15 Int'l Macro Vision, we are bearish at the index level as long as we are below the aforementioned levels.
Global 10-year sovereign yields remain elevated, leading to outperformance from value Sectors (Energy/Materials/Financials) which remain our preferred area of the market. We also continue to like defensive areas, especially Staples.


Buying Metals/Mining and Consumer Staples

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Weilong Delicious Global Holdi / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Weilong Delicious Global (WDG), a spicy snack food company in China, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>According to F&amp;S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 5.7%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison and look at valuations.</li>
</ul>


Weilong Delicious Global (WDG), a spicy snack food company in China, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
According to F&amp;S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 5.7%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison and look at valuations.


Weilong Delicious Global Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison and Valuation

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weilong-delicious-ipo-initiation-tasty-bite" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:60830" rel="noopener">Weilong Delicious IPO Initiation: Tasty Bite</a>, we stated that Weilong offers an appealing mix of robust top-line growth, high margins and strong cash generation.</li>
<li>However, the 1H21 update is mixed. The top-line growth remains strong but at the cost of margins. Margin headwinds are likely to persist in the short term. </li>
<li>In a weak HKEx IPO market, we think that Weilong’s mixed fundamentals will likely struggle to gain investor enthusiasm.   </li>
</ul>


In Weilong Delicious IPO Initiation: Tasty Bite, we stated that Weilong offers an appealing mix of robust top-line growth, high margins and strong cash generation.
However, the 1H21 update is mixed. The top-line growth remains strong but at the cost of margins. Margin headwinds are likely to persist in the short term. 
In a weak HKEx IPO market, we think that Weilong’s mixed fundamentals will likely struggle to gain investor enthusiasm.   


<ul>
<li>Weilong Delicious Global (WDG), a spicy snack food company in China, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>According to F&amp;S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 5.7%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the updates from its recently filed PHIP.</li>
</ul>


Weilong Delicious Global (WDG), a spicy snack food company in China, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
According to F&amp;S, WDG ranked first among spicy snack food enterprises in China, with a market share of 5.7%, and in the seasoned flour product and spicy vegetable snacks categories.
In this note, we will look at the updates from its recently filed PHIP.


Weilong Delicious Global Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Mixed Bag 1H21 Performance

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weilong-delicious-global-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33378:1" rel="noopener">Weilong Delicious Global (WDG HK)</a> is a leading spicy snack food company in China. It is one of the fastest-growing and most profitable companies in the snack food industry in China, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.  </p><p>Weilong is seeking approval for an HKEx IPO to raise up to $1 billion, according to press reports. Weilong’s shareholders include CPE, Hillhouse, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, Yunfeng Capital and Sequoia Capital China. </p><p>Generation Z and the millennials are the primary consumers in the snack food industry in China, as they account for 38.2% of China’s population but 69.2% of snack food consumption, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. The retail sales value of China’s spicy snack food industry is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 10.4% from 2020 to 2025 and reach RMB257.0 billion by 2025, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. As the leading snack food brand as measured by brand awareness among those at or under the age of 25, Weilong is well-placed to tap this market opportunity. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Weilong offers an appealing mix of robust top-line growth, high margins and strong cash generation. Weilong is also relatively unscathed from the spate of recent regulations that have decimated other sectors, such as the technology and education sector. On balance, we think that Weilong’s fundamentals are attractive.</p></div>

Weilong Delicious Global (WDG HK) is a leading spicy snack food company in China. It is one of the fastest-growing and most profitable companies in the snack food industry in China, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.  Weilong is seeking approval for an HKEx IPO to raise up to $1 billion, according to press reports. Weilong’s shareholders include CPE, Hillhouse, Tencent (700 HK), Yunfeng Capital and Sequoia Capital China. Generation Z and the millennials are the primary consumers in the snack food industry in China, as they account for 38.2% of China’s population but 69.2% of snack food consumption, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. The retail sales value of China’s spicy snack food industry is forecasted to grow at a CAGR of 10.4% from 2020 to 2025 and reach RMB257.0 billion by 2025, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. As the leading snack food brand as measured by brand awareness among those at or under the age of 25, Weilong is well-placed to tap this market opportunity. Weilong offers an appealing mix of robust top-line growth, high margins and strong cash generation. Weilong is also relatively unscathed from the spate of recent regulations that have decimated other sectors, such as the technology and education sector. On balance, we think that Weilong’s fundamentals are attractive.

Weilong Delicious IPO Initiation: Tasty Bite

China

Uni-President China's products include beverages and food. 

The Group recorded a revenue of RMB22,761.8 million in 2020, representing an increase of 3.4% as compared with that of the corresponding period last year, and profits after tax of RMB1,625.7 million, representing an increase of 19.0% as compared with that of last year. 

We recorded a double-digit growth in the food business as the increasing brand value of daily-consumed noodles “Soup Daren（湯達人）” was highly recognized by consumers and the brand philosophy of the high-end Chinese cuisine “Kai Xiao Zao （開小灶）” was continuously promoted to create and extend the consumption scenarios, thereby contributing to such multifold growth in revenue. 

The beverages business was gradually recovering despite the impacts caused by the epidemic. “Uni Assam Milk Tea（統一阿薩姆奶茶）” was favoured by consumers as
usual with a unwavering leading position in the milk tea market and positive growth in revenue. Sugar-free tea “Chai Li Won（茶裏王）” aligned with consumers’ lifestyle concept of “sugar-free” to improve its brand recognition. On its road to value marketing, the Group remained steadfast in developing brands that are loved and trusted by consumers.

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Uni President China (220 HK)

Buying Metals/Mining and Consumer Staples

Commodity prices remain in a secular bull market, and now even gold is joining the rally. This is bullish for global metals/mining stocks (precious...

Vermilion Research

Weilong Delicious Global Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison and Valuation

Weilong Delicious Global (WDG), a spicy snack food company in China, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we undertake a...

Sumeet Singh

Weilong Delicious IPO: Mixed Update

Weilong is pre-marketing for an HKEx IPO to raise up to $1 billion. The PHIP discloses a mixed 1H21 update as strong top-line growth came at the...

Arun George

Weilong Delicious Global Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Mixed Bag 1H21 Performance

Weilong Delicious Global (WDG), a spicy snack food company in China, aims to raise around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Weilong Delicious IPO Initiation: Tasty Bite

Weilong is seeking approval for an HKEx IPO to raise up to $1 billion. Weilong offers an appealing mix of robust top-line growth, high margins and...

Arun George

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