External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Bajaj Auto: Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)</li><li>The margin beat was due to an improved mix and better export realisation</li><li>While BAL has posted a healthy performance in FY24 so far, it is unlikely to sustain it, going forward, as (1) exports will take longer to revive in key markets like Africa and Latin America since they remain stressed due to inflation and fears linger due to current Red Sea crisis, (2) we expect growth rates in domestic motorcycles (and in 3Ws) to normalise in coming quarters on a high base and due to lack of adequate rainfall this fiscal, (3) Triumph is already available off the shelf, and (4) in 2W EVs, BAL is facing acute competitive pressure and uncertainty persists around FAME subsidy sustenance</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Bajaj Auto: Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)The margin beat was due to an improved mix and better export realisationWhile BAL has posted a healthy performance in FY24 so far, it is unlikely to sustain it, going forward, as (1) exports will take longer to revive in key markets like Africa and Latin America since they remain stressed due to inflation and fears linger due to current Red Sea crisis, (2) we expect growth rates in domestic motorcycles (and in 3Ws) to normalise in coming quarters on a high base and due to lack of adequate rainfall this fiscal, (3) Triumph is already available off the shelf, and (4) in 2W EVs, BAL is facing acute competitive pressure and uncertainty persists around FAME subsidy sustenanceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Tech Mahindra, TVS Motor, United Spirits, Hitachi Energy

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Shriram Finance (formerly Shriram Transport Finance) now includes two major subsidiaries in its numbers, in the listed entity, driving up AUM, ROA and net profit. </li>
<li>There is strong latent demand in India for pre-owned commercial vehicles and passenger vehicles, where SHTF focuses, with a long track record of good profit, ROA, NIM. </li>
<li>Underwriting seems strong given stage 3 and stage 2 loan data, and with funding cost improvements, from distribution of liabilities, good scope for profit growth, ROA, NIM.</li>
</ul>


Shriram Finance (formerly Shriram Transport Finance) now includes two major subsidiaries in its numbers, in the listed entity, driving up AUM, ROA and net profit. 
There is strong latent demand in India for pre-owned commercial vehicles and passenger vehicles, where SHTF focuses, with a long track record of good profit, ROA, NIM. 
Underwriting seems strong given stage 3 and stage 2 loan data, and with funding cost improvements, from distribution of liabilities, good scope for profit growth, ROA, NIM.


Shriram Finance - Strong Latent Demand, ROA 3.08% from 2.70%, Stage 2 Loans -14%, +25% Profit 1Q24

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Fusion Micro Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fusion-micro-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36450:1" rel="noopener">Fusion Micro Finance Ltd (1053199D IN)</a> raised approximately US$134m in its India IPO.  </li>
<li>Fusion Micro Finance (FMF) is a non-banking financial company - microfinance institution (NBFC-MFI) that provides financial services to unserved and underserved women in rural and peri-rural areas across India.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the demand for the deal and the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Fusion Micro Finance Ltd (1053199D IN) raised approximately US$134m in its India IPO.  
Fusion Micro Finance (FMF) is a non-banking financial company - microfinance institution (NBFC-MFI) that provides financial services to unserved and underserved women in rural and peri-rural areas across India.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the demand for the deal and the trading dynamics.


Fusion Micro Finance IPO Trading - Weak Demand Seems Justified

Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Ujjivan Small Finance Bank  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ujjivan-financial-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22697:1" rel="noopener">Ujjivan Financial Services (UJJIVAN IN)</a> had announced a reverse merger back in October 2021 where the holding company (Ujjivan FS) will be merged with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ujjivan-small-finance-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28443:1" rel="noopener">Ujjivan Small Finance Bank (UJJIVANS IN)</a>.</li>
<li>The share swap ratio given in the scheme of amalgamation clearly showcases a significant merger arbitrage opportunity.</li>
<li>However, there has been no major interest in this very visible opportunity. We try to justify the market behavior.</li>
</ul>



Ujjivan Financial Services (UJJIVAN IN) had announced a reverse merger back in October 2021 where the holding company (Ujjivan FS) will be merged with Ujjivan Small Finance Bank (UJJIVANS IN).
The share swap ratio given in the scheme of amalgamation clearly showcases a significant merger arbitrage opportunity.
However, there has been no major interest in this very visible opportunity. We try to justify the market behavior.


Ujjivan Reverse Merger: Behind the Dull Response

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Ujjivan Financial Services / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>We currently have a BUY recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs 37/share (1.8x FY23E ABV), implying an upside of 17% from CMP.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

We currently have a BUY recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs 37/share (1.8x FY23E ABV), implying an upside of 17% from CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd. provides financial services. The Company offers business, family, education, emergency, housing, and livestock loans. Ujjivan Financial Services serves customers throughout India.

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Ujjivan Financial Services (UJJIVAN IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Bajaj Auto, Tech Mahindra, TVS Motor, United Spirits, Hitachi Energy

Bajaj Auto’s Q3 PAT at INR20.4bn was ahead of our estimate of INR 19.7bn due to a better-than-expected margin of 20.1% (estimate of 19.5%)

HDFC Securities

Shriram Finance - Strong Latent Demand, ROA 3.08% from 2.70%, Stage 2 Loans -14%, +25% Profit 1Q24

Shriram Finance now includes 2 subsidiaries in earnings, and assets. Its ROA is up to 3.08% from 2.70% YoY in 1Q24. Stage 2 loans -14% YoY can mean...

Daniel Tabbush

Fusion Micro Finance IPO Trading - Weak Demand Seems Justified

Fusion Micro Finance Ltd (1053199D IN) raised approximately US$134m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the demand for the deal and the...

Ethan Aw

Ujjivan Reverse Merger: Behind the Dull Response

The share swap ratio clearly showcases a significant merger arbitrage opportunity. However, there has been no major interest in this very visible...

Nitin Mangal

Company Update:Ujjivan Fin.Ser.

We currently have a BUY recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs 37/share (1.8x FY23E ABV), implying an upside of 17% from CMP.

Axis Direct

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