Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> reportedly faces challenges with poor product service, leading to dissatisfied customers. This underscores the urgency to improve its service infrastructure and restore brand trust.</li>
<li>The Indian electric two-wheeler sector saw weak sales in August, following a robust July, with Ola experiencing a sharp decline in monthly volumes and a loss of market share.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)</a>  is gearing up for a January 2025 EV launch and is preparing to establish a 25,000-unit charging infrastructure in advance.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) reportedly faces challenges with poor product service, leading to dissatisfied customers. This underscores the urgency to improve its service infrastructure and restore brand trust.
The Indian electric two-wheeler sector saw weak sales in August, following a robust July, with Ola experiencing a sharp decline in monthly volumes and a loss of market share.
Meanwhile, Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)  is gearing up for a January 2025 EV launch and is preparing to establish a 25,000-unit charging infrastructure in advance.


Ola Electric's Negative Noise. Maruti Suzuki's Electric Plans: India EV Update

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Aug’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~9%/19% and total exports were up by 14%/2%% YoY/ MoM respectively.</li><li>The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) degrew by 1-4% YoY (up 3% MoM), largely due to weakness in MSIL/Tata Motors/Hyundai/ Honda partly offset by strong domestic SUV volumes by Toyota/ M&amp;M/ Kia/ MG.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~11% YoY (marginally up 3% MoM) mainly due to lower MHCV truck volumes which were partly set off by high bus volumes). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Aug’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~9%/19% and total exports were up by 14%/2%% YoY/ MoM respectively.The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) degrew by 1-4% YoY (up 3% MoM), largely due to weakness in MSIL/Tata Motors/Hyundai/ Honda partly offset by strong domestic SUV volumes by Toyota/ M&amp;M/ Kia/ MG.The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~11% YoY (marginally up 3% MoM) mainly due to lower MHCV truck volumes which were partly set off by high bus volumes). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-fincorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43860:1" rel="noopener">Hero FinCorp</a> (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.
HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still Has Issues to Contend With

<ul><li>The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 11%/30%/28% YoY, surpassing expectations of 10%/24%/21%.</li><li>This performance was driven by higher ASPs, better sales volumes, the premiumization trend, cost optimization efforts, and operating leverage.</li><li>On a QoQ basis, aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT declined by 4.5%/4.2%/2.2%, against expectations of ~6%/9%/7% declines due to seasonality. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 11%/30%/28% YoY, surpassing expectations of 10%/24%/21%.This performance was driven by higher ASPs, better sales volumes, the premiumization trend, cost optimization efforts, and operating leverage.On a QoQ basis, aggregate Revenue/EBITDA/PAT declined by 4.5%/4.2%/2.2%, against expectations of ~6%/9%/7% declines due to seasonality. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Sector Ideas - Auto and Auto Ancillaries - (Q1FY25)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-fincorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43860:1" rel="noopener">Hero FinCorp</a> (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspets of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO.
HF is a non-deposit taking NBFC. It offers a suite of financial products catering primarily to the retail segment and the MSME customer segment in India.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspets of the deal.


Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO - The Positives - Riding on the Parent's Brand

India

TVS Motor Company Limited manufactures motorcycles, mopeds, and scooters. The Company provides spark ignition operated outboard motors, combustion spark ignition engines, critical engines, and transmission parts. TVS Motor Company serves customers in India.

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TVS Motor (TVSL IN)

Ola Electric's Negative Noise. Maruti Suzuki's Electric Plans: India EV Update

Reports of rising customer complaints highlight the need for faster ramp up in service infrastructure - a weak point for Ola Electric.

Devi Subhakesan

Auto Monthly Volume August 2024

Aug’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic 2W industry witnessed strong volume growth of ~9%/19% and total exports were up by 14%/2%% YoY/ MoM...

Axis Direct

Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Still Has Issues to Contend With

Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Top Sector Ideas - Auto and Auto Ancillaries - (Q1FY25)

The companies under our coverage reported Revenue/EBITDA/PAT growth of 11%/30%/28% YoY, surpassing expectations of 10%/24%/21%.

Axis Direct

Hero Fincorp Pre-IPO - The Positives - Riding on the Parent's Brand

Hero FinCorp (HF) is looking to raise around US$438m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

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