Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 37 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qantas-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:677:1" rel="noopener">Qantas Airways (QAN AU)</a> has entered into a Scheme to buy smaller airline <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/agl-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:554:1" rel="noopener">AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suchuang-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:304:1" rel="noopener">Suchuang Gas Corp (1430 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-transport-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2395:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Transport System (9086 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 37 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal this week: Qantas Airways (QAN AU) has entered into a Scheme to buy smaller airline Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU).
Key updates took place for: AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU), Virtus Health (VRT AU), Suchuang Gas Corp (1430 HK), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK) &amp; Hitachi Transport System (9086 JP).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Alliance Aviation, AGL, Virtus, Yashili, Hitachi Transport

<ul>
<li>For the month of April, 10 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$22bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in April was ~36%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of April, 10 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$22bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in April was ~36%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel (KEP SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp (SMM SP)</a> have announced the O&amp;M business combination and it is a little more interesting than expected. It is a Very Big Desirable Order Book.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>was trading at a 8% gross spread to terms a day before the vote, on headcount test concerns. But it was even close. </li>
<li>KKR and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7797:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP)</a> have a deal to get KKR to buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-transport-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2395:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Transport System (9086 JP)</a> in a VLBO (Very Leveraged BuyOut).</li>
</ul>



Keppel (KEP SP) and Sembcorp (SMM SP) have announced the O&amp;M business combination and it is a little more interesting than expected. It is a Very Big Desirable Order Book.

Razer Inc (1337 HK)was trading at a 8% gross spread to terms a day before the vote, on headcount test concerns. But it was even close. 
KKR and Hitachi Ltd (6501 JP) have a deal to get KKR to buy Hitachi Transport System (9086 JP) in a VLBO (Very Leveraged BuyOut).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Sembcorp/Keppel, Razer, Hitachi Transport, Renesas, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>There are 36 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deals this week involving <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-transport-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2395:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Transport (9086 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lanzhou-zhuangyuan-pasture-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10174:1" rel="noopener">Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture (1533 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-enterprises-urban-re" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29131:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Enterprises Urban (3718 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-keisei-electric-railway" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6262" rel="noopener">Shin Keisei Electric Railway (9014 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guodian-technology-environment-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3941:1" rel="noopener">Guodian Technology &amp; Environment Group (1296 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp (TRUE TB)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 36 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deals this week involving Hitachi Transport (9086 JP), Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture (1533 HK), Beijing Enterprises Urban (3718 HK), SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP), and Shin Keisei Electric Railway (9014 JP).
Key updates took place for: Western Areas (WSA AU), Guodian Technology &amp; Environment Group (1296 HK), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), True Corp (TRUE TB) / Total Access Communication (DTAC TB).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Hitachi Transport, SPH Reit, Toyo Construction, True/DTAC

<ul>
<li>The newly appointed board of Thailand's NBTC has set up four subcommittees to study the planned merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a>.</li>
<li>Previously NBTC was expected to conclude its vetting by the 15 May. That is now unlikely to occur. </li>
<li>In letters to the NBTC, True insisted the DTAC merger must not be delayed from the expected mid-June completion timetable. NBTC is, appropriately, investigating the merger on its own terms.</li>
</ul>


The newly appointed board of Thailand's NBTC has set up four subcommittees to study the planned merger of True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)and Total Access Communication (DTAC TB).
Previously NBTC was expected to conclude its vetting by the 15 May. That is now unlikely to occur. 
In letters to the NBTC, True insisted the DTAC merger must not be delayed from the expected mid-June completion timetable. NBTC is, appropriately, investigating the merger on its own terms.


True/DTAC: Merger Delays As NBTC Board Revamped

Thailand

True Corporation PCL is an integrated telecommunications provider. The Company offers a wide range of voice, video, and data services, including dial-up and broadband Internet services, pay television, fixed-line phone, online games, and mobile phone services.

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True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Alliance Aviation, AGL, Virtus, Yashili, Hitachi Transport

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A: April 2022 Roundup

For the month of April, nine new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$22bn. The average premium for the...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Sembcorp/Keppel, Razer, Hitachi Transport, Renesas, CNOOC

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Hitachi Transport, SPH Reit, Toyo Construction, True/DTAC

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

True/DTAC: Merger Delays As NBTC Board Revamped

I still think the trade is to go long DTAC short TRUE trade at the current price ratio. If the deal breaks, you are long DTAC vs TRUE with a lower...

David Blennerhassett

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