IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3826:1" rel="noopener">Weibo Corp (WB US)</a> is offering 11 million shares to raise $471 million through an HKEx secondary listing. The primary/secondary spilt is 50:50 (Sina is the secondary seller).  </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-braving-uncertainty" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:61784" rel="noopener">Weibo Secondary Listing: Braving Uncertainty</a>, we noted that while the near-term visibility remains limited, the valuation at last close is undemanding in comparison to historical P/E and PEG ratios. </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at Weibo’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Weibo pricing its H-shares at a discount of 4-5% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.</li>
</ul>



Weibo Corp (WB US) is offering 11 million shares to raise $471 million through an HKEx secondary listing. The primary/secondary spilt is 50:50 (Sina is the secondary seller).  
In Weibo Secondary Listing: Braving Uncertainty, we noted that while the near-term visibility remains limited, the valuation at last close is undemanding in comparison to historical P/E and PEG ratios. 
In this note, we will look at Weibo’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Weibo pricing its H-shares at a discount of 4-5% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.


Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. </li>
<li>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-needs-to-come-at-a-discount" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Weibo Secondary Offering - Needs to come at a discount</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the deal pricing and structure.</li>
</ul>


Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. 
We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, Weibo Secondary Offering - Needs to come at a discount.
In this note, we'll talk about the deal pricing and structure.


Weibo Secondary Listing - Going Down the Autohome Route

Research from EqualOcean, EqualOcean

EqualOcean

Research from EqualOcean

EqualOcean is an investment research firm and information service provider focusing on China's Technology, Automotive and Consumer Internet sectors. With unique research and due diligence methodology, we provide tailored insights into a wide range of industries and companies, empowering our clients' value-added decisions.

Founded in 2014, EqualOcean is headquartered in Beijing and has offices in Shanghai, Shenzhen and New York.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Huize starts to show its forte – but loses steam</li><li>SelectQuote, an American 'twin' - Both operating online 'B2B2C' insurance intermediary businesses, Huize and SelectQuote (SLQT:NYSE) share several similarities. </li><li>Bottom line - Currently, the P/S ratio for Huize is at the trough – only 0.36 as of the press time – far below its peers as well as the industry average. </li></ul>

Huize starts to show its forte – but loses steamSelectQuote, an American 'twin' - Both operating online 'B2B2C' insurance intermediary businesses, Huize and SelectQuote (SLQT:NYSE) share several similarities. Bottom line - Currently, the P/S ratio for Huize is at the trough – only 0.36 as of the press time – far below its peers as well as the industry average. 

Without Backing from the Tech Giants, Huize Bucks the Trend

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong / Equity Bottom-Up

China Travel International Investment Hong Kong

<ul>
<li>Share price of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-travel-international-investment-hong-kong" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3879:1" rel="noopener">China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (308 HK)</a> (CTII) rallied by 20% over the last 10 trading days but we see good room for more to come.</li>
<li>Our view is that HK-China border opening, revival in domestic tourism, supportive measures and upgrade in attractions are some key drivers for an increasing positive outlook.</li>
<li>At 0.45x 12-month forward P/B (1.5SD below average), there is significant potential for re-rating. Its net cash of HK$0.40/share, or 30% of share price, adds further comfort to us.</li>
</ul>


Share price of China Travel International Investment Hong Kong (308 HK) (CTII) rallied by 20% over the last 10 trading days but we see good room for more to come.
Our view is that HK-China border opening, revival in domestic tourism, supportive measures and upgrade in attractions are some key drivers for an increasing positive outlook.
At 0.45x 12-month forward P/B (1.5SD below average), there is significant potential for re-rating. Its net cash of HK$0.40/share, or 30% of share price, adds further comfort to us.


China Travel Intl Inv (308 HK): Here Comes My Turn!

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

<p>The Oyo listing should be a win for Softbank Group, which owns 47% (pre-listing) for a mere $1.1bn but initial pricing talk of $10-12bn seems wildly optimistic when matched against comparable valuations for premium online travel companies like Airbnb (implied Oyo value $4bn) or India tech ($7bn). Last year we thought this was worthless, so the turnaround is a pleasant surprise but we would not be buyers over INR 80/share ($7bn).</p>

The Oyo listing should be a win for Softbank Group, which owns 47% (pre-listing) for a mere $1.1bn but initial pricing talk of $10-12bn seems wildly optimistic when matched against comparable valuations for premium online travel companies like Airbnb (implied Oyo value $4bn) or India tech ($7bn). Last year we thought this was worthless, so the turnaround is a pleasant surprise but we would not be buyers over INR 80/share ($7bn).

Oyo and Softbank Group - This Would Be Generously Valued at $4-7bn but that Keeps CEO Under Water

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

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Trip.com (TCOM US)

Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

Considering the weak sentiment on Chinese tech names, we think that Weibo pricing its H-shares at a wider discount of around 4-5% to its ADSs will...

Arun George

Weibo Secondary Listing - Going Down the Autohome Route

Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we will talk about the deal pricing and structure.

Sumeet Singh

Without Backing from the Tech Giants, Huize Bucks the Trend

We've all heard terms like traditional insurance companies and third-party insurance agents – but there may be less awareness about insurance...

EqualOcean

China Travel Intl Inv (308 HK): Here Comes My Turn!

HK-China border opening, revival in domestic tourism, supportive measures and upgrade in attractions are some key drivers for an increasing...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Oyo and Softbank Group - This Would Be Generously Valued at $4-7bn but that Keeps CEO Under Water

An Oyo listing is a likely win for Softbank, which owns 47% for a mere $1.1bn but pricing talk of $10-12bn is optimistic compared to the $4-7bn...

Kirk Boodry

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

Considering the weak sentiment on Chinese tech names, we think that Weibo pricing its H-shares at a wider discount of around 4-5% to its ADSs will...

Arun George

Weibo Secondary Listing - Going Down the Autohome Route

Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we will talk about the deal pricing and structure.

Sumeet Singh

Without Backing from the Tech Giants, Huize Bucks the Trend

We've all heard terms like traditional insurance companies and third-party insurance agents – but there may be less awareness about insurance...

EqualOcean

China Travel Intl Inv (308 HK): Here Comes My Turn!

HK-China border opening, revival in domestic tourism, supportive measures and upgrade in attractions are some key drivers for an increasing...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Oyo and Softbank Group - This Would Be Generously Valued at $4-7bn but that Keeps CEO Under Water

An Oyo listing is a likely win for Softbank, which owns 47% for a mere $1.1bn but pricing talk of $10-12bn is optimistic compared to the $4-7bn...

Kirk Boodry

Weibo Secondary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views